XK

Focus on AI

[Tengen @0xTengen_]

how to find the best weather traders on @Polymarket

kyle just did a deep dive into weather markets, and the data shows that 24 hours before resolution, the pricing accuracy is still only 84.8%

that means the broader market is systematically mispricing raw weather data, leaving a huge inefficiency gap on the table

to isolate the exact wallets consistently extracting this alpha, he ran a strict filter:
- daily weather markets
- scooping up cheap underdogs at 1c–30c
- exclude bots
- he looked for real manual operators with over $10k in pnl
- at least 60 days of consistent maker/taker flow

the result is a clean list of sharps, they are relying on pure structural edge

the parity app makes tracking these specific wallets incredibly smooth

check his full setup in the post below

[XK @ainymph]

@Mikocrypto11 这不是翻译英文区的文章吗 @AlterEgo_eth

[Polymarket Developers @PolymarketDevs]

Exchange upgrades go live on April 28 at 11am UTC. ~1 hour of downtime. The v1 orderbook gets cleared and all open limit orders are cancelled. Funds and positions are safe.

Trading via API? Update to the latest SDK before then. V1 clients stop working after cutover.

Dev migration guide: https://t.co/wcqTIG4jzx

Users guide: https://t.co/JNTQ2lrJcP

[XK @ainymph]

@Mikocrypto11 我现在也是买no

[XK @ainymph]

@Vvtentt101 预测值似乎没有那么重要，重要的是观察到事件价格随着什么因子在变化，哪个数据源的变化更接近这个变量因子

[XK @ainymph]

当结果最终显现，那不过是预测市场的葬礼
真正的盛宴，只发生在确定性尚未降临的每一个瞬间
致poly

[XK @ainymph]

@runes_leo 我去 一直用的日本节点

[vvtentt @Vvtentt101]

He turns $14 into $2500 predicting the weather. 2,876 bets. Still going

The strategy is simple:
>> Finds weather markets where (Yes) costs 1-6¢
>> Bets $15-200 per position
>> Waits for the forecast to confirm

Real trades:
>> Paris, 19°C: invested $1,600 >> returned $32,010 (+1,900%)
>> Hong Kong, <15°C: invested $883 >> returned $14,078 (+1,494%)
>> London, 63-64°F: invested $197 >> returned $7,342 (+3,616%)
>> New York, 48°F+: invested $14 >> returned $2,520 (+17,725%)

2,876 predictions. Meteorologist by profession he actually knows the forecast

Everything is public

The edge isn't luck it's expertise. He sees when the market prices a temperature at 1-5% chance, but the real probability is 80-95%

An ordinary trader can outperform any institution if they find the right people and copy their moves

his profile: https://t.co/pMyD2UaPym

[Spivach @0xSpivach]

A Polymarket sniper buys weather NO at 0.1¢ and sells at 100¢. 10 cities. $13,500 profit. Still printing.

It took him about 6 month to succeed.
Parser picks temperature markets most traders ignore, loads NO at 0.1–2¢, and waits.

Still open:
NYC 54-55°F → in at 1¢, out at 100¢ → +$2,170
SF 76-77°F → in at 0.1¢, out at 100¢ → +$694
Beijing 12°C → in at 10¢, out at 100¢ → +$513
Chicago 76-77°F → in at 0.1¢, out at 100¢ → +$319

Best trade? Wellington NO at 2¢ → turned $60 into $3,000.

copy-trade here ->
https://t.co/MkrvAz9978

his profile ->
https://t.co/HsM4iwBOgY

Are weather markets the most underrated edge on Polymarket right now? In or skip?

[Alter Ego @AlterEgo_eth]

Hermes Agent from Nous Research - new standard of AI-trading on Polymarket

In the guide, the author beautifully showed how in just 30 minutes to turn the foundation of my Weather Bot into a fully alive, self-learning weather trader

It scans 20 cities, calculates EV + Kelly Criterion and trades 24/7 without stopping and without emotions.

