The War Crime Premium
The prediction market consensus: Lindsey Graham renomination 85%, Thunder repeat 53%. a 32-point gap between a war criminal and back-to-back championships. for context: SGA just averaged 32 a game, won MVP, and led OKC to 64 wins, a ring, and a first-round sweep. the market still thinks it’s easier for a man who has personally lobbied for every bombing campaign since the Bush administration to win a primary in South Carolina than for the reigning champs to win 12 more playoff games. coincidence on the 32? yes. funny? also yes. bleak? extremely.
The Masters is on Amazon Prime, ESPN, CBS, Golf Channel, Paramount+, and https://t.co/06i7FIsG97 this week.
Augusta National: "no phones, no cameras, no outside food"
Also Augusta National: "please subscribe to six different streaming services to watch us be serious about tradition"
A trader turned $13,200 into $467,515 betting on an Iran ceasefire hours before Trump announced it.
Polymarket's calling the contract "disputed."
The crowd called it 95% before the announcement. Newly created accounts did.
Prediction markets: smarter than the news, faster than your broker, and apparently better connected than your senator.
"I went 0 for 32... I have shorts on, I put the thong on top. First pitch home run off Barry Zito."
@derekjeter reluctantly shares the 'gold thong' story 🤣