This chart is nuts. Software developer jobs down 70% from peak.
People will blame the end of free money. But something way more interesting is happening.
The middle class engineer is dying. And it's dying because they're not needed anymore.
One good dev with Github Copilot ships what entire teams did five years ago. Microsoft just reported the highest revenue per employee in history.
The "entry-level engineer" doesn't exist anymore.
Instead, we have product builders who happen to code. Armed with AI, they ship entire products in days.
Meanwhile, the truly elite engineers are making more money than ever.
And they've shifted to working mostly on frontier tech. I mean the stuff that's really hard.
AGI at OpenAI.
Designing rockets at SpaceX.
Self-driving car tech at Tesla.
Product builders are becoming solopreneurs and creators Frontier engineers are making hedge fund money
In 2025, "software engineer" doesn't mean what it meant in 2020.
And that's what this chart really shows.
The middle is gone. The top is elite status. And everyone else is becoming a builder.
Navigating your early 20s is like opening up a menu at a Chinese restaurant
immediately overwhelmed by the hundreds of choices and debating whether you should try the weird-sounding dish on page #22 or just stick to ordering General Tso’s chicken
I'm not sure people understand how important this is:
Goldman Sachs CEO says that AI can draft 95% of an IPO prospectus “in minutes.”
White collar jobs will go first.... and fast.
I am starting a newsletter focused on startup deep dives!
It will have IC-memo depth but with a casual and fun tone
First article is live! The featured startup is @Whatnot, an e-commerce platform focused on live shopping.
Check it out on my substack: https://t.co/ZXkHXzfPxX
@SahilBloom Pick a fruit from “both” box. If it’s 🍎, then “apple” box must be 🍊, and “orange” box must be both
If it’s 🍊, then “orange” box must be 🍎, and “apple” box must be both
Bull:
- Further institutional adoption / approval of other crypto assets following BTC ETF
- Bitcoin halving event just occurred, price will follow historical patterns
- Murmurs about emergence of promising AI x Crypto projects