Alejandro Feria

“Ser español es el grado extremo de la condición humana”. Abogado, me dedico al derecho público.

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@davmiranda @Hubs951 Por eso me hace mucha gracia leer, en España, titulares tipo “la IA pone en riesgo la facturación por horas de los despachos”; como si los clientes fueran unos pobrecitos que aceptan a ciegas cualquier factura y los abogados unos inconscientes que disparan con pólvora del rey….

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

Miseria de Parlamento | Opinión | EL PAÍS https://t.co/60twU11hOQ

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@kikollan ¡Y aun hay gente que defiende la meritocracia!

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@montano66 @GregorioLuri Es genial, cada vez cuesta más leer columnas con ese nivel de pitorreo tan sutil y elegante.

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@RAEinforma ¿Qué explicación hay a que Estado o Administraciones públicas, categorías políticas análogas a las comunidades autónomas, se escriban con mayúscula inicial y éstas no? #dudaRAE

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@RAEinforma #dudaRAE, se recomienda escribir “comunidades autónomas” en minúscula cuando se refiere a la entidad regional. Ahora bien, se admite la mayúscula en “Administraciones Públicas” para designarlas como institución. ¿Cabría hacer lo mismo con comunidades autónomas?

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@RAEinforma ¿Qué explicación hay a que Estado o Administraciones públicas, categorías políticas análogas a las comunidades autónomas, se escriban con mayúscula inicial y éstas no?

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

Narcos roban tres semirrígidas de la Armada durante unas maniobras en El Retín https://t.co/T45yrOqz6B

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@jwalkermobile @joehas Oh god,where is Coto de Imaz?

[Daniel Gascón @gascondaniel]

Zapatero, el héroe y el traidor https://t.co/Xpkjvi3FwG

[Andrés Rublev @AndresRublev]

Tiene que ser duro ir de inteligente, de 'leer muchos libros', y luego pensar que la Fiscalía Anticorrupción, la UDEF, la DEA, la policía suiza y la policía francesa se han compinchado con los fachas españoles para imputar a Zapatero con el único propósito de acabar con Sánchez.

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

https://t.co/MkoHbHsJV7 via @NYTimes

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@EconoCabreado @Manuj_Hidalgo Eres ridículo. ¿Haces precisamente aquello que censuras de @Jongonzlz ? Que mezquindad tan grande para tratar de camuflar un ataque ruin.

[Jesús Fernández-Villaverde @JesusFerna7026]

Este post de apoyo a @Jongonzlz está escrito y publicado conjuntamente con @lugaricano.

El sistema público de pensiones contributivas en España se encuentra en una situación muy complicada.

El sistema actual ofrece a los cotizantes una rentabilidad real implícita anual del 3,63 %. Dado el crecimiento de los cotizantes y de la productividad en España, esta tasa está al menos dos puntos porcentuales por encima de la que garantiza la sostenibilidad del sistema a largo plazo. De manera más sencilla: el valor presente descontado de las pensiones contributivas es aproximadamente un 60 % mayor que el valor presente descontado de las cotizaciones. Los jubilados contributivos en España están recibiendo mucho más de lo que pagaron.

Esta rentabilidad excesiva ha generado un problema fundamental: un déficit del sistema contributivo de unos 61.000 millones de euros (el de verdad, no el de las cuentas del Gran Capitán que incluyen las transferencias del Estado) y que no deja de crecer. Este déficit genera presiones sobre las cuentas públicas que limitan la capacidad de las administraciones públicas para implementar muchas políticas necesarias, desde la educación hasta la infraestructura. Y desde el punto de vista de la equidad intergeneracional, esta rentabilidad excesiva nos ha colocado en la paradójica situación de que las personas de 65 a 85 años tienen la renta disponible más alta de todos los grupos de edad en España.

