Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs)

Anarcho-Karenist. Alt-Centrism or barbarism. No pods, no casters

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

Do you ever think, “I like Henry Ford’s antisemitism and untold wealth, but I hate how he reinvented the economy and created millions of jobs.” Well you’re in luck, because we’ve got Elon Musk.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

Stan Twitter has seamlessly merged with Israel discourse because sectarian fanaticism is their comfort zone.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

Why would Israel steal parts for a plane they already have and used in combat.

[Mel @Villgecrazylady]

So the official story is a plane full of American military technology was being transported by an “intermediary” for Lockheed Martin from Australia to the US when it was “diverted” to HONG KONG where it was then unloaded and confiscated by (presumably) the Chinese government.

Bullshit. Total bullshit. Have you looked the flight paths from Australia to the US lately? Hong Kong is not a diversion option.

But you know what flight path has Hong Kong positioned as a route stop? Australia to Tel Aviv.

And considering they aren’t disclosing the name of this intermediary company, how much you want to bet our greatest ally is smack dab in the middle of this treachery.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

The rational rationalists rationally calculated how to help the most people and just happened to conclude it's by creating AI startups.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

This is why people think EA is weird.

[banteg @banteg]

>be me
>discover effective altruism
>apparently normal charity is inefficient
>why donate to random sad thing when spreadsheet can tell you optimal sad thing
>fair enough
>buy mosquito nets
>save lives
>numbers look good
>feel powerful

>couple years later
>someone asks an innocent question
>why only count people alive today
>huh
>future people matter too
>obviously
>my grandchildren shouldn't matter less just because they haven't spawned yet
>reasonable.jpg

>keep following logic
>what about their grandchildren
>also yes
>what about people in 500 years
>sure
>5000 years
>why not
>500 million years
>starting to get weird but morality is morality

>open calculator
>humanity could survive for an astronomically long time
>could colonize galaxy
>could have trillions upon trillions of descendants
>maybe digital people too
>maybe simulated civilizations
>maybe dyson spheres full of happy uploaded minds
>calculator starts smoking

>realize currently living humans are rounding error
>8 billion people suddenly looking extremely beta
>future contains potentially 10^something people
>can't even fit beneficiaries in google sheets

>new moral priority unlocked
>protect the long-term future

>stop thinking in units of "people helped"
>start thinking in "fraction of cosmic endowment preserved"

>malaria?
>terrible
>but only kills existing humans
>AI extinction could delete the entire light cone
>nuclear war could permanently derail civilization
>bad institutions could lock in terrible values for ten million years
>someone invents wrong constitution in 2140
>quadrillions suffer
>better fund governance workshop now

>friend says maybe we should improve hospitals
>explain opportunity cost
>friend says hospitals are full of actual sick people
>explain scope sensitivity
>friend stops inviting me to dinner

>need to decide what to fund
>easy
>expected value

>suppose project has one in a million chance of preventing extinction
>sounds tiny
>but extinction destroys 10^50 future lives
>multiply
>mother of god

>$10 million project has expected value of several galaxies
>charity evaluation complete

>someone asks where the one-in-a-million number came from
>expert judgement
>which expert
>us
>how calibrated
>extremely thoughtfully

>reduce estimate to one in ten million to be conservative
>still beats curing cancer by 38 orders of magnitude
>epistemic robustness achieved

>someone says maybe project doesn't work
>assign 20% chance
>still astronomical

>maybe project makes problem worse
>assign 5% chance
>still astronomical

>why 5
>because 30 felt pessimistic

>publish 46-page report
>contains seventeen sensitivity analyses
>every sensitivity analysis begins after assuming intervention has positive sign

>critic says you're multiplying enormous hypothetical stakes by extremely uncertain probabilities
>yes
>that's literally why it's important

>critic says the uncertainty might be structural rather than numerical
>make probability smaller
>critic says no, I mean maybe your model is wrong
>make probability smaller again
>critic begins rubbing temples

>discover AI safety
>perfect longtermist cause
>AI might kill everyone
>or create utopia
>or seize galaxy
>or tile universe with paperclips
>or create billions of conscious software minds
>finally a problem with numbers big enough for me

