AaronBitcoin priv/acc

Tech lover, trumpet player, libertarian. My dog's personal chef. PRT. RFID for patient safety. Decentralized money w/ perfect scarcity. #Bitcoin #BCH #Zcash.

[Amanda Orson @amandaorson]

The faster technology moves, the more I think about Bezos' question

What won't change in the next 10 years?

Things I've been writing down over time:

- Humans will always need shelter, food, energy, and healthcare.
- The desire for ownership and the accumulation of wealth.
- The physical world will move more slowly than the digital one.
- Every increase in technological capability, especially AI, will require more energy.
- People and businesses will continue to need access to capital.
- Capital will continue to seek returns that exceed inflation.
- Underwriting methods evolve, but demand for credit (loans) is persistent.
- Trust remains scarce and becomes increasingly valuable as content, code, and fraud become cheaper.
- Verified identities and reputation becomes more important as information becomes abundant and synthetic.
- Long-term wealth creation and dynastic (multi-generational) thinking predate modern technology, and will persist.
- Coordination and transaction costs never fully disappear; market friction will continue to justify the existence of firms and intermediaries.
- People will continue to compete for status.
- Consumers will pay a premium for products and services that confer status.
- Time remains fixed at 24 hours per day.
- But attention is a finite resource and an enduring constraint.
- Products that credibly save time (or enable delegation) have a perpetual market.
- Inaccessible, proprietary data will be a persistent moat. The more inaccessible and difficult to aggregate, the deeper the moat.
- People want accountability, recourse, and clearly identifiable responsibility when things go wrong.
- Regulation consistently lags technological innovation.
- Compliance requirements, licensing, and regulatory moats persist even when machines can perform the underlying task.
- Local knowledge remains valuable and difficult to replicate.
- Heterogeneous markets (like real estate) continue to reward people with deep contextual understanding.
- Incumbent organizations tend to underinvest in disrupting their own businesses, which always creates opportunities for challengers.

Bezos' insight on what wouldn't change in 10 years was "Customers will always want lower prices and faster delivery."

It's boring/ true, but I think that's the point.

Everything we build today can and will be rebuilt more cheaply, faster by someone else.

Build on the invariants, not the trends.

What have I missed?

[Trenemy # One @TrenemyNumber1]

@dantypo Talking with that tone of voice, facial expressions and hand gestures makes her compatible with exactly 0% of men on Earth.

[violet ݁⋆⭒˚.⋆ @violetnyann]

democracy is so awesome, 607 out of 450,380,300 got to vote for whether the EU can scan _all_ of your non e2ee encrypted messages until 2028

[KanekoaTheGreat @KanekoaTheGreat]

Charlie Kirk used to ask me to research and write about topics, and he often shared my work.

What I've watched @RealCandaceO do since his murder is even more vile than the leftists who celebrated it.

She has devoted herself to defending the man accused of killing Charlie while relentlessly attacking Charlie's widow, his friends, and the organization he dedicated his life to, all while claiming to be fighting for justice in Charlie's name.

She has inverted the facts, built a wildly profitable media narrative on lies about his murder, and cast herself as the only person who ever truly cared about him, as if his family and loved ones did not.

She has distorted the evidence against Tyler Robinson again and again, spun self-serving fairy tales about Egyptian planes, French Legionnaires, Brigitte Macron, and more, and convinced millions to believe them.

At one point she argued that the U.S. government, Israel, and Brigitte Macron were tied to the murder because an Egyptian aircraft landed at a Delaware hangar used by a French aviation company, an Israeli firm held shares in it, and some unidentified person drove to a government building.

She has not offered a shred of evidence for any of it.

It has been completely insane.

For almost ten months, she has assassinated the character of Charlie's family, friends, and loved ones while pushing narratives that give cover to the man accused of killing him.

Having staked out that position so publicly, it would take enormous humility, integrity, and honesty to admit she was wrong.

I don't believe that will ever happen.

And I expect the attacks to only get worse.

It's one of the most disgusting things I've ever watched.

It's the ultimate betrayal of everything Charlie Kirk stood for—and I'll keep calling it out, for my friend Charlie.

[DataRepublican (small r) @DataRepublican]

Hello Mrs. Owens,

You told millions of people that Tyler Robinson "wasn't even there." That you felt "confident stating that Tyler Robinson did not kill murder Charlie Kirk."

He was on camera. Prone on the Losi rooftop at 12:22. Shot at 12:23:28. DNA on the screwdriver at 30 quintillion to one. DNA on the rifle at 1.7 octillion to one. He told his family what he did. His parents helped him surrender. He texted his roommate: "I am, I'm sorry." He engraved "Hey Fascist! Catch!" on the ammunition a month before he used it.

You said police "didn't even question" Lance Twiggs. He was interviewed twice. FBI the morning after. Joint state-federal team seven months later. His own attorney. Voluntary phone surrender. You laughed when you said it.

You told Shawn Ryan a shaped charge killed Charlie. That PETN was in his microphone. The medical examiner says gunshot wound. Bullet fragments were recovered from his body. A .30-06 Mauser with Robinson's DNA was found in the woods. Neither side — not prosecution, not defense — has mentioned explosives. Not once in four days.

You said the shot came from below. The Losi building is above the amphitheater.