El sistema necesita una reforma profunda. Por ejemplo, es clave reintroducir un factor de sostenibilidad en el valor de las pensiones que considere el crecimiento de los cotizantes, la productividad y la esperanza de vida. Muchas economías avanzadas han introducido estos factores e incluso España avanzó en esa dirección hasta la reforma Escrivá de 2021-2023.

Jon González, @Jongonzlz, de manera casi solitaria, ha acometido una labor impagable de documentar esta situación (y otros temas clave de nuestra economía), y ha conseguido poner a la sociedad frente al espejo de la insostenibilidad de la situación actual.

Desgraciadamente, el sistema político no tiene ninguna gana de enfrentarse a este problema. La edad mediana del votante español está en torno a los 51 años. Uno de cada tres electores tiene 60 años o más; uno de cada cuatro ha cumplido 65 años. Si se suman a los 15 millones de inactivos en edad de votar los casi 3 millones de empleados públicos, el resultado es que más de la mitad del censo electoral residente en España vive de una transferencia o de una nómina pagada con impuestos. La aritmética básica de cualquier elección en España descansa, por tanto, sobre un electorado en el que la minoría la constituyen los asalariados del sector privado en edad activa.

Pedir a un partido con vocación de gobierno que recorte la rentabilidad implícita de las pensiones contributivas es pedirle que confronte directamente a su votante mediano. Ningún sistema político hace eso voluntariamente y el español no es la excepción.

Por eso, en lugar de hablar de números, se busca descalificar al mensajero. Desafortunadamente, las narrativas maniqueas de buenos y malos—si eres bueno, prefieres pensiones altas; si no eres malo o estás a sueldo de los malos, tienen éxito en España porque nuestra conversación nacional se centra siempre en la “justicia” o la “moralidad” y nunca en los números.

Es normal: somos un país con poca tradición de análisis riguroso y, menos aún, de análisis basado en los números. “Mi abuela merece una pensión más alta” siempre es más fácil de explicar que “la rentabilidad real implícita del sistema está por encima de lo que nos podemos permitir”, y, además, le coloca a uno en el “lado bueno”: el de los que quieren dar más dinero, no menos, como los malvados economistas.

Pero lo realmente preocupante no es que se intente descalificar al mensajero en lugar de analizar sus argumentos. Lo que se busca es poner en riesgo su situación profesional. Ante las órdenes de la Moncloa, cualquier trabajo en España es precario. Nosotros mismos lo experimentamos en carne propia cuando, en 2012, se nos despidió de FEDEA, una fundación con la que colaborábamos, por orden directa y explícita de Moncloa.

Ya no es una cuestión de si uno está de acuerdo o no con Jon. Es algo mucho más importante. ¿Se puede analizar la realidad económica de España sin que las jaurías mediáticas busquen tu “cancelación” profesional?

Es este el momento de decir las cosas claras y mostrar nuestro apoyo absoluto y total a Jon. Por eso hemos tomado la decisión inusual de publicar este post simultáneamente.

Jon, te agradecemos profundamente lo que haces.

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@martinvars Tengo una startup @Lawying_ con dos socios/amigos. Llevamos año y pico con programadores que facturaban religiosamente cada minima mejora.
Con la cuenta de 200 euros de claude el que es ingeniero esta renovando de arriba a abajo la web. Increible. Aún admitimos inversores 😉

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@EVernacci Que se recupere pronto, Sr. Vernacci!

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@JuanCladeRamon @elmundoes Curioso coincidir con la conclusión, aunque no con la manera de llegar a ella. Un saludo.

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@Jongonzlz Planteas un debate interesante, Jon: ¿la necesidad de vivienda debe eximir de cumplir con la normativa? En Sevilla se derribaron en los años 50 y 60 casas palacio históricas para hacer nueva construcción (vivienda o no), y hoy se echan las manos a la cabeza con lo que se hizo…

[Alejandro Feria @aleferia]

@davmiranda Me cabe la duda de si incluso existe un verdadero animus donandi o los invitados actúan condicionados por los convencionalismos sociales.

