Tianyu Shen

PhD candidate in Demography at the Australian National University

[Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A @JRSS_A]

📢“Forecasting School Enrolments in the ACT”

@attshen831 et al. (@Demography_ANU) introduce a probabilistic model to forecast school enrolments using cohort projection, highlighting the value of prediction intervals for school planning

🔓https://t.co/lQR2iAtjGQ

[Tianyu Shen @attshen831]

Check out my PhD buddy first paper. Congrats!

[Wittgenstein Centre @WiCVienna]

Session 4 of #PopHet23 on ‘Health’ starts with Tianyu Shen on “Changing educational attainment as a driver of cohort changes in healthy longevity: a decomposition analysis of US birth cohorts”.

[Tianyu Shen @attshen831]

@ourANU It looks like a good case study for social-desirability bias 😳

[Tianyu Shen @attshen831]

@WenSu221 Without your support, it wouldn’t be possible!

[Tianyu Shen @attshen831]

Check out our paper developing a novel method to decompose difference in multistate life expectancies into the differences in age-specific transition probabilities. This method expands the toolbox for multistate models. Generalizable code is available at https://t.co/BmaFbYFKn4

[Demography Journal @ReadDemography]

“Decomposition of Differentials in Health Expectancies From Multistate Life Tables”: @attshen831 @timriffe1 @collinfpayne & V Canudas-Romo show how differences in transition probabs can → diffs in expectancies. @Demography_ANU @Opik_ikerketa @Ikerbasque
https://t.co/FM5DZWfWj4

[Tianyu Shen @attshen831]

@collinfpayne @Demography_ANU

[Tianyu Shen @attshen831]

My first PhD paper exploring the interactions between disability and morbidity in the US. The younger cohorts certainly spend more of their lifetime with morbidities but not more time with disabilities. These patterns suggest dynamic equilibrium theory.
https://t.co/zZjUbski9y

[ANUDemography @Demography_ANU]

The DEMO-ECR Symposium has kicked off. Over 25 presentations and posters from AUS and NZ PhD scholars. @OzPopulation #PANZ @UQ_QCPR

[Tianyu Shen @attshen831]

My first paper as first author is out🎺
https://t.co/mB7KiPlaht

[British Society for Population Studies - BSPS @bspsUK]

How does survival contribute to changes in the net reproduction rate (NRR) ?

New article in #popstudies by Tianyu Shen, @LazzariEster & Vladimir Canudas-Romo:

[ANUDemography @Demography_ANU]

Evidence-based policy and planning by the ACT Education Directorate, partnering with @Demography_ANU
https://t.co/8dlPP9USH6

[PhD_Genie @PhD_Genie]

Trying to finalize a paper

https://t.co/arndPkE6oW

[Human Mortality Database @HMDatabase]

#poptwitter #epitwitter
We just launched the 🆕 website for our Human Life-Table Database w/ updated content #HLD #HMD
https://t.co/bG5iRrKg1F

Some details on why & how HLD can be useful for your research 🧵1/7

🔸HLD is a collection of life tables (LT) produced mainly by NSOs

[Demography Journal @ReadDemography]

New from @IsabelHMBrooks & Abigail Weitzman @UTPopCenter: “Highly religious women prioritize an aversion to stigmatized, nonmarital pregnancies over an adherence to religious norms against contraception.” That is, absent hormonal use, they rely on condoms. https://t.co/48Z5yMywnH

[ANUDemography @Demography_ANU]

See our knew visualisation for our ACT School Transition Enrolment Projection (STEP) project with the talented Jess @KnowlegibleDsg

[Demography Journal @ReadDemography]

New from @collinfpayne & Kim Xu on SES & longevity in China: Life expectancy & disability-free LE differ most w/ persistently low or high SES over the life course. Accumulation of advantage/disadvantage may drive disparities among elderly. @Demography_ANU
https://t.co/ueQTJRLCC6

[ANUDemography @Demography_ANU]

New research on Australian life expectancy from Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Brian Houle and Tim Adair.

[Australia @Australia]

“Excuse me, sir, have you seen any quality leaves around here?”

(via IG/thatmrlund on @westaustralia’s @rottnestisland) #seeaustralia