Macro trader and gambler

Studying assiduously for perspicacity. Love family,real relationships with people, integrity, knowledge, wine, nature, curiosity, sports, water, travelling,food

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

I barely spend time on X feed anymore other than checking my fav accounts here and there.
If anyone would like to chat markets or anything else feel free to join me in chat, discussing with smart and positive people one of my favourite things to do:

https://t.co/R4XiqkHl9x

[Dwarkesh Patel @dwarkesh_sp]

In medieval times, within the arms race of ever more demonic torture devices, some sadistic genius came up with the idea of the Little Ease.

This was a prison cell built so small in every dimension that a grown man could not stand upright in it nor lie down at full length nor properly sit.

The pain is relentless and without relief and inflicted by one's own body. Prisoners were known to go insane within a few days. A stay at the Little Ease was considered even more cruel than the rack, the thumbscrew, and the other ghoulish machinery of the Tower of London.

A breeding pig will spend her whole life in a version of that box.

These are social, roaming creatures (more intelligent than dogs) who will never leave this corset of steel.

They have been selectively bred to be bigger than their frames can support. Yet we put them in cells so confined that they cannot comfortably sit, and their attempts to do so (for example, by sneaking their limbs into adjacent stalls) reliably lead to fractures and sprains.

They cannot sweat, yet have nothing to roll around in to cool themselves off. Except their own manure, which (contrary to the common misconception) they are so averse to (thanks to their strong sense of smell) that new sows will often suffer from constipation to avoid soiling the space from which they eat and sleep.

Here is how the writer Matthew Scully described what saw at one of Smithfield’s “gestation barn”:

> “Sores, tumors, ulcers, pus pockets, lesions, cysts, bruises, torn ears, swollen legs everywhere. Roaring, groaning, tail biting, fighting, and other “Vices,” as they’re called in the industry. Frenzied chewing on bars and chains, stereotypical “vacuum” chewing on nothing at all, stereotypical rooting and nest building with imaginary straw. And “social defeat,” lots of it, in every third or fourth stall some completely broken being you know is alive only because she blinks and stares up at you … creatures beyond the power of pity to help or indifference to make more miserable, dead to the world except as heaps of flesh into which the [insemination] rod may be stuck once more and more flesh reproduced.”

—

The Save Our Bacon Act is trying to unroll the few state protections we have against this barbaric cruelty - for example California’s Prop 12 - which banned the sale of pork from pigs kept in gestation crates.

It’s incredibly important we don’t end up with this sort of federal preemption.

SOB will not only kill the most important animal welfare related laws in the US of the past decade, but more importantly, it will also restrict ALL future legislative progress (aka how the animal welfare movement has gotten its biggest wins).

The Senate is currently deciding whether to add the SOB Act to the Farm Bill.

With relatively little money now, we can discourage the most pivotal senators in the Ag committee from backing this amendment.

Defeating this bill is even more important given the amount of philanthropic funding I expect to come online in the next year or two.

It will plausibly be over 10x more expensive to repeal SOB than to prevent it from passing in the first place.

All that money that could be spent transforming our society's relationship to mass animal suffering will instead have to be spent just getting us back to where we are right now.

That's why money spent now fighting this bill (and I mean right NOW) is so effective.

If you’re in a position to donate six figures, please DM me.

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@rossiadam Seems like a healthy society doing that.

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

Europeans can clean up mines and/or be UN peacekeepers in Southern Lebanon if can negotiate that.

Latter probably unrealistic, but should be offered.

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

My plan to solve Iran war:

US tells Israel to stop its fight in Lebanon, or be abandanoned by US defense supply chain.

China tells Iran end hostilities, open strait and pledge no strikes on Gulf, or China ends its patronage no matter discount on oil.

Uranium for end sanctions.

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@stevehou You are not sure we will continue to go down?
That sucks.
I would love to have certainty. Would make trading next weeks easy.

[Anas Alhajji @anasalhajji]

Second and third-order effects of the Hormuz crisis:

A tanker loaded with ready-to-use palm oil couldn’t pass the Strait of Hormuz, so it was rerouted to Japan.

It now has to sail back past its origin port and then all the way to Osaka. The wasted fuel, extra costs, delays, and massive CO2 emissions from just one ship are staggering.

Maps form @Kpler

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@JavierBlas The war is not fully raging for months.
Reserves China and RoW.
World was very well supplied going in. No more December prices. If said these oil prices at Xmas incredible oil bull.

[Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський @ZelenskyyUa]

I congratulate Sweden, Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson @SwedishPM, and all Swedish people on their National Day.

The Ukrainian people will always remember the significant contribution Sweden has made to the defense of our country and of all Europe. We thank you for all your support, for every aid package, and especially for strengthening our combat aviation. We are working hard to ensure that Swedish Gripen aircraft reinforce Ukrainian skies as soon as possible.

It is precisely this unity and joint work with our partners that is needed to bring the end of Russia’s war closer. We wish Sweden peace and further development.

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@rossiadam @signulll Insanely impressive now.

[Tom Bodrovics @competentinv]

Michael Kao (@UrbanKaoboy) discusses the economy's precarious balance, stating, "we're currently walking a tightrope between wildly divergent macro outcomes." Is inflation or stagnation ahead? #Economy #Stagflation

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@rossiadam Top 10 movie for sure.
All the top 10 so good hard to judge against each other.
Perfection in their own way.

[The Tennessee Holler @TheTNHoller]

“You picked Johnny Cash’s picture. You did not pick his message. Try listening to the words.”

@HunterBiden putting on a master class

[Sophie Pedder @PedderSophie]

D-Day commemoration, Omaha Beach, June 6 2024

Zelensky arrived, the crowd applauded. And then this happened:

🇺🇸 veteran: You’re a saviour of the people

Zelensky: No, no, you saved Europe

🇺🇸 veteran: My hero

Zelensky: No, you are our hero

🇺🇸🇫🇷🇺🇦

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@BlacklionCTA I go bull

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@HalfHalftrol @TheShortBear It's not crazy, can't swing in small caps with size.

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@rossiadam Honored guests in Norway always!

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@IntrepidNewsUS @sentdefender US doesn't have that capability anymore.
Kill every IRGC member?
Even doing the 2003 invasion again of a lesser country like Iraq would be difficult.

[Fed @lord_fed]

I’d like to introduce you to this revolutionary asset class called cash

[Macro trader and gambler @AssidiousMacro]

@stevehou 10 out 10 points for your post.