Axel Gandy

Chair of Statistics, Imperial College London

[Axel Gandy @axel_gandy]

We’re hiring!
Join Imperial's Department of Mathematics as an Assistant, Associate or Full Professor in Pure Maths, Applied Maths, Stats or Math Finance.
We have several posts available, so apply by 30 Nov 2025!
https://t.co/InFnKizbkf
@imperialcollege @ImperialMaths

[Jameel Institute @Imperial_Jameel]

NEW PUBLICATION in @ScienceMagazine

➡️Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States

👇Read the full article here:
https://t.co/9xtHSZnDWV

[StatML CDT @StatMLIO]

StatML studentships - 2021 intake. Applications for the second round close on Friday 22 January. Full details available on our website https://t.co/U9kCCzVbqN. We look forward to receiving your application.

[MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis @MRC_Outbreak]

Prof @axel_gandy on @BBCRadio4 this morning speaking about the latest report on the new #SARSCoV2 variant of concern in England

📻https://t.co/Q8qagg13ee (from 48:15) @imperialcollege

[MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis @MRC_Outbreak]

UPDATE #COVID19 new variant VOC202012/01 in England

➡️VOC growing rapidly
➡️Transmission advantage for VOC of 0.4 to 0.7 difference in reproduction number compared to non-VOC variant
➡️VOC affecting a greater proportion of under 20s

👉Report https://t.co/wZkdw9fCIj

[Axel Gandy @axel_gandy]

@walterra @FabianValka @creswapi @flaxter @DrSamirBhatt @imperialcollege Yes, whenever you have a change of policy then the model will take some time to adjust.

[Science, Innovation and Technology Committee @CommonsSITC]

Tomorrow from 9.30am we'll be holding the second session of our #COVID19LessonsLearnt inquiry with
@CommonsHealth.

We'll hear from @MaxCRoser, Prof David Heymann, @ONS, Prof John Edmunds, Prof Mark Woolhouse, @axel_gandy, and Dr Clare Gardiner.

📺https://t.co/mYCxCSfELW

[Axel Gandy @axel_gandy]

We have updated the local projection map at https://t.co/IIzsvQJtsM to show probabilities of exceeding additional thresholds (50,100,200, 500 weekly cases per 100k population).

As always, please remember that this is a model with limitations.

[StatML CDT @StatMLIO]

We are very pleased to welcome our second cohort to the StatML CDT. Looking forward to an exciting and challenging four years
https://t.co/hEjTt41GRt

[Axel Gandy @axel_gandy]

@rogerha @Imperial_Stats @ImperialMaths @MRC_Outbreak @creswapi @flaxter Good question. I have added one more entry to the FAQ (see last entry of https://t.co/5F8N5KpRFL)- hopefully this clarifies this.

[Axel Gandy @axel_gandy]

We have extended the local COVID-19 projections by adding NI to cover the entire UK https://t.co/MmYg7XTX1B

Models project further increases in cases.

Interpret results carefully (see limitations under Details).

@Imperial_Stats @ImperialMaths @MRC_Outbreak

[Axel Gandy @axel_gandy]

Projections for regions of the UK are now also available, see
https://t.co/lSo6LN1W8G

[MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis @MRC_Outbreak]

NEW WEBSITE launched today for England & Wales:

➡️Estimates for the probability regions will become #COVID19 ‘hotspots’ in the next three weeks
➡️Map out estimates for 334 local authorities

🔰Find out more: https://t.co/L6hErarSua

[Axel Gandy @axel_gandy]

@DanielRueckert Congratulations! Viel Spaß in München.

[Andrew Gelman et al. @StatModeling]

epidemia: An R package for Bayesian epidemiological modelling https://t.co/PEnd6SQO8T

[Jameel Institute @Imperial_Jameel]

New R-package 'epidemia' released today!

➡️user-friendly interface
➡️fit local data to epidemiological model
➡️produce R rate & meta analysis for impact of interventions

🔰Find out more https://t.co/HGc9tXrtNT

JamesScott @axel_gandy @creswapi @flaxter @EttieUnwin @DrSamirBhatt

[Jameel Institute @Imperial_Jameel]

What is happening in the US? State-level #COVID19 estimates on transmission, cases, deaths and number of infectious individuals now updated regularly.

Read more: https://t.co/IcPbzK6t5A

@flaxter @EttieUnwin @axel_gandy @creswapi @DrSamirBhatt

[Jameel Institute @Imperial_Jameel]

Now available: updated US state level tracking of #COVID19

➡️Dashboard will be updated regularly based on latest reported COVID-19 cases and deaths

🔰Read the full reports here https://t.co/CpqarQSlSL

[Axel Gandy @axel_gandy]

Our work on the effect of interventions on COVID-19 in Europe has now appeared in Nature. https://t.co/UzsXlzGMEr.
Congrats to
@flaxter, @DrSamirBhatt, @creswapi
and all the other authors!

[MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis @MRC_Outbreak]

UPDATE: #covid19science #COVID19 in USA

➡️Initial national average reproduction number R was 2.2
➡️24 states have Rt over 1
➡️Increasing mobility cause resurgence (doubling number of deaths in 8 weeks)
➡️4.1% of people infected nationally

🔰Report https://t.co/lcFch0FxCt