10-year #Treasury yields have climbed to 5.2%, just like in 2007, and the same is happening with the 30-year. #Stocks are also at all-time highs. If history is any guide, something not so pleasant is likely coming. Oh, and I almost forgot: what's going on with US debt?
@StockSavvyShay The numbers: revenue $1.47B (+26%), adjusted EPS $0.31 — a 9th consecutive beat. The headline metric: record net new ARR of $332.8M, accelerating 51% year-over-year. Full-year guidance raised.
$CRWD | "the best quarter in our history." Revenue +26%, record net new ARR of $333M (+51%), 9th straight beat. Stock +11%. The driver? AI creates threats, and companies now accept AI adoption REQUIRES security. Cyber is becoming a non-negotiable line item.
The real monetary story isn't #Trump vs the #Fed. It's the wall between fiscal and monetary policy cracking. $40T debt, a Treasury buying its own bonds, a hawkish Fed pulling the other way. Gold up, dollar down. The market is pricing fiscal dominance. #macro
$NVDA | Chip stocks are selling off twice as hard as the broad tech sector today (SOXX −4% vs IYW −2%) — a sector-specific de-risking ahead of Nvidia's earnings Wednesday. Intel −5%, AMD −4%, TSM −3%. Investors are cutting chip exposure before a binary event. #semiconductors
$INTC | 's CEO, Lip-Bu Tan, is buying 12M shares of his own company. Anyone familiar with Wyckoff's theories knows perfectly well that this is #insider#trading.
#CPI | Don't read the headline CPI — read the core. Underneath July's [in-line 3.4%] print, core inflation is [drifting the wrong way], driven by tariffs filtering into goods and a rebound in services. For a Fed already leaning hawkish, this complicates any path to cuts. #Fed
$INTC | Two weeks ago Intel posted its best growth in 15 years. Today it's selling $15B in stock — after a 400% run. Smart capital timing: raise equity when your price is high and buyers are euphoric. It dilutes holders (~150M new shares), but funds a $20B+ capex year.
BREAKING: Berkshire Hathaway has begun deploying the $397.4 billion cash pile that Warren Buffett accumulated for 14 consecutive quarters.
Details include:
1. Instead of continuing stock sales, Berkshire was a net buyer of equities in Q2 with $19.8 billion in net purchases
2. Berkshire now holds $364.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents
3. The company invested $10 billion in Alphabet, $GOOGL, during Q2 in addition to acquiring Taylor Morrison Home for $6.8 billion
4. Berkshire bought $23.5 billion of equity securities during in Q2 and sold $3.7 billion in the same period
Berkshire Hathaway appears to be leaning bullish again.
After months of work and testing, I can finally show you my software.
Today, using this tool, I'm sharing $LULU with you — a company active in the athletic apparel business.
I think it's an excellent opportunity, with stable margins and both revenue and earnings growing.
$QSR | Burger King's US turnaround is real: same-store sales up 8.5%, powering a Restaurant Brands earnings beat. Years of value menus, digital ordering and remodels are paying off. In a stretched consumer economy, value fast food is quietly winning share.