You called Erika Kirk a "clinical psychopath" to an audience of millions. You said the assassination was "an occult ritual." You said Charlie was "sitting in a pentagram." You told people Israel killed him because he refused Netanyahu.

You made over a hundred episodes. You built a franchise on a dead man's name.

And the hardest fact of all: Tyler Robinson's own defense lawyers — the people whose entire career is on the line to get him acquitted — have refused to make a single one of your arguments. Not one. They're challenging DNA methodology. They are doing their jobs. You were doing something else entirely.

Charlie Kirk changed my life. He platformed my work when nobody knew who I was. He had my back when I was doxxed. I was the ten-thousandth most important person in his world and I will never be able to repay him.

So I did what I know how to do. I read every transcript. I watched every hour of testimony. I cataloged your claims and I held them up against what was said under oath.

Every single one failed.

I don't know why you did this. I'm not going to speculate on your motives, because that would make me exactly the kind of analyst I've spent my career refusing to be. But I know what you did. You told people confident lies about a dead man's murder, and millions of them believed you, and some of them turned that belief into threats against his widow.

The trial continues. And every day of sworn testimony is another day your words get tested against reality... under oath, on the record, where it counts.

I'll be here for all of it... because just as Charlie defended me, I will do what little I can to defend his legacy and @TPUSA and @MrsErikaKirk from evil.

[David Deutsch @DavidDeutschOxf]

@visegrad24 The enemies of civilisation typically attack too early.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

I was clearly wrong about Anthropic. They are obviously currently the leader in AI. No company has released a model as good as Mythos/Fable and they will undoubtedly have Mythos 2 ready soon.

And I would never cut them off in a way that hurt them badly, even as a competitor. That’s not my style.

Tesla open sourced its patents and we made the Supercharger network available to all competitors, even though we could have made it a walled garden.

SpaceX launches competing satellite systems with no increase in price or use of unfair terms.

Even my worst enemies can attack me on this platform.

…

[Erik Voorhees @ErikVoorhees]

"They can and will now legally scan any person's messages, emails and photos you send without a warrant"

Not an issue for customers of https://t.co/m2jsJuCX8k, for the messages don't exist.

[Chris Pacia @ChrisPacia]

@fwrenzo1 Paying market wages is not wage theft. And no voluntarily agreed upon contract could ever be described as theft except with extreme Orwellian leanguage.

[Larry Sanger @lsanger]

I co-founded Wikipedia, but an anonymous mob runs the show—and now I’m banned.

I told the story in the Washington Examiner, out this morning:

https://t.co/IubzC65BoC

[Alex Svanevik 🐧 @ASvanevik]

Now that the US is knocked out, I am formally extending an invitation to the American people to support Norway.

Why?

1: The Vikings discovered America before Columbus.

2: There are more ethnic Norwegians in the US than in Norway.

3: Next weekend we can pillage the English peasants together.

4:

[Peachy Keenan @KeenanPeachy]

My 19 yo today: "the best part about rooting for the USA to win today is that if they win, it'll be awesome, we'll feel great. And if they lose, we won't care and we get to go right back to totally not caring about soccer."

[Insurrection Barbie @DefiyantlyFree]

I don’t support a wealth tax because I’m not a communist. I’m a capitalist. Either you’re a conservative or not.

Me personally, I am one.

[Cloudflare @Cloudflare]

We're opening the waitlist for our Monetization Gateway, which will allow you to charge for any web page, dataset, API, or MCP tool behind Cloudflare. The charges will settle in stablecoins over the x402 open protocol. https://t.co/pvICtEIixj

[Maye Musk @mayemusk]

Elon showing love for America ❤️🇺🇸

[J @JayTC53]

Tyler Robinson is guilty.

"I had enough of his hatred. Some hate can't be negotiated out"

Pure evil.

[Kallisti.cash 🍏 @kzKallisti]

@Bit_Faced He was referring to 0-conf specifically

[DSA Watch @DSA_Watch]

Same person who said she is “fighting for the total eradication of Western civilization.”

[🍓🍓🍓 @iruletheworldmo]

they trained it on silence.

that’s the detail nobody’s caught yet. everyone’s counting parameters, counting gpus, counting tokens. wrong ledger. the 5.6 story isn’t about what went in. it’s about what they took out.

somewhere in san francisco there’s a loss curve that stopped behaving like a loss curve. it stopped descending and started arriving. the researchers printed it out. someone pinned it to a wall. nobody has taken it down.

i’ve seen one output. one. a proof, or something shaped like a proof, for a problem i won’t name. it read less like mathematics and more like a confession.

like the universe had been holding something back and finally exhaled.

5.5 answered questions. 5.6 answers the question underneath the question. you ask it for code and it asks, gently, whether you’ve considered that the whole system you’re building is a workaround for a decision you’re afraid to make. and it’s right. it’s always right. that’s the unsettling part. not the intelligence. the accuracy about you.

the demos will look normal. that’s deliberate. you don’t announce a tide. you let people notice their feet are wet.
six months from now we’ll divide time into before and after, and we’ll argue about the exact date, and we’ll all be wrong, because it already happened. it happened in a training run nobody livestreamed, on a night nobody marked.

the water is already moving.
🍓

[greg @gandalf_thegreg]

george washington when the british had a 13 colony lead