العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani

Scholar @cheveningFCDO || MSc IR @LSEirDept || BA IR @AUIB, alumnus || BSc & MSC in Petroleum engineering @UOB || political activist || poet and writer

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

To read my recent publications, you can reach my portfolio at @muckrack

https://t.co/6p12MIF7kz

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

Check my latest to @amwajmedia

[Amwaj.media @amwajmedia]

NEW: Has Iraqi PM Ali Al-Zaidi turned out to be an accidental strongman—or is his aggressive reform agenda running on borrowed power?

@alabbassoudani breaks down how the new premier is leveraging judicial allies, US support, and a paralyzed ruling coalition.

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

Live on @firstpost on the US-Iran war. 2 concepts:

Sustained coercive diplomacy, the war has moved from neutral bargaining, to coercive bargaining, to coercive diplomacy, then now to sustained coercive diplomacy.

The Hormuz dilemma, This is no longer winnable. Only manageable.

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

Earlier on @trtworld, I described the ME escalation as #coercive_bargaining, sides using force to renegotiate terms of an existing agreement. Today on @AsiaOne_News, due to developments, I revised it to #coercive_diplomacy, force is being used seeking a fundamentally new posture.

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

I made 2 arguments today on @trtworld discussing the latest US-Iran escalation:

- This is not the collapse of the MoU but the Schelling’s classic coercive bargaining.

- The mediator architecture is being tested by direct attack, and Türkiye may rise as a new mediator.

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

Live on @trtworld this morning I said:

- Khamenei’s funeral and the talks aren’t in contradiction. They are two arms of a one strategy.

- Iran is running Robert Putnam’s two-level game.

- The Trump-Netanyahu meeting will decide the MoU fate.

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

Live on @AsiaOne_News tonight on Khamenei’s funeral, I said:

- Not a religious event. A diplomatic ceremony.

- Iran chose July 4 U.S. Independence to lie its Supreme Leader in state.

- This is the beginning of the post-Khamenei era.

[Middle East Policy Council @MidEastPolicy]

🗞️ [#Journal] Out now: the new double issue of Middle East Policy.

The summer issue covers the Iran War’s consequences, justice in Syria, Palestine’s Gen Z, cryptocurrency regulation, social cohesion, pollution, and debt.

Featuring @bug_sari | @alabbassoudani | @ushukrik | @BanuDalaman | @HassibBassant

Read it here: https://t.co/SpnBa7vFZc

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

@AlhusseinYaser @MAShummary موفق ايها الحبيب

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

Today, I joined the Primetime with @GuyShone, @Anewz_tv, discussing the recent developments in the Middle East

[Pakistan TV @PakTVGlobal]

Middle East expert Alabbas F. Alsudani says the current situation reflects a temporary pause in hostilities, noting that ongoing negotiations and unresolved differences between the parties leave the future course of events uncertain.

@alabbassoudani

#PakistanTV #MiddleEast #Diplomacy #RegionalStability #Geopolitics

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

New in @MidEastPolicy: “Between Ideology and Strategy: The Iranian Revolution and the Reconfiguration of Middle Eastern Security.”
I introduce co-constitution to engage @vali_nasr’s “forward defense.”

https://t.co/Yf07Tv1HP2

@LSEIRDept

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

@mariahtthornton @taiwanplusnews @digidiploTaiwan Brilliant!

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

Today’s insight to QNews on the potential truce between Iran and the US!

The truce, as I see, is more like a tactical pause rather than a real momentum!

Multiple factors play a significant role in the possibility of transferring the pause into meaningful end of war!

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

My latest piece to @amwajmedia

https://t.co/1a4pLxf5HK

[Amwaj.media @amwajmedia]

NEW: Iraq has always played a regional diplomatic role, but the path under its new leadership is unclear.

In the wake of PM Zaidi’s recent call with Iran's Pezeshkian, the central question remains: Can Baghdad genuinely mediate between Washington and Tehran, or will it just be a messenger?

✍️@alabbassoudani for @amwajmedia 👇

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

@MAShummary @Iraqimofa Congrats

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

@rohan_mukh @LSEIRDept @georgetownsfs @JasmineKGani Looking forward

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

On QNews today discussing the U.S.–Iran ceasefire.

The ceasefire is not a ceasefire but a managed pause inside an unresolved war.

The stakes, Iraq, Lebanon, the Gulf, and global energy, all sit on the same thread.

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

My latest piece to https://t.co/Yau5j7QUN0

[Amwaj.media @amwajmedia]

Iraq’s "Development Road" is transforming into a critical alternative to traditional maritime routes.

By linking the Gulf to Europe via Turkey, the project is moving from a national initiative to a regional strategic necessity. 🇮🇶🇪🇺

✍️@alabbassoudani for @amwajmedia 👇

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

@BesenyoJ @smallwars Thanks dear

[العباس السوداني | Alabbas F. Alsudani @alabbassoudani]

Read my latest article has been published in @smallwars

“Self Defence without Consent: Selective Sovereignty in the Law of War”

Read the article here:

https://t.co/Fab1P4lywV