Aaron Edelheit

Subscribe to newsletter: CEO of Mindset Capital. Author of The Hard Break: The Case for a 24/6 Lifestyle.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@AdamSinger @sbyrnes I can tell you from experience that having a kind, compassionate person alongside a kid reminding them of basic tasks that are very easy for more typical kids is invaluable.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@AdamSinger @sbyrnes It's frustrating for sure. There is so much fraud on so many levels of society and such little work to stop it.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

Again, this is outrageous and awful for sure. But it seems like the problem is related to a few dozen bad actors. From the article: "and much of the increase is due to a few dozen providers billing large numbers of hours for each child..." Unfortunately, we are in the golden age of fraud in this country.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

Yes, for sure I'm angry about fraud. I'm just not sure it is as pervasive as the data seems to indicate. There are 1.5 million realtors in the US. How many of them are actually active or actually get paid any real money? Just because there are 1.5 million doesn't mean they are active.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

I have come to not trust the data from excitable tweets like this. I have a child on the spectrum & there is a 4 year wait for his occupational therapist & there is a severe lack of services in my area. I think this may be like realtors where people maybe do part time work & aren't really active.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

I have come to not trust the data from excitable tweets like this. I have a child on the spectrum & there is a 4 year wait for his occupational therapist & there is a severe lack of services in my area. I think this may be like realtors where people maybe do part time work & aren't really active.

[Derek Thompson @DKThomp]

In 2019, there were about 150,000 people working in autism therapy.

Six years later, there were 654,000—more than the number of people who work in mining and logging, or telecommunications, or at the US Postal Service.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@tylercowen You cannot complain that legalized weed is a mistake, when the US government never legalized it. We literally have the worst of all worlds, with Federal illegality with no banking and no interstate commerce, but state legality. Check out Canada, which actually legalized it.

[Kabir Menon @the_psyche_lab]

"Married men are happier than single men.
Single women are happier than married women."

You would have seen this quote in articles, podcasts, and social media over the last few years. It’s frequently weaponised as a scientific truth to claim that "marriage is a trap for women and a luxury for men." - but, it's WRONG.

Why? Because it is based on one of the most embarrassing and botched data readings in modern academic history.

Here is the story of how a prominent scientist completely misread a survey, how the myth took over pop culture, and what decades of actual research tell us.

1. The Birth of the Myth

In 2019, Paul Dolan, a behavioural scientist at the London School of Economics, released his book 'Happy Ever After'. While promoting it, he claimed that traditional markers of success, particularly marriage, do not make women happy.

Dolan claimed that married women were only happy when their husbands were physically present in the room during interviews. When the husband walked out, he claimed, the women reported being "f***ing miserable." This single claim went viral globally, launching thousands of think pieces declaring single, childless women the happiest demographic in society.

2. The Fatal Data Error

Dolan based his bombshell conclusion on data from the American Time Use Survey (ATUS), a massive national database run by the US Bureau of Labour Statistics.

But he made a catastrophic mistake. He fundamentally misunderstood a basic demographic term used by the surveyors - "Spouse Absent."

What Dolan thought it meant:
He assumed the survey category "Spouse absent" meant the husband had temporarily stepped out of the room to grab a coffee or use the restroom while the wife was answering questions. So, he concluded that wives are secretly miserable but force themselves to lie whenever their husbands are looking. And thus, he reached the conclusion that "married women are miserable, and single women are happier."

What it actually meant:
In the USA demographic polling, "Spouse absent" means the couple is legally married but physically separated due to marital breakdown, long-term institutionalisation, or working indefinitely in another city. So, in reality, the data was simply showing that married women whose marriages are falling apart or who are enduring forced long-distance separations are unhappy. The data didn't tell anything about married women who weren't separated, or single women.

Statisticians and economists quickly flagged the glaring error. The publisher was forced to issue a correction for subsequent printings of the book, but by then, the false narrative had already become an internet truth.

3. What Accurate Data Actually Proves

When you remove the misinterpretation and look at decades of robust, peer-reviewed social science data, the "miserable wife" narrative falls apart completely.

The reality of data from long-term tracking projects like the General Social Survey (GSS) shows:

The Marriage Premium exists for both:
Both married men and married women consistently report significantly higher levels of happiness and life satisfaction (in a healthy marriage) than their single peers. Marriage provides a statistical boost in well-being across the board.

