AlphaRCubed

Improving Leadership, People, and Behavioural Development in the Financial Markets Industry.

[Andy Olivera @soyandyolivera]

Graves disturbios en Suiza tras quedar eliminados

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

The second quarter of 2025 was one for the history books. After a sharp 12.1% correction in the S&P 500, the index staged its fastest-ever recovery from a 15% drop, finishing the quarter up 10.6% – its strongest showing since Q4 of 2023. That type of V-shaped recovery demonstrates the underlying strength of this bull market, despite persistent macro uncertainty.

However, President Trump’s unpredictable trade policies continue to inject volatility into the market. This renewed uncertainty is weighing on consumer confidence, business investment, and overall risk appetite. As a result, money managers have gravitated toward mega-cap “old guard” names while small and mid-cap stocks remain significant underperformers.

Cyclical growth sectors have led since the April bottom, with market breadth notably improving into early May. If the Fed delivers a rate cut in September, and tax cuts materialize as expected, cyclical leadership could extend further. Combined with seasonal patterns and typical post-election tailwinds, the setup supports cyclical outperformance through year-end.

Meanwhile, commodities saw turbulent action in Q2, driven by an escalating trade war and U.S. military action against a major OPEC producer. Despite these shocks, the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) ended the quarter down just -4.4%. Precious metals gained 5%, livestock rose 8%, and those moves helped cushion the 9% decline in energy – the index’s largest component.

In the short term, the popular indexes are extended. Sentiment has flipped sharply from ultra-bearish to very bullish, which is a negative from a contrarian standpoint. However, with oil prices retreating and rates remaining stable, the Goldilocks economy appears undisturbed for now. That suggests this bull market remains sustainable. I expect pullbacks to be contained to the 4-7% range and to provide buyable opportunities for disciplined traders.

As always, my focus remains on strong relative strength names, tight volatility contraction setups, and stocks breaking out of proper bases with clear volume confirmation. Remember, in bull markets, the key is not to fight the tape but to execute with precision and strict risk control.

Stay disciplined and stay alert – opportunity always emerges for those prepared.

[𝕋𝕙𝕖ℙ𝕚𝕧𝕠𝕥𝕂𝕚𝕟𝕘 👑 @ThePivotKing]

I’d like to point out that trading, at its core, is a skill just like any other profession in life. You can have all the indicators in the world this one, that one, and everything in between but at the end of the day, it comes down to the person behind the wheel.

Think of it like racing: you might see a skilled driver in a Mustang outperforming someone in a Lamborghini or Ferrari. It's not the speed or the brand of the car that determines the winner it's the driver’s ability. The same goes for trading. The tools don’t make the trader; the trader makes the tools work.

Trading is a gift to those who truly commit. It doesn't take days or weeks... It takes years!

It requires real sacrifice, and not everyone is willing or able to make that commitment especially these days.

Be careful out there especially in this type of market environment. Happy Trading Pivoteers. 🎯

[AlphaRCubed @AlphaRCubed]

Dumfries goal

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

Based on the feedback I'm hearing, it seems traders are more fearful of missing a great buying opportunity than they are of volatility and more downside risk. Amateurs are concerned with missing out on the upside; they focus on the money, and they hate to take losses or sell too early. Pros focus on managing risk, implementing process, and maintaining the discipline needed to consistently execute their plan... knowing that if they get those right, the money takes care of itself.

[Nick @nicktweetuk]

Virgin Media broadband customers across the UK this morning with no Internet access. @virginmedia

[Tracy Alloway @tracyalloway]

SILICON VALLEY BANK

Some takeaways and thoughts regarding the SVB situation on a Friday afternoon before logging off for the weekend.

First, what happened?

1/

[Christian T White @ChristianTWhit1]

@sonalibasak @nntaleb @BloombergTV @business @crypto Saw pub called Black Swan on walk in East End Saturday.
It was bombed in WW1 so probably first pub to be attacked in air raid in history.
There must be a name for such an unusual event.

[Steven Goldstein @AlphaMind101]

🎙️ New AlphaMind Podcast🎙

#99 Sven Fuhrmann:Energy/Power Trader & Hedge Fund Manager

Sven traded energy/power at leading firms such as Vitol & EDF, and now runs Auricor, a leading Fund specialising in energy/power trading.
🎧 https://t.co/HwIAaQC704
📺 https://t.co/Gq6UReGubg

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

It is starting...

"I've seen gluts not followed by shortages, but I've never seen a shortage not followed by a glut."

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

1) No rumor is true until officially denied;
2) No currency is to devalue until the central banker announces that there will be no devaluation;
and
3) A stablecrypto is stable until the manager is compelled to tell the world that it is stable & "rule out" its collapse.

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

Most investors completely misinterpreted Peter Lynch as a blind bottom fisher that doubled, tripled and quadrupled up like a wreckless Cathie Wood. Quite the contrary. He followed very sound principles.
https://t.co/H8qSVVYhPU

[Shane Parrish @shaneparrish]

A lack of patience changes the outcome.

The best things compound small gains over time. The longer the time horizon, the larger the success.

99% of Warren Buffett's net worth accumulated AFTER he turned 50.

The most overlooked strategy for success is patience.

[Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb]

Russia's economy is no longer the same size of Spain's. It will soon be the same size of Portugal's.

[Steven Goldstein @AlphaMind101]

We are keen to get a sense of the trading experience of our typical Twitter follower. If you are a trader, could you respond to this poll!

[Kunal Desai @kunal00]

Your biggest lesson from the trading week?📈

[gunnerblog @gunnerblog]

A Statement From Your Club @Arsenal #AFC 🔴

[Shane Parrish @shaneparrish]

More isn't better.
Faster isn't further.
Money isn't wealth.
Habits aren't destiny.
Solitude isn't loneliness.

[Morgan Housel @morganhousel]

Met a guy who bid 20% over asking price on a house and the realtors told him he was the lowest of six bids.