Had a great time chatting with Katie Jensen @NatlMortgagePro about how AI is changing mortgage origination.
The big shift: AI can lower the cost of producing a mortgage by automating the manual work, while loan officers evolve into true advisors.
At Ralo, our early cost to originate is already 4x lower than the industry average.
If that trend continues, the biggest winner should be the borrower: lower costs, faster closings, and ultimately better rates.
https://t.co/UPS9jUaxLN
The more we build AI for mortgages, the more I think the moat in vertical AI will be evals, not models.
Every weird edge case you encounter becomes a regression test.
Over time, you build thousands of domain-specific scenarios that answer a simple question:
Can our system safely handle this without a human?
A recent paper, MortarBench, is a great example. Researchers built 188 mortgage origination test cases across 47 real-world loan officer questions. Even the strongest frontier model only reached 77.1% exact-match accuracy out of the box.
The models will keep getting better.
But the companies that know exactly where they fail and have the eval infrastructure to prove when a workflow can safely be automated will have a huge advantage.
Great read: https://t.co/RpDg2hlJ89