The Numbers:
Look at the 2022 GSS data breaking down women's happiness:
➡️ Married women with children: 40% reported being "very happy."
➡️ Married childless women: 25% reported being "very happy."
➡️ Unmarried childless women: 22% reported being "very happy."
➡️ Unmarried women with children: 17% reported being "very happy."

Quality over Status:

❌The absolute lowest levels of happiness are found in toxic, low-quality marriages. A bad marriage is worse for your health and happiness than being single.

✔️But a healthy, stable marriage correlates with the highest self-reported happiness for both sexes.

CONCLUSION
The viral claim that single women are happier than married women is entirely FALSE. It wasn't born out of a revolutionary shift in human psychology. It was born because a prominent academic didn't check the glossary of a data sheet.

Stop quoting a botched survey. On average, a good marriage makes both men and women significantly happier.

This single line has spread plenty of poison in the minds of young women and made them scared about marriage. A young girl is, anyway, cautious about plenty of things in life. If such false facts validate the negative social media focus, she becomes even more scared about the prospects of happiness in marriage.

If someone quotes you this line in the future, show them this post. Bookmark and save it.

And please take this as your responsibility to repost it and spread the facts. We want a happy society, not an isolated one.

[Samuel Hume @DrSamuelBHume]

One of the most amazing things I’ve ever seen: a standing ovation for the full Daraxonrasib results

I feel inspired and energised, to put it mildly — we have a targeted therapy for pancreatic cancer now, and nothing is undruggable anymore

[Jesse Redmond @jesseredmond]

Saturday was another gorgeous day at Salisbury Canyon Ranch. At full scale, Salisbury Canyon Ranch spans roughly 136 football fields and will produce enough oil one person high every day for 10 million years.

The opening shot shows the first 65 acres (approximately 2.8 million square feet) of cannabis currently in production. We are about two months into the season, and these plants are expected to be ready for harvest in roughly four weeks, and will run through our extraction lines in Q3.

Next, I hike up the hill for an overhead view of the phase two expansion project, which will add an additional 115 acres (approximately 5.0 million square feet), and for the 2027 season we will run our full 180-acre (approximately 7.8 million square feet) permit.

The strategy is simple: grow clean cannabis at approximately $8 per pound, run more of it through our extraction facilities, and continue driving higher margins and better products.

$LEEF $LEEEF

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@RaphiSavitz $LEEEF is the leading concentrate (distillate, live resin, rosin, and more) manufacturer and has an incredible cost and scale advantage. In a medical world with interstate commerce and exports, the upside is simply incredible, imho.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

Mindset Capital now owns over 12% of of LEEF Brands ($LEEEF). We think investors do not understand the scale and ambitions of the company that may eventually become the largest cannabinoid producer in the world.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@RaphiSavitz Hi Raphi, I don't publicly comment on $GLASF anymore, but I think the enterprise values of the two companies are quite different and any opportunity with interstate commerce and exports works for any company which is a leader in California in their category.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@JeauxMama420 If medical schedule 3 allows interstate commerce and exports, they can do everything from California, why would you mess around with NY, except to possibly to ship it to themselves.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@chaka23121 Further, as part of this raise @jamiemendola joined the board to help lead the company on a capital perspective and make sure they don't repeat the mistakes of the past. But also, to make sure another larger company doesn't come in and try to "steal" the company for a low price.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@chaka23121 I have no opinion on Mariusz, but I think the company has been desperate to raise capital and has been running on fumes for awhile. I led this round so, they could stop running the company this way. Now they have plenty of capital to execute on their long-term plan.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@chaka23121 To be completely transparent, I avoided the company and didn't even do work on it because I was so initially wary about the bitcoin part. It was only until I got to know management and do due diligence that I could not believe the potential of the company and what was hiding here

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

@chaka23121 Not sure I understand the user pumpers part of your question, but I have come to understand why they pursued the bitcoin strategy as a way to raise capital when they couldn't access it with just cannabis. Furthermore, management has agreed with me to not acquire anymore bitcoin.

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

And here is our detailed investment memo that can be a starting point for investors: https://t.co/fG21gkRvMQ

[Aaron Edelheit @aaronvalue]

Here is our latest post with a summary: https://t.co/rZ3aoij0qY