Fund performance - through the GFC (2008) / The flash crash 2010 / Euro debt crisis 2011. Accomplished without calling a direction in the market - trading $SPX index options. Fund +157.80% vs -2.84% for the S&P 500. #OptionsTrading
@JonFlynnREstats Wishing death on a generation of human beings ain't good for your karma dude. Curious where those assets go when your "hated" generation does pass on..
@RealRickRule lol.. the bond market alone is matched by $39 trillion in USD reserves (assets). Click bait article for the uneducated and gullible. ๐คก
@REWoman Let's see... declining population, rising unemployment, manufacturing falling off a cliff, highest private debt servicing load in the developed world, highest inflation in the G7, prices 9X income. We're just getting warmed up on price declines.
@JustinWolfers "your family's share" ๐ - come on Justin.. you're not gonna play that game are you? A sovereign currency issuing nation is now a household? You're way too smart for that.
@RealRickRule I'm all for accountability and getting rid of abuse and fraud. On a high level I'm looking at it from an accounting perspective.. a dollar injected into the private sector from the Treasury gets spent in the private sector - to its benefit.
Canada's Manufacturing Sector has been in recession for TWO years. On April 1st, this government will yet again raise the industrial carbon tax. Imagine being so ideologically captured that you would further risk the livelihoods of millions of Working-Class Canadians.
@JonFlynnREstats No.. the central bank has nothing to do with inflation. In the times of stress (The scamdemic of 2020), the CB absorbed bond issuance at the direction of the Fed Govt. The Govt panicked and created policy to helicopter stimulus to sheeple Canadians. Blame the brain dead PM.
@SenRandPaul The U.S. doesn't "borrow" any money from a 3rd party creditor. Those with U.S. reserves "choose" to move non-duration cash to duration cash (Treasuries). There is no fiscal crisis. You are incredibly uneducated.
@RealRickRule Treasuries are "funded" with existing reserves at the Fed. The U.S. is not reliant on any 3rd party creditor for "financing". The bond market is a policy choice based on a current set of rules. Do you really want to see what the global economy looks like without Treasuries?
Systematic headwinds are building, with our equity CTA model now in full sell mode.
In structurally weak periods, these larger directional flows are what you have to worry about.
History shows the same sequence again and again:
1๏ธโฃ Subprime borrowers default
2๏ธโฃ Subprime lenders suffer losses
3๏ธโฃ Banks tighten lending
4๏ธโฃ Credit growth stalls
5๏ธโฃ Asset prices fall
6๏ธโฃ The economy contracts
This is how credit crises begin.