Affka*

[Affka* @Affka_98]

Trader Simonbanza made over $1.9 million on the Polymarket platform in just two weeks.

He placed a total of 108 bets, winning 64 of them, which puts his win rate at 59%.

The majority of his profits came from correctly predicting outcomes in sports events.

https://t.co/xU67Oy27Zb

[Affka* @Affka_98]

For three days straight, the “Yes” price has been rising with no news at all.
I dug deep into the wallets and found a massive cluster that clearly points to insider activity.
The pattern is obvious:

Small fake bets ($2-5) to stay under the radar

Then large $3,000 positions from wallets following the exact same behavior
Identical funding flow every time: Relay Bridge → Coinbase → Random wallet

Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
YES 88%

Wallet:
1.
0xcfefc712c2f448bbed4528aa57022c7bcbdd9c1e
https://t.co/MEa2qoTRRc

2. 0xc37002d5a6307806d3b2fcfb3c2c205a11305c89
https://t.co/m6XyfCWgqb

3.
0xa9405261547e297abc3b7c946cda25a60b46d6bc
https://t.co/PYgkIlEV6Y

4.
0x14e8ab8ec25d94ce1ed324ef553803d901fa86d9
https://t.co/J95UIOP6V0

5. 0x394935db91b8a03dd681bf67be9c94bbc16c753d
https://t.co/ntKaaEKbp7

[Affka* @Affka_98]

Just @Polymarket

[Affka* @Affka_98]

How does the idea of opening a trade on @Polymarket look at me ?

[Affka* @Affka_98]

What’s going on with this market ?
Tariffs, shutdown talks, Venezuela… and now they’re coming after Saylor. JPMorgan wants to remove MicroStrategy from its indexes, and MSCI is considering a rule that excludes companies where crypto makes up over 50% of total assets. If $MSTR gets cut, outflows could reach 2.8B, and if other index providers follow - up to 8.8B. The 40% dump this month isn’t random. The market is already pricing in fear ahead of the January 15 MSCI decision. But the bigger issue isn’t the news itself - it’s the way the crowd reacts to it.

People keep saying the market has changed - cycles, alt behavior, halving dynamics. Maybe. But human nature hasn’t changed at all. Back in September - early October, I realized the euphoria was peaking, and it was time to leave the market, while the common opinion was: “There’s no euphoria, my coins haven’t pumped yet!” But the signs were everywhere:
Projects launching with insane valuations:

- WLFI 35B, Plasma 15B, OG 5B, Monad 20B, Falcon 10B
- ICOs printing ridiculous Xs every day
- Selective alts going crazy - ASTER, AVNT, APEX
- Meme season on BNB
- Ludo-ponzi launches all over the place
- Trump-themed projects appearing
- Binance and OKX promo waves
- Stables offering absurd yields
- People raising targets again, talking 10k ETH
- BTC, BNB, ETH, SOL, GOLD hitting ATHs, ALT INDEX at local highs

People genuinely believed the cycle wasn’t overheated simply because their coins didn’t move — and that mindset destroys more portfolios than any correction.

Most people don’t survive multiple cycles because they confuse their coins not pumping with the market not being overheated. When you ignore signals, wait for “your asset” to magically moon, or refuse to adapt, the market eventually wipes you out. The bull market didn’t start last month — it started back in 2023, when Bitcoin moved from 20k to 60k by the end of 2024, already a 3x. Then we saw another aggressive 2x after Trump arrived. If your coins didn’t grow during this entire period, it doesn’t mean there was no bull market - it means you picked the wrong assets or bet on the wrong narratives. The market doesn’t care about your bags — it rewards positioning, discipline, and understanding sentiment.

[Affka* @Affka_98]

Looking for a post about Hamster listing

[Gordon 🐂 @GordonGekko]

Me and the wife looking for the next 100x