Somaliland’s independence is not realistic in terms of ethnicity, religion sect and language. There is no difference between Somaliland and other parts of Somalia on above criteria. There is only one difference which is clan and federalism would perfectly suit. If every clan gets an independent state, Africa would have more than 500 states.
However, main problem with Somalia-Somaliland issue is Mogadishu. If Mogadishu solve political and security problems for other parts of Somalia, Somaliland would not have strong case for independence. So blaming Somaliland doesn’t help, let’s make Mogadishu works.
Doodda ku saabsan goboleynta iyo degmeyntu way soo noqnoqotaa. Inta badanna, dowladaha kala duwan waa siyaasadeeyaan. Bal dib ha loo aqeriyo qodobka 49aad ee Dastuurka KMG ah. Dabcan fakhradaha uu qodobkani ka kooban yahay waa is-burrinayaan. Waana muuqataa inaan si fiican looga fekerin markii la qorayey. Haba ahaatee, haddii loo raaco sida uu qoran yahay, gobollada qaar ayaan soo buuxinayn shuruudaha ku qoran.
Ha lala aqriyo sida caalamku uu sameeyo goboleynta waayo waxaa jira gobollo juqraafi ahaan iyo dad ahaanba yaryar, haddana ah gobol. Prince Edward Island waa gobol yar oo Canada ka tirsan, haddana waa gobol la mid ah Ontario iyo Quebec. Tusaale kale waa Mareykanka oo Rhode Island oo aad u yar waa gobol halka, Alaska oo dhul ahaan weyn iyo California iyo New York oo ay dad aad u badan deggan yihiin ay yihiin gobollo. Weliba midkiiba wuxuu soo dirsadaa laba senator.
Goboleynta iyo degmeynta waa lama huraan in la iska wareysto.
Haddii haldoorka Soomaaliyeed ayan bedelin dhaqanka guracan ee siyaasadda, dib-udhiska dowladnimada Soomaaliyeed waxay ku jiraysaa jaho-wareer, ila meerayso, iyo kufaa-kicid. Dhaqankaas wuxuu ku salaysanyahay: siyaasad qabiilaysan, siyaasad laga ganacsado, siyaasad la kala xoogo iyo siyaasiyiin ku xiran xoogag shisheeye oo taageero ka raadsada. Sidaas oo kale, shacabka Soomaaliyeed lagama adkaa karo oo ma aqbalayaan iyo dawlado kale qabsadaan, ama sidii ay doonaan ka yeelaan dhulkooda iyo dadkooda. Waa shacab aan uhogaasamin shisheeye, kuna kungoobeen dowladahii isku daye inay xoog ama xeelad ku qabsadaan. Hadaba, waa in haldoorku ka waantoobo dhaqan xumadda siyaasadeed, dowladuhuna ayan ku hungoobin inay isku dayaan inay xoog ama xeelad ku xukumaan Soomaalida. Waa in haldoorka Soomaaliyeed iyo dowladaha daneeya Soomaaliya intaas gartaan, kuna hawlgalaan.
Soomaaliyey Maqal; waxan la hadlayaa, mucaarad iyo muxaafid, siyaasi, Culimada, askari, ganacsade, dhaqan, arkday dhamaan, dalku badbaado ayuu u baahan yahay.
Waxan ka codsanayaa, Madaxweyne XSM iyow dowlada federalka in ay qofkasta oo badbaadada dalka wax ku kordhin kara u yeerto. Barnaamijka doorashooyinka iyo wax ka bedelka dastuurkana dib u dhigto, ushana isku meel laga wada qabsado.
Waxa kaloon ka codsanayaa madaxda maamul goboleedyada in ay kaalin tooda ka qaataan baraarujinta bulsha weynta Soomaaliyeed ooy diraan fariin dalka lagu badbaadinayo. Maamul iyo degma Soomaaliya ka mida oo badbaadeysaa ma jirto hadii Villa Soomaaliya gacanta argagixisada gasho.
Xasuusin: Taliban Afganistaan iyo Xayat Taxriir Shaam Siiriya, waqti hore ayay sheegeen in ay Alqaacida iskaga baxeen. Lkn, Alshabab weli waxay ka tirsan yihiin ururka Alqacida, waxayna marqaati u tahay meesha ay Soomaaliya u wadaan. Alshabaab diyaar uma ahan dowladnimo Soomaaliyana ma aqoonsana.
RABI TALA KU FILAN.
Reports today indicate that Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud is heading to Addis Ababa to meet Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed.
