Avery

social democrat and Democrat, wx enthusiast, banner by @geoplanetary (they/them) ꙮ🚱💜🌇🧣

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

So many thanks to @josh_metcalf for compiling this data so quickly and getting it on DRA. I know from experience how maddening it is to collect CA election data (especially at this pace!!) Please give him all the love

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

Prop 50 performed exceptionally well in SoCal, in many precincts (especially in Riverside County and the SB high desert) it achieved margins that no other dem candidate has approached previously

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@BanUnsweetTea masterful gambit

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@DuckworthStan don't get used to it lol

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

I know I'm late on this, but what exactly happened in Georgia? Did republicans not know that there was an election?

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

remember to vote, gals

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@TylerDinucci @admcrlsn @kkondik @JMilesColeman @JacobRubashkin @jamesd0wns @VanceUlrich @lxeagle17 @arcuve Gray is also one of the stronger candidates that CA Dems have, if you expect him to win Merced County (which is quite likely) then there's not really any path for a Republican win next year.

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@admcrlsn @kkondik @JMilesColeman @JacobRubashkin @jamesd0wns @VanceUlrich @lxeagle17 @arcuve something like this

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@TheNovaAqua1 From this tweet or you can download the shapefile from here https://t.co/TgO2D0F7GB https://t.co/0GFjkdBCNy

[Rob Pyers @rpyers]

DRA link here:
https://t.co/HKGhXjtTk0

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

Some notable changes for dem incumbents around LA on the new CA map (current lines in black)
27 (Whitesides): Much bluer now, hard to see him losing
32 (Sherman): Trades parts of SFV for all of Simi Valley, primary protection? 26 (Brownley) is fairly blue either way.

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

38 (New): Assuming Sanchez runs in 41, new 38 is mostly in the SGV and not east LA
41 (Sanchez): This is likely the "new district" that was talked about, however it is about half Sanchez' current district
42 (Garcia): Now mostly white, Dem base entirely in Long Beach, pretty safe

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@SageOfTime1 @EKYDemocrat @ArianaSenator @ADincgor @Planetaire27 @Shane_maps @nikicaga @politicaphile @chrispy_kreeme @ElpisActual @zach_from_ohio @julseptx @fprosk @FreudenthalStan @adriaeln @LilyArtemisTO @nickyphorus117 @TadeuszMrozek2 @AvgTXDem can you stop tagging me in these

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@brownsonjacob2 And semi-related: between May 4 and May 27th they were 11-11 and since June 26 they're 8-8

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@brownsonjacob2 excluding the 8-0 start, 4x (April 5, April 16, April 22, and April 27)

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@exist_you Neither? I mean exactly what I said

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

As someone who's no longer active in this space, looking in and seeing the blanket statements people make on here about elections that are two+ years away is just absurd. You don't know that Brian Kemp will beat Jon Ossoff, that is literally unknowable, why are you saying that.

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@exist_you I do not know or particularly care at this point

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

@WhisperBox7 heathen

[Avery @averyhatestwt]

You usually run out of ___ before ___