Let me understand this right…
The current narrative is sell the AI capex payer because spend depresses FCF and buybacks. Buy the recipient because that same capex becomes revenue, margin, backlog, and scarcity pricing.
So if hyperscalers cut capex, they can rip and the bottlenecks can puke. I’ve honestly sat here for a while thinking about this… have we created a market where AI capex is heads I win, tails I win?
Capex up? Bottlenecks rally and drag the market higher.
Capex down? Hyperscalers get the FCF/buyback story back and drag the market higher.