ark

vwap // nulla avāritia sine poenā est

[のの @nono_btc]

⭐️流動性GAP、Single Print 、LVN、FVGなど各種ギャップ

日本ではCMEギャップ（窓）が注目されがちですが、他にも意識した方が良いギャップがあります。それは「流動性ギャップ（Liquidity GAP）」です。

これは手法によって呼び方が変わるだけで、本質的にはすべて同じもの��個人的には捉えています。

・Market Profile ➔ Single Print（時間的空白）
・Volume Profile ➔ LVN（出来高の空白）
・ICT ➔ Fair Value Gap / FVG（注文の不均衡）

これらはいずれも「市場の非効率性（Inefficiency）」の一形態です。市場には常に「全価格帯で買い手と売り手の合意を形成したい」という力が働くため、こうしたギャップは将来的に「公正価値（Fair Value）」を確認するための再テスト（リバランシング）の対象となり、効率化（Efficiency）されやすい性質を持ちます。

可視化には、TradingViewのインジケーター（例えば @allseeingeyes 氏のFVGなど）が有用ですが、定義は単純なので慣れれば目視でも十分判別可能です。

相互フォロー頂いてるから、推すわけではないですが、個人的にはAncheのが使いやすかったです。FairValueGap、LiquidityGapなどで検索すれば、色々と出てくると思うので、お好みで使えば良いと思います。
https://t.co/qHXUAfERir

この「非効率性」の概念を理解するには、Euanの解説を見るのをお勧めします。彼は非効率性を「日曜の朝、バーの前に落ちているお金」と表現しています。私たちは、その落ちているお金を拾いに行くのです。 https://t.co/DTaSsdo8Rh

（画像添付：1枚目FVG、2枚目Single Print、3枚目各種ギャップ比較）

[Mike Bellafiore @MikeBellafiore]

Start thinking of yourself as an elite trader.

In everything you do, do what an elite trader would.

Sleep like an elite trader.
Prepare like an elite trader.
Review like an elite trader.
Collaborate like an elite trader.
Build technology like an elite trader.
Eat like an elite trader.
Execute like an elite trader.
Risk Manage like an elite trader.
Exercise like an elite trader.
Research like an elite trader.
Build a PlayBook like an elite trader.
Be open-minded like an elite trader.

Think of yourself as an elite trader.

[ark @arkdaemonxbt]

@NecoKronos love mmt bro!

[MMT @MMT_Official_]

Today we're opening up MMT - everyone now has access to professional grade tools for FREE.

- Market Profile / TPO
- Custom Session TPO
- Hyperliquid MBO Profile
- Aggregated Heatmaps
- HD Heatmaps
- Liquidation Heatmap
- Hyperliquid Liquidation Heatmap
- Hyperliquid Stop Loss Heatmap
- Hyperliquid Take Profit Heatmap
- Aggregated Footprints
- Filtered Footprints
- Dual Cluster Modes
- Bucketed Trade Size Groups
- Aggregated Indicators
- Aggregated CVD
- Aggregated Open Interest
- Net Longs/Shorts Indicator
- VWAP Suite
- Volume Bubbles
- Custom Scripting
- Community Indicators
- Aggregated Orderbooks
- Aggregated DOM
- Orderbook Imbalances
- Orderbook Depth Overlay
- 1s Time-Frames
- Custom Time-Frames

Available now, for everyone – only in MMT

[CZ 🔶 BNB @cz_binance]

Waiting for the new headline: #Bitcoin "CRASHES" from $101,000 to $85,000.

Save the tweet.