[Apple Lamps @lamps_apple]

"Spain. Beautiful country. Tremendous country. Incredible history, incredible people. Great golf, by the way... some of the most beautiful courses anywhere in the world. And I've seen them all. But right now, under Pedro Sánchez... a socialist, by the way. People don't know that. He's an actual socialist. The head of the Socialist Workers' Party. That's the real name. Socialist Workers' Party. Sounds like something from the Soviet Union. And it basically is. And under this man, Spain is a failing nation. Totally failing. And the people know it. Everybody knows.

Because that's what socialism does. Every time. Every single time. You look at Venezuela... destroyed. Cuba... destroyed. Argentina was destroyed until Milei came in and did a fantastic job, tremendous job ripping it all out. And now Spain. They're going down the same road. The exact same road. And nobody in the fake news wants to talk about it because they love socialism. They think it's wonderful. It's not wonderful. It's a disaster. Always has been, always will be.

We protect Spain. We provide the security. We give them the umbrella... the big, beautiful nuclear umbrella... and they rely on us for their very existence, frankly. Without us, they have nothing. And at the NATO summit, we said, very clearly, very strongly, "You have to pay 5%." Which is still nothing compared to what we spend. Much less than nothing, actually. Trillions and trillions of dollars we spend keeping the world safe. And Pedro Sánchez says no. He says 2.1%. And when I say 2.1%, it's actually less than 2.1% if you look at the real numbers. Much less. He told the world... and think about this... he said that paying for his own defense would ruin his welfare state. Think of that. Think of that for a second. He actually admitted it! He said the quiet part out loud. We pay for their military so they can give away free everything. Free healthcare, free college, free this, free that. The whole socialist dream... paid for by the American taxpayer. Our hardworking people are subsidizing European socialism. And the socialists over there, they laugh about it. They think we're stupid. We're not stupid anymore.

And then you have the Iran situation. Iran. Terror state. Terrible, terrible regime. And by the way, also socialist. People forget that. The Ayatollahs and the socialists... they always find each other. Always. Birds of a feather. So we have a joint operation. Highly classified, beautiful operation. I probably shouldn't talk about it, but I will. Our incredible pilots... and these are the finest pilots anywhere in the world, nobody close... they are sitting on the tarmac at Rota Naval Base in Spain. Engines running. Fuel loaded. Ready to go. Ready to protect civilization, essentially. And Pedro Sánchez calls and says, "You can't fly." He blocks the planes! Our planes! He embargoes the fuel. The pilots... brave, incredible young men and women... they have to shut down the engines, pack everything up, and fly all the way to Germany just to do their jobs. Just to do what they were trained to do. Why? Because Pedro wanted to protect the Ayatollahs. Socialists protect socialists. That's what they do. They stick together. And by the way, the Supreme Leader... not so supreme anymore, is he? Not so supreme. He died like a dog. A total coward. I wasn't sure if I should say that... but it's true. He's dead. And Pedro tried to protect him. Tried to shield him. It's a disgrace. It really is. A total, complete disgrace.

Foreign leaders... and I won't tell you who, I never do... they called me. The biggest leaders in the world. Very powerful people. And they're saying, "Sir, what is going on with Spain? The socialists are ruining everything." They can't believe it. Nobody can believe it. So they sidelined him. Completely sidelined. They threw Sánchez right out of the Washington Group. Just threw him out. "Get out." Gone. I've never seen anything like it. Nobody has.

Because while he's undermining our security... Western security, which is the strongest security apparatus in the history of the world, by far... he's running around making deals with China. Communist China. Horrible deals. Because that's who socialists align with. They don't align with us. They don't align with freedom. They align with the communists and the dictators. And he was protecting Maduro! The socialist dictator of Venezuela. Pedro loved him. Of course he did. Same ideology. Same playbook. Maduro destroyed the richest country in South America... the richest!... with socialism. Turned it into a hellhole. People eating out of garbage cans. And Pedro looked at that and said, "That's my guy." He was protecting him. Shielding him.