>start AI safety nonprofit
>mission: prevent dangerous AI
>hire smartest people available
>smartest people immediately start building better AI to understand dangerous AI
>interesting

>we must understand capabilities to understand safety
>we must scale models to study alignment
>we must race ahead so less responsible actors don't get there first
>we must deploy systems to learn how deployment can go wrong
>we must build the thing quickly because building the thing quickly is dangerous

>outsider asks why the people most worried about AI apocalypse all work at AI companies
>complicated field

>company releases stronger model
>very concerned
>company begins training even stronger model
>extremely concerned
>company raises $14 billion
>concern reaches unprecedented levels

>need to influence government
>future is at stake
>normal democratic process too slow
>politicians don't understand exponential curves
>public doesn't understand x-risk
>experts must guide them
>who counts as expert
>people who understand x-risk
>who understands x-risk
>our friends

>someone objects that this seems politically convenient
>explain we're representing future generations
>future generations unavailable for comment

>develop concept of value lock-in
>terrifying possibility that one ideology controls civilization forever
>therefore extremely important that civilization adopts correct values before lock-in
>whose values
>let's circle back

>begin with impartial morality
>end with small group of people deciding what quadrillions of hypothetical beings would want
>beautiful arc

>meanwhile actual humans keep doing annoying things
>voting wrong
>having parochial attachments
>loving family more than strangers
>caring about local community
>getting upset when told their suffering is cosmically negligible
>evolutionary biases everywhere

>explain that moral intuition cannot be trusted
>except intuition that future digital people count
>and intuition that extinction is uniquely bad
>and intuition that our probability estimates are sane
>and intuition that our institutional choices improve the future
>those intuitions survived peer review

>someone donates $5k to local homeless shelter
>inefficient
>could have funded 0.0000000000003% of an AI governance researcher
>think of all the simulated people you just killed

>okay maybe don't phrase it that way publicly

>PR team says "future generations deserve a voice"
>much better

>journalist asks what longtermism means
>say "future people matter"
>everyone agrees
>great
>journalist asks what follows from that
>well technically we should redirect enormous resources toward low-probability interventions affecting astronomical futures
>journalist raises eyebrow
>return to "future people matter"

>motte has entered the chat

>critic: of course future people matter
>me: glad we agree
>critic: I don't agree that your institute knows how to help them
>me: why do you hate our grandchildren

>eventually notice uncomfortable implication
>if future value dominates everything
>then helping people today mostly matters through effects on future
>education matters because future institutions
>health matters because future productivity
>democracy matters because future trajectory
>human beings slowly become instrumental variables in their own moral philosophy

>see starving child
>feel compassion
>check spreadsheet
>child's direct welfare contribution negligible
>but perhaps childhood nutrition improves national institutional quality
>compassion restored

>tell myself this is impartial altruism

>one day assistant asks obvious question
>"how do you know your intervention actually improves the far future?"

>silence

>open spreadsheet
>increase column width
>add confidence interval

>assistant asks again
>"no, I mean how do you know the sign is positive?"

>stare into cosmic light cone

>10^50 people staring back

>none of them exist
>none of them can tell me
>none of them can falsify my assumptions

>realize I have invented the perfect constituency

>infinitely important
>completely silent
>and always represented by me

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

Naturally the zoomers in the QTs are melting down about the concept of professionalism.

[✩ @slowslumbers02]

hate to agree with the millennials but why is gen z literally addicted to resisting job advice… they’re on tiktok having meltdowns about authority because they’re being told they shouldn’t bring iced coffee to an interview

[Meridith McGraw @meridithmcgraw]

Feb 2025: WH bans the Associated Press from the pool because they wouldn’t adopt “Gulf of America”
July 2025: WH bans the WSJ from the pool after Epstein birthday card coverage
Sept 2026: WH bans MS, Politico, CNN from the WH and grounds over coverage the president didn’t like

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

We used to make fun of the evangelicals who analyzed every piece of media for hidden evil messages.

[❤️‍🔥 @poployalty]

"dance in tel aviv , dance in tel aviv"

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

Lmao look at their entire timeline.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

Pop Fusion HQ.

