MabAfradlon

Mae angen deryn glan i ganu

[Thanos Angelopoulos @Th_Angelopoulos]

It is not just the far right. It is the media themselves, including the so-called progressive ones.

Violence in Britain has fallen 83% since the mid-1990s. Burglary 86.6%. Vehicle theft 86.4%. ONS, Crime Survey for England and Wales, forty years of data.

89.5% of prisoners serving for violence against the person are British nationals. 89.4% for sexual offences. 73% of the prison population is white.

Convictions by ethnicity are 84% white, matching population share almost exactly. Violence is the largest arrest category at 47%, and the MOJ confirms this is "broadly consistent across ethnic groups".

The disproportionality is in drug offences and weapons possession, not violent crime.

The Oxford Migration Observatory found that controlling for age and sex, foreign nationals are underrepresented in prison: 3,193 fewer than demographics predict.

The LSE found "the increase over time in offending is much stronger among the British than the Foreigners. Indeed there is essentially no change in the violent incarceration rate of foreigners over the whole period in spite of the two large immigrant waves that occurred".

A study of 55 countries over three decades (Journal of Economic Perspectives) found no correlation between immigration and crime. Homicide fell by a third globally from 1990 to 2019 while the immigrant population grew by two thirds. A separate analysis of 216 regions across 23 European countries found "no significant link between immigration levels and crime rates".

Yet the public believes the opposite. A MORI survey found the British public believed 23% of the population was foreign born. At the time, the actual figure was around one in nine. The public perceives the most negative impact of immigration to be crime. The data says foreign nationals are underrepresented in violent crime. That gap is not an accident. It is a product.

Violent crime is over 60% of tabloid crime coverage despite being 20% of reported crime. An analysis of 402,819 articles found the immigration-crime link in public perception exists because of selective coverage and breaks when native criminality is given equivalent prominence.

Arendt (2010) found over-representation of "foreign crime" articles directly led to readers overestimating foreign offenders.

Blinder and Jeannet (2017, British Journal of Political Science) showed media depictions directly affect the accuracy of British public perceptions.

The Erasmus study found coverage "disproportionately focused on crimes involving immigrants, fueling misconceptions even when data showed no substantial increase". A CEPR study found this coverage directly increased populist voting by 5%.

And it is not just the tabloids. Conservative papers focus on immigrant crime. Liberal and progressive papers focus on "group-related problems". Both frame immigration through threat.

A study of 40,000 articles found systematic bias against Muslims across UK media. The BBC, Sky, ITV, the Times, the Guardian: they all amplify crime when the perpetrator is an immigrant or non-white, not because it is more common, but because it is more engaging.

A domestic murder in Sunderland does not get 3.4 million views. A white British man who commits one of the nine out of ten violent offences in this country does not trend.

The result: a population that believes crime is rising when it has collapsed, believes immigrants are dangerous when they are statistically less so, and believes the country was safer decades ago when every dataset says the opposite.

The far right did not build this machine. The media did. The far right just learned how to drive it.

[YouGov @YouGov]

🧵/ How Wales voted at the 2026 Senedd election: our new study based on reanalysing the data behind our successful pre-election MRP identifies the key demographic and political divides behind the new Welsh party system

[Ben Jamal @BenJamal48]

@AndyBurnhamGM presents himself as a break with the failures of Labour under Starmer, but himself fails a key litmus test. I dont mean that Labour,s failure to end complicity with genocide is the fundamental reason people have turned away. I mean that the response to genocide is a key issue in addressing the question" What is a progressive party for?" If you are unwilling to confront mass crimes on this scale then why should you be trusted to confront unjust power when it manifests at home or abroad? Burnham's plea that such huge questions are beyond his compass as a humble Mayor begs at least 3 questions. 1. Why then do you think yourself fit to be P.M? 2. You may not be an expert on IHL and genocide. Why don't you trust the consensus of those who are? 3. Do you think Russia is committing war crimes in Ukraine? We all know his answer to the latter so why the double standard? Burnham's retreat into arguments about proportionality betrays a moral cowardice built on racist foundations. What is a proportionate amount of Palestinians slaughtered? What would be a proportionate response by Palestinians to decades of ethnic cleansing, apartheid and occupation? The answer of course lies in a support for the application of IHL consistently and universally. And an internationalist commitment to stand always with the oppressed and never with the oppressor. Those ought to be the minimum requirements of anyone seeking the highest office via an appeal to progressive values. Burnham is simply offering more of the same.

[Parody Nigel Farage @Parody_PM]

Thankyou JD Vance, we have so much to learn from America.

[MabAfradlon @afradlon]

Blackshirts? Someone needs to rethink this one Nigel 🙈

[Reform UK Wales @RUKWales]

Who else is getting one of these for when Reform Wales take on Plaid at home next May 👌😮‍💨

[MabAfradlon @afradlon]

@SeneddWaste

[MabAfradlon @afradlon]

@SeneddWaste Are you taking responsibility for wrecking a rape trial?

[Kevin Schofield @KevinASchofield]

What a charmer

[MabAfradlon @afradlon]

Is it true the abusive manager here is a @WelshLabour councillor @WRX_Labour @wrexham?

https://t.co/zbJvsqNsiC

[Llyr Gruffydd AS/MS @LlyrGruffydd]

Not a single Labour MS has spoken up in favour of the @Plaid_Cymru motion demanding pension justice for 1950s women, ASW workers and British Coal staff.
Is this the ‘red Welsh way’?
Shame on Labour.

[Sarah Wilkinson @swilkinsonbc]

The israelis record the blowing up of ethnically-cleansed Palestinian homes in Gaza last night, likely east Khan Yunis, says @trackingisrael

[MabAfradlon @afradlon]

@aledgwynj @Mgwaith Penny drops at last 🤷🏻‍♂️😉

[James Foster @JamesEFoster]

Gary Lineker is not the story.

Kneecap were not the story.

THIS is the story.

[Sangita Myska @SangitaMyska]

Yesterday, the UK, France and Canada apparently woke-up to the idea that Palestinians in Gaza may be victims of a genocide.

But they knew. Israel knew. We all knew. 16 months ago. Because the International Court of Justice told us so:

[YesCymru @YesCymru]

England’s steelworkers get nationalisation.

Wales’s steelworkers get counselling!

Westminster has betrayed our steel industry.

It’s time for #indywales

Be at Barry on 26 March!

[Clwyd En Comú @ClwydEnComu]

This is explicitly an Act that only applies to England.

Obvious that they act only with one nation's interest.

[MabAfradlon @afradlon]

@LedByDainkeys Eh? Caerphilly Council is Labour run.

[Dr Johnny Bananas @barbedquill]

@thepaulwilliams "My view is local politics has no place for political parties" Jason O'Connell, February 2023

"If you don't like my principles, I have others" Jason O'Connell, August 2024

https://t.co/8PsQ8WMdbT

[Arsalan Khan @akkhan81]

95% of Olympic competition is about who has the money to invest in their athletes. Every poor country winning a medal is an incredible triumph against the odds.