[Hsaka @HsakaTrades]

@cz_binance

[0xJeff @0xJeff]

https://t.co/pKEOdi61ZV

[Magus @TraderMagus]

Tradingview Orderflow Guide

For years our options for flow on TV were pretty weak but things have come a long way now

Lets cover a few useful flow tools

These are the essentials
Volume Profile & Vwap: These tell me how to bet and where

Volume: Tells me who's in control & when momentum is shifting

Spreads: Tell me who's buying and who's selling

Here's my template I use everyday
1. Volume - The bedrock of flow

Relative Volume(Rvol) - Good intro tool for the noobs
Delta - Has its use-cases but still needs standard volume in confluence
Buy/Sell - My personal fav, gives most detail
CVD - TV version is terrible don't use

2. Volume Profile - The OG flow tool

Time - Daily, Weekly etc; Called "PVP" on tradingview
Fixed Range - Manually drawn profiles for ranges
Visible Range - Profile for visible price data on screen

3. Vwap - My "I cant live without tool"

Time - Daily, Weekly etc; Default vwap
Rolling - Vwap without set start time(smoother version of vwap)
Anchored - Vwap with controlled starting point; Nuanced version

4. Open Interest - How to see when others are making mistakes

5. Spreads - Comparing price of different BTC markets. On ltf can give context clues as to who's buy/selling and who's in control

How to get these indicators for yourself?

Easy.

Go to the indicator search bar and type the names in. Most of these are default now adays

How do you use them?

Go through my threads and Youtube, don't be lazy

Press like I've got big things in the works for you

[Goshawk Trades @GoshawkTrades]

Poker is one of the most important cheat codes in trading.

Jeff Yass ($59B net worth) trains traders at his $500B+ hedge fund using poker for good reason.

Here are 5 poker concepts that will make you a better trader:

[Doc @docXBT]

Leverage 101

The leverage multiplier you use isn’t the issue.

You are.

----

What actually matters in trade construction?
- Notional position size
- Defined risk in $ terms

The mechanics of how you reach that exposure are largely irrelevant.

Same size, same stop = same outcome; regardless of leverage multiplier.

Confused?

Sit down. Time for math class.

Ex:

Portfolio size - $100,000
Risk per trade - $1,000

Trade

- Long BTC at $100k
- Stop: $99k
- Target: $102k

So we accept a $1,000 risk for a potential $2,000 reward aka 2R.

Ok, now- ready for a magic trick?

Scenario (A)

$1,000 margin x100 lev = $100,000 position size

- price goes to $102k = $2,000 profit
- price goes to $99k = $1,000 loss

Scenario (B)

$10,000 margin x10 lev = $100,000 position size

- price goes to $102k = $2,000 profit
- price goes to $99k = $1,000 loss

Scenario (C)

$50,000 margin x2 lev = $100,000 position size

- price goes to $102k = $2,000 profit
- price goes to $99k = $1,000 loss

Scenario (D)

$100,000 spot BTC purchase

- price goes to $102k = $2,000 profit
- price goes to $99k = $1,000 loss

Each scenario carries identical risk and reward.

The difference lies in margin efficiency, not trade outcome.

Leverage simply determines how much capital is committed — not how much is at risk.

Risk management isn't "lowering your leverage"
or "omg he's using 100x he's taking so much risk"

Once again, it's about:

- Notional exposure
- Risk in $ terms

What most of you do:

You start with a fixed amount of money, call it $1,000, and then pick leverage based on nothing but vibes.

Scared? Want to manage risk? Use 2x.
Feeling brave? Ready to gamble? Slide it to 100x.

So you're either have a $2,000 notional bet or a $100,000 one.

Zero logic- just mood based sizing.

Want to level up? Start doing the opposite:

Define risk first.
Size second.
Leverage last.

Some added nuance for the wise asses:

In live trading, realized PnL often deviates from textbook R-multiples due to:

- Funding rates
- Taker fees and spread costs
- Slippage and volatility gaps
- Execution delay vs. mark price

All of these chip at clean setups if not accounted for.

So yes- how you size a trade and define risk matters far more than your leverage setting.

Leverage is just math.

Low IQ is the real liquidation engine.

[TradeStream @tradestream_xyz]

you didn't lose because you were wrong.

you lost because someone better used your idea against you.

your setup didn't fail it just got harvested.

trading is adversarial.

and most of you have no clue who you're up against.

heres why and how choosing the right table is key🧵

[Magus @TraderMagus]

Market Outlook

Stop what you are doing and press like or BTC will nuke to 60k

Macro: Strong up trend; Fuck you higher now or end of year

Medium Term: Momentum has been strong but observing for signs of weakness. If we round out here it means Summer chop returns

Positioning: Long my longs on BTC with some alt spot

The truth is I don't know if this rally will fail soon but I'm down to take the risk. I am trader, I made my money gambling. I find solace in accepting the randomness of this all

Does it make sense for BTC to be making fresh highs in May?

