Arthur Maniero

[Arthur Maniero @arthur_maniero]

@bankunaeli Agora pq tinha esse tanto de apoiador Renan em frente ao debate? Me parece que já sabia que não ia rolar o debate pelas decisões do TSE. Rennan 🤝 togados gente boas

[Nick Hinton @NickHintonn]

If quantum physics is even real, doesn’t that imply there’s an Ultimate Observer who keeps our shared reality mostly tethered together?

[Arthur Maniero @arthur_maniero]

@TucaAndrada3 Oq mudou?

[Arthur Maniero @arthur_maniero]

@22lobista Os políticos envelheceram bem e enriqueceram, enquanto a ponte daí perdeu o corrimão. 20 anos de sucesso pra eles é isso

[signüll @signulll]

the universe rewards intensity of process but deeply punishes identification with outcome.

[Naval @naval]

The hierarchy of desire:
- The fame
- The money
- The team
- The product
- The work itself

[Magills @magills_]

Reading through Fauci’s diary

[Aravind Srinivas @AravSrinivas]

Moving fast is essentially an expression of humility as you make frequent contact with reality

[Mofiyinfoluwa Odubanke. @__mofiyinfoluwa]

i remain absolutely stunned by the degree of perseverance needed to build a meaningful life

[Arthur Maniero @arthur_maniero]

@Alessan95516275 E o IPTU pro estado serve pra que?

[BowTiedBrazil @bowtiedbrazil]

Hahahah. Brazilian banks are openly admitting that they knowingly launder money for Brazilian gangs. What a clown show

[Pope Leo XIV @Pontifex]

Deep inner suffering inevitably arises when the human person is reduced to performance, consumption, or a statistical datum. Many young people today live under the yoke of expectations to perform, immersed in an exasperated competitiveness that generates anxiety, fear of not measuring up, and disorientation.

[Dissident Soaps @DissidentSoaps]

With an IQ over 110 and an elementary understanding of game theory anyone can predict that eventually women oppressor civilizations will conquer women liberator civilizations.

[Aakash Gupta @aakashgupta]

The last time an El Niño this strong hit, it killed 50 million people. That was 3 to 4% of the entire world population. Scale that to today and you're looking at 250 million equivalent.

The 1877 Super El Niño triggered simultaneous droughts across India, China, Brazil, and East Africa. Crops failed on four continents at the same time. The famine lasted three years. Researchers have called it "arguably the worst environmental disaster to ever befall humanity."

NOAA's latest update gives a two-in-three chance this one reaches strong or very strong by fall. European models are even more aggressive. Sea surface temperatures need to exceed 2°C above normal to qualify as "super." The trajectory is pointing directly at that threshold.

Here's what makes 2026 structurally different from every previous Super El Niño: there are two independent supply shocks converging on the same crop cycle.

The Iran war has shut down roughly a third of the world's seaborne fertilizer trade through the Strait of Hormuz. US fertilizer supply was at 75% of normal in mid-March, right when the Corn Belt needed it most. Fertilizer prices hit their highest level since 2022. That input shortage is already baked into the 2026 growing season.

The El Niño yield shock operates on a 6 to 12 month lag. India is forecasting below-normal monsoons for the first time in three years. Indonesia and Malaysia carry 90% of global palm oil, and El Niño production declines in those countries take 6 to 24 months to peak. Every strong El Niño in the past 55 years has reduced global cocoa production.

So the fertilizer shortage weakens the crops El Niño is about to stress, and the El Niño yield collapse hits in 2027 on fields that were already under-fertilized in 2026. Two shocks with nearly identical lag structures, converging on the same harvest window.

The difference between 1877 and 2026: we can see this one coming six months out. The commodity futures curve is barely pricing either shock. Whether that's rational discounting or willful denial depends entirely on what the Pacific Ocean does between now and October.

[dan nolan @dannolan]

I’m not dying from some fucking hentai virus

[Arthur Maniero @arthur_maniero]

@his_eminence_j Like a knife made by an artisan is more expensive than one manufactured in industry. More valuable, yes, but unreasonable to be purchased except by very small niches (ultra high fine dining, hunting tools…).

[White Lady Mochi ☦️ @Missu_Mochi]

Coming soon to a western country near you.

[Prof. Feynman @ProfFeynman]

In physics, as in life, the path of least resistance is often the least interesting.

[Shahriq Khan @RealShahriqKhan]

As an Ex-Muslim, this was a kill shot to my theology.

One of the clearest examples of Muhammad contradicting himself: the Qibla change.

When Muslims pray, they face Mecca. That wasn’t always the case.

In early Islam (Medina, around 622–624), Muhammad told his followers to face Jerusalem when they prayed. Why? Because Jews were a strong community, and aligning with them gave him credibility as a potential prophet of the God of Abraham.

But 1–2 years later, it suddenly flips. Now he says face Mecca. Surah 2:144 records it: “Indeed we see you O Prophet turning your face towards heaven. Now we will make you turn towards a direction of prayer that will please you… turn your face towards the sacred mosque of the Kaaba.”

That’s not revelation, that’s a shift. The Jews rejected him, and now the direction changes.
Think about it:
•Jews never faced Mecca.
•Christians never faced Mecca.
•Genesis 17–21 shows Abraham and Ishmael never went to Mecca.
•The Torah never predicted a divine GPS update.

So this isn’t prophecy, it’s politics. Muhammad needed to separate from Jewish identity, consolidate authority, and center Islam on Mecca (the Kaaba), which had been a pagan pilgrimage site filled with idols.

This marks the shift from peaceful to more aggressive Quranic passages. So yes, Muslims today pray toward Mecca. But the Qibla change exposes a deeper issue:
Not divine consistency, but human maneuvering. Because the God who is the same yesterday, today, and forever doesn’t change direction like that. He comes to dwell within, through Christ, and through the Holy Spirit guiding us in truth.