[Pop Fusion HQ @PopFusionHQ]

Lady Gaga’s baby Rose Bean Polansky was birthed in Cedars-Sinai Medical Center — an Ashkenazi hospital that has the Star of David on its building and has partnered with Israeli healthcare.

[Evan @daviddunn177]

Lauren Boebert has had affairs with three of her staff members.

Clarice Navarro.

Raven Finegan.

Jeffrey Small.

She had a threesome with Matt Gaetz & Clarice Navarro.

There are text messages, bank records, court documents, and recorded conversations.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

I guess this explains why Putin is choosing now to make his move.

[The Hormuz Letter @HormuzLetter]

BREAKING: The US has warned its allies to expect delays of up to 5 years on key purchased weapons deliveries due to catastrophically exhausting its own stocks in the Iran war, with Germany told to wait 5 years for Tomahawks and Japan told its Tomahawks would be delayed by up to 2 years, per Bloomberg.

The US has used more than half of its most advanced Patriot variants, a third of its Tomahawks, and almost half of its precision strike missiles and THAAD interceptors in Iran, with as much as two-thirds of the entire US missile defense interceptor inventory used up.

Pentagon officials have told their own inspector general the firing rate "has resulted in strategic inventory shortfalls and revealed industrial base bottlenecks."

Ukraine's Patriot requests are being squeezed by the same shortage ahead of winter, and Eastern European deliveries have slipped since February 28.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

@lairieburd It's actually a Rhodes Scholar, Columbia MD and lifelong civil servant doing an extremely bad tough guy impression. The vaunted white working class men don't actually challenge each other to exercise contests.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

He's so lucky this election is going to be a 2006-style rebuke of the president.

[Jacob Wasserman @jacob_wass]

Abdul El-Sayed tells me he doesn’t think JD Vance’s beard is real and challenges him to a weight lifting competition

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

Fellas is it pedophilic to have a teenage assistant.

[𝗭. @urs_ellaa]

She was 14. He was 18 years older than that. It’s weird to me. I don’t care.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

@Tennessee___Jed The right to a trial by jury is in the Bill of Rights, it's not going anywhere.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

This thing where we put jurors into their own trial in the court of public opinion because their randomly assigned case was especially lurid seems really really bad for the rule of law.

[Brian Entin @BrianEntin]

Statement from Lindsay Clancy juror Michael P. Desronvil to @NewsNation.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

@CartoonsHateHer This is why cartoons hate you.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

>F cup breasts
> 18 inch waist

Not beating the "they just want to fuck cartoons" allegations.

[Aria Schrecker @Aria_Babu]

I have designed a face optimized for male sexuality. Here she is.

The key findings on which it is based are:

- The highest earning escorts are slim with F cup breasts. The median sex doll has D cups.
- Across all demographics, men reliably prefer a waist-to-hip ratio of about 0.65. Sex dolls have an average waist-to-hip ratio of 0.62.
- When asked to rate bodies, men prefer a BMI of about 18. The average is 28.
- In @Aella_Girl's surveys, men prefer the faces of 28 year old women to 21 year olds.
- Men rate faces with prominent cheekbones more highly than faces with lots of buccal fat.
- Blonde women are overrepresented on the covers of women's magazines. They are even more overrepresented in Playboy centerfolds, pornography, sex doll, AI sexy lady libraries. Blonde escorts earn more. Blonde women in general earn more and so do their husbands.
- That being said, top rated faces are always framed by dark hair, not blonde hair.

Most women have never heard a frank discussion of what makes a woman sexy in their whole lives. Because men won't be honest, women have been left to pass hearsay, gossip, and marketing copy to each other.

To remedy this, I have written the first fully comprehensive guide to what men really find attractive.

https://t.co/YBuvxo0rKG

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

Why would anyone take dating advice from a hot person, it's like taking financial advice from a trust fund kid.

[Everything Price Sufferer (but especially eggs) @agraybee]

The left spent 10 years treating Assad as a wholesome anti-imperialist chungus and now they're counting the million people he killed (with the aid of Russia and Hezbollah) as "deaths indirectly caused by the US."