No but I'm not going to let "what makes sense" get in the way of my trading

Macro:

The macro arms race to acquire BTC has been playing out in front of your eyes and people still login to bear post
Expecting short term momentum loss as we push up towards 120k. From there we'll find out if we end up with Summer blood or not

Medium Term:
Focusing on medium timeframe, this is where we'll get a better read on how the next couple weeks play out. As long as we keep seeing these strong impulse moves play out, keep betting on up. If we start to round out you better play defense

Liquidity:
Spot asks continue to suppress price as we slow grind up. This flow feels very similar to previous breakouts in 2023/2024

Will the pick axe chip through the asks soon and allow perps to lift us or will the spot twaps turn off and go into Summer hibernation?

Breakout longers constantly getting rinsed so be mindful of this and ape their pain

Closing Thoughts:

Some how my high timeframe streak is alive, so I'm going to keep riding my momentum until I fuck up

If you've been long with me during this trend, respek bruv

Make sure you're alive when BTC trades to 200k Q4

Press like and RT if you enjoy these posts, I dont get anything out of it so give me dopamine pls

Cheers CT
-Mag

[TradeStream @tradestream_xyz]

you weren't supposed to get your money back

but some people did

not because they were lucky

but because they knew how to price the branches while everyone else froze

this is what expected value actually means... in the wild

the collapse of FTX, measured in EV

A thread: 👇

[TradeStream @tradestream_xyz]

mfer thinks mms are out to hunt them as if they’ve been chosen by citadel to be sacrificed at 9:47am sharp.

he built a cult based on conspiratorial framing and misused terminology

and i dont have anything better to do than debunk his bullshit.

a thread:

[James Wynn @JamesWynnReal]

Update on my little $BTC long position.

Reduced position size today, took some profits around $110k -$111k.

Seemed like a nice spot to TP, and seems others are doing the same right now.

In my opinion bitcoin is dying to breakout higher. My target remains the same of 115-118k by the end of next week. However, could easily happen within a matter of hours even.

I do think once bitcoin will top around 118k-122k and we’ll see a cool off and some sideways movement and then this is where things get really interesting.

Altcoin season.

[Cold Blooded Shiller @ColdBloodShill]

*TRADING EDUCATION THREAD*

Been a long time since I've done one of these but it's an important time.

This is one of the "Alt A vs Alt B" environments.

I'll expand on this concept but it's incredibly important to understand.

You are in an environment where things are green, you don't really know what to long, but you want to perform as well as everyone else is portraying they are.

You hold Alt A and think there's a good chance of upside. But you also debated buying Alt B, but you didn't.

You wake up the next morning and Alt B has mooned, your holding of Alt A is flat.

You slap yourself for being so stupid to buy Alt A instead of Alt B. "I knew it was going to pump that's why I wanted to buy it!" you tell yourself.

So you switch your holdings from Alt A into Alt B.

The next morning you wake up and Alt B has corrected and you're down -5%, meanwhile Alt A has now had it's momentum and is trading +20% on the day.

"I'm so dumb, I knew Alt A was just lagging behind!" you tell yourself.

You take your -5% loss and move back to Alt A.

This process continues throughout various markets as you constantly looking to gratification from short-term gains.

You look to outperform daily, you worry about making money right NOW.

The truth is that in these environments, you find a good set up, you wait for it to play out. Your coin may not perform well today or tomorrow, but in a few days it is likely to have played out the move you wished for.

Patience is important, if something is well planned and looks strong it's highly likely that in this environment you get a playout.

People end green patches of price action losing money because they swap too quickly between markets, have no patience and are constantly plagued by having to "outperform."

Learn to stick to your set ups and get rewarded, don't waste another period of positive conditions endlessly switching between chasing markets.