Or at least he was. Until we went in. Middle of the night. Pitch black. The helicopters come down at a steep angle... big, powerful, beautiful helicopters... no lights, total silence. The guys go in. Boom. They grab him right out of his bed. Maduro didn't even know what hit him. And now he's sitting in a cold jail cell in New York City. Think of that. Rotting. In New York. Pedro couldn't save him. Nobody could save him. They said it couldn't be done. Most didn't even try, actually. But we did it. Beautiful. One less socialist dictator.

And while Sánchez is posturing on the world stage, pretending to be important, his own government is the most corrupt in the history of Europe, by far. And isn't that always the way with socialists? They tell you they're for the people... "the workers"... and then they steal everything that isn't nailed down. The Koldo Case... Envelopes stuffed with cash. Tens of thousands of euros, just handed over. 100 million, 200 million, 500 million euros... gone. Stolen. During the pandemic, while the Spanish people were locked inside their homes, terrified, these socialist politicians were buying luxury real estate. Living like kings. That's socialism. The people suffer, and the leaders get rich. Every single time. His own wife, Begoña... under investigation. His brother... under investigation. The whole family! And what does Pedro do? He tries to destroy the police. He deployed his political thugs... and that's what they are, thugs... to go after the anti-corruption prosecutors. It's what socialists do. They take over the institutions. The courts, the police, the media. It's third-world stuff. Third-world.

He couldn't even win his own election. Think of that. The people of Spain voted, and he lost. So what did he do? He made a deal... a filthy, disgusting deal... with the Catalan separatists and the communists. Actual communists in his coalition. Podemos. People who had pictures of Che Guevara on their walls. He gave the separatists amnesty. Just tore up the constitution. Ripped it to shreds. That's what socialists think about constitutions. Nothing. They mean nothing to them. Rules are for other people. You talk to the hardworking business owners in Madrid, in Barcelona... people who built something, who took risks, who created jobs... and they have tears pouring down their faces. Grown men crying. They say, "Our country is being given away to communists and criminals." Because the socialists punish success. They punish the people who actually produce. Can you believe that? These people are crazy

And the borders. We're finally getting our border secure... strongest and most secure in American history, by far... but Spain? Wide open. Totally open. Sánchez bypassed his own parliament... didn't even ask... and legalized 500,000 illegal migrants with the stroke of a pen. Just signed a royal decree. 500,000. The real number? Probably 800,000. Maybe a million. Nobody knows. And why? Because socialists need a permanent underclass. They need people dependent on the government. That's how the whole scam works. You bring them in, you give them benefits, you make them dependent, and then they vote for more socialism. It's a machine. Crime going up 300%, 400%, 500% and more. Real unemployment at 14%. Fourteen percent. In a European country. The socialist paradise! That's what they call it.

And if you complain... if you dare speak the truth... Pedro wants to shut you down. He wants to ban your social media. Because that's the other thing about socialists. They hate free speech. They can't survive free speech. The ideas fall apart the second people are allowed to talk. He attacks Elon Musk, who is doing a fantastic job, a tremendous job protecting free speech for the entire world. Pedro wants to silence the Spanish people because he knows they despise him. He knows it. Socialism can only survive behind censorship.

Pedro Sánchez caused that problem. He caused it. Socialism caused it. He betrayed his allies. He betrayed NATO. He betrayed Western civilization, frankly. And most importantly, he betrayed the wonderful, beautiful, strong people of Spain... who are not socialists, by the way. The people are not. The people are hardworking, proud, freedom-loving people who deserve so much better. So much better. The socialism has to stop. And it has to stop now.

You don't get to put American troops in danger... our incredible men and women who are willing to die for your freedom... and then hide behind trade deals that we gave you out of the goodness of our hearts. Pedro Sánchez grounded our planes. He endangered our pilots. He sided with the enemy. And there has to be a price for that. A very big price. And there will be."