What is Hermes Agent and why is it currently the best on the market:

This is not just another chatbot

This is an open self-hosted agent from the Nous Research team (YaRN, Nomos, Psyche), which:

• Self-learns - after every complex task it automatically writes itself a skill

• Has persistent memory (MEMORY.md + USER.md + SQLite) - never forgets anything

• Works 24/7 on a VPS and sends alerts to Telegram

OpenClaw is static

Hermes has a closed learning loop: every ~15 tool calls it analyzes what worked and improves itself

Result? The agent becomes noticeably smarter with every week exactly for your tasks

Want exactly the same weather trader that learns from your trades:

• Install Hermes (instructions in the article)
• Copy 7 prompts
• Launch on VPS

My repository: https://t.co/5igdD2QlA6

[danny @agintender]

https://t.co/5wpwCee4vo

[XK @ainymph]

@star_okx 可以赌1美元也行

[Patrick Bucquet | pbucquet.eth @pbucquet]

Ant Group launches Anvita: AI agents can now hold crypto, trade &amp; settle payments autonomously. Joins Visa, Coinbase x402, Google building agentic commerce onchain. https://t.co/IZrrLmiAop

[wuli屋里 @wuli238]

Polymarket 这波升级挺大的，主要就两个事儿：

第一，交易系统直接换成了 CTF Exchange V2。
底层引擎做了不少优化，订单结构更简单了，撮合也更快，还支持 1271 签名。简单说就是——以后下单更快、手续费分得更合理，用起来会顺手很多。前端会帮忙把 wrap 这些操作都处理掉，第一次点个授权就行，后面买卖基本是无感的👍

第二，他们自己搞了个稳定币，叫 PUSD（Polymarket USD）。
之前用的是桥接的 USDC.e，现在换成和 Circle 合作的原生 Polygon 稳定币，1:1 锚定 USDC，整体更规范也更安心一点。

[太阳闯关记 @dachaoren]

claude code教程，讲的非常仔细，新手完全能听懂并且落地，这教程在国内不得收费398，598元？估计还一大堆人抢着买。

静下心看完这一套完整教程，你就能真正用 AI 搭建工作流、实现自动化、处理复杂任务。

[Lorden @lorden_eth]

HOLY....WHAT!!!

Found suspicious weather insider on polymarket

Bets only on Chinese cities

Has 98.2%-win rate after 300+ predictions

Made $9,000 this month

We’re only 6 days into April

He's either a meteorologist or weather god

How is he doing this?

[XK @ainymph]

@xiaoqiao6666666 好像领了？

[XK @ainymph]

@UnicornBitcoin fomo这个应用是不是匿名交易

[XK @ainymph]

@NFTCPS rug盘啊

[Alter Ego @AlterEgo_eth]

I found 10 free repositories for trading on Polymarket

From connecting Claude directly to your account to real-time market analysis and research automation - all free and open-source

1. polymarket-mcp-server: connect Claude directly to Polymarket. 45 tools: market search, analysis, portfolio management and live trading

GitHub: https://t.co/YjU736a84H

2. last30days-skill: analyzes everything happening on the internet over the last 30 days and finds patterns. Your AI research assistant that helps decide what to bet on based on the latest news

GitHub: https://t.co/O1JI2B2EDO

3. polymarket-assistant-tool: real-time data from Binance and Polymarket simultaneously. 11 indicators showing exactly where the market is heading right now

GitHub: https://t.co/P3Rq1ddQDs

4. Firecrawl: turns any website into clean data. Useful for monitoring news that moves markets

GitHub: https://t.co/qVD3wMhR2z

5. Tavily MCP: search built specifically for AI agents. Structured data instead of HTML noise

GitHub: https://t.co/SMG66nUu7L

6. GPT Researcher: autonomous research on any topic with a final report. Useful before major event markets

GitHub: https://t.co/RzsaxnOkL1

7. n8n: 400+ integrations, AI nodes. Pipeline: news parsing → filtering → Telegram alert, no code required

GitHub: https://t.co/Xt51vkwQWP

8. Huginn: self-hosted monitoring and alerts. Watches your sources 24/7

GitHub: https://t.co/In2DQ8U8Hq

9. pydantic-ai: type-safe agent framework for building production bots

GitHub: https://t.co/sEc7J0RVhL

10. fastmcp: MCP server in Python in minutes. Want your own Polymarket integration - start here

GitHub: https://t.co/gZQBIVCOAU

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