Jeff

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

Some people are just mean

[Gabe Cohen @thereisnogabe]

Everyone’s an outlier

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@endingwithali omw to my shift at the Massachusetts Bay Colony

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@sebkrier Sydney was actually the only perfect chatbot

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

If instead you reduce your stake by 4x (0.9 if you lose, 1.125 if you win) your expected return is 1.0125 (you’re staking 1/4 as much) and your capturing almost all of that in bankroll growth. Now you’re printing money just by not overbetting your edge.

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

If instead you reduce your stake by 4x (0.9 if you lose, 1.125 if you win) your expected return is 1.0125 (you’re staking 1/4 as much) and your capturing almost all of that in bankroll growth. Now you’re printing money just by not overbetting your edge.

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

This is a classic Kelly overbet situation. Expected Value ≠ Expected Bankroll Growth. You can go bankrupt betting on an event where you know for a fact that you have a positive edge 1/

[こぐにー｜心理学 @s_ss_123_]

教授「コイン投げをしよう。裏表どちらがでる確率も50%、表が出たらあなたの資産が1.5倍になって、裏が出たらあなたの資産が0.6倍になる」
私「期待値は1.5✖️50%＋0.6✖️50%で、1.05。
期待値が1を超えているんだから、やればやるほど儲かる魔法のギャンブルですね！」
彼女「ちょっとまって！それは、

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@s_ss_123_ https://t.co/XfkkPEEhL6

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

This is a classic Kelly overbet situation. Expected Value ≠ Expected Bankroll Growth. You can go bankrupt betting on an event where you know for a fact that you have a positive edge 1/

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@CheapSeats411 Looks like a copy of The Bad Guys Won by Jeff Perlman

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@rossium Probability=1 but the expected time is infinite so it might take a while

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@Othuke__Umukoro The tweet in reference was one of the worst takes I’ve ever seen on this app

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@TimHenke9 @Samuel_Gregson 👌prima facie

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@dennismhogan This is so great

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

- Found a state sponsored hacker had stolen super user credentials to their system
- Didn’t let it keep him catching the Grateful Dead show

[Helen @anomalie_blue]

Astronomer Cliff Stoll is dopamine personified.

In 1986, he uncovered a 75-cent billing error that led to the discovery of a KGB-sponsored hacker named Markus Hess who was stealing U.S. military secrets.

He now sells Klein bottles out of his basement in California.

[Pop Base @PopBase]

Twitter turns 20.

What is your favorite tweet of all time?

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@sockmoments Who’s a little apex predator 😍

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@bawitdabababe >Everthing is temporary
>Suffering builds character
>It doesn’t get better but it gets easier

How did this clip go so hard??

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@escapefrommelos That shit tastes like pure gasoline

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@InnaVishik She really hit the unvarnished truth

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@LostMemeArchive

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@Kenneth33071904 @grok what does he mean? Who’s going to tell her what?

[Jeff @_thjeffres]

@JeremiahDJohns Dad who hates spending time with his kids!