This is a grave mistake.
Ten months ago, the president was detained in Addis while attending the AU Summit. Throughout 2024, Ethiopia and Abiy schemed to dismember Somalia and annex its sea and land. They haven’t stopped.
Less than a month ago, Abiy stalled the Ankara negotiations for seven hours, objecting to the inclusion of the phrase “Somalia’s unity will be respected” in the communiqué.
Now, the Turkish president is reportedly planning visits to Ethiopia and Somalia to mediate and normalize relations, expected in Addis and Mogadishu within days or weeks.
So why rush to Addis now—a country actively scheming against Somalia? Doesn’t the opinion of the Somali people matter? These are the same people who stood by you. Why throw them under the bus?
Abiy and his deep state know how to manipulate and push their interests. They’re creating a wedge between you and your people, setting you up for betrayal once they have you exposed.
What is wrong with you? Why can’t you read the room?
Somalia has built strong allies like Egypt, Djibouti, and Eritrea, who stuck their necks out for Somalia and for you as a leader. They risked and strained their relationships with Ethiopia and Abiy’s enablers—those who wish ill for Somalia. Are you throwing that all away too?
Why act as though nothing has happened? This is the same Ethiopia that sought to seize Somalia’s seas 500 years ago, still wants them now, and will likely want them 500 years from today.
The irony is that you and your officials privately admit to Somalis that their worst fears about Abiy’s intentions are true—nothing has changed.
Instead of engaging with Abiy, focus on making peace with other Somalis. Go to Puntland and assist in their fight against ISIS. Provide them with some of the resources the world has given to Somalia to tackle this terror group. Reconcile with Mogadishu politicians, including the two former presidents, past prime ministers, and opposition MPs. Make peace with Jubaland. That’s how Somalia can move forward, enabling elections and an agreed-upon constitution.
You have real internal issues to address—issues that can be solved. Yet, you seem to be chasing a mirage: Ethiopia is a rational state with two clear objectives—to keep Somalia destabilized and to seize its sea. You have said this yourself over the past twelve months. Have you forgotten?
Mr. President, Abiy is an intelligence officer, and he is entrapping you.
He will not cajole or arm-twist regional leaders who oppose you, and even if he tries, it will come at great cost to Somalia and to you.
The wait is OVER.
Episode 1 of #THEPULSE is here on my X SPACES.
This SUNDAY December 29th 9PM EAT (Mogadishu time).
WE will have special guests to help us UNPACK 2024 and look ahead to 2025 and beyond.
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Political schizophrenia on steroids. Hope this explains the contradictory statements & diplomatic actions of the past couple of weeks since the #AnkaraAgreement.
@HassanSMohamud is too fluid.
@AhmedMoFiqi is too rogue.
God help Somalia.
Xeer Ciise: Oral customary laws of Somali-Issa communities in Ethiopia, Djibouti and Somalia recognised by UNESCO as world intangible heritage https://t.co/V4DiEVMvgk
Congratulations to Somaliland for the successful, peaceful, free, and fair elections. Congratulations to the President-elect, @Abdirahmanirro, and Vice President-elect, Mohamed Ali.
For Somalia, the big lesson is the sequencing of peace-building activities. Create a secure environment first by consolidating the legitimate use of force and disarming clan militias.
A noteworthy aspect of this election was the significant role played by traditional elders in conflict resolution and the influence they had on the outcome.
Perhaps another lesson for Somalia is how Somaliland blended traditional structures with the modern state system. We can replace the useless senate with the "House of Chiefs."
Finally, congratulations to the traditional elders who skillfully brokered the election agreement that resulted in the new government.
Saddex Geesood Gobolka dan weyni ugu jirto, laguna heshiiyey in la yeesho iskaashi istiraatiiji oo heerkiisu sarreeyo oo dhinacyo badan leh & in Somalia madaxbananideeda & wadajirkeedu lama taabtaan yahay.
Waxaa shirkan Laga soo saaray warmurtiyeed wadaag ah & kuwo 2 geesood ah.
At the end of the day, Madam undersecretary well understands that the final decision lies with Somali leadership. Undersecretary Phee is an avid student of Addis Ababa and understands well that PM Abiy crossed the line with Somalia. She can lobby for what the US thinks to be the best approach. The rest will be left to the two sides of Somalia and Ethiopia. No arms twisting on this issue, one would assume.
This guy, a relic from old Ethiopia, is confused. First of all, it was not PL that asked Meles Zenawi to join hips with Ethiopia. It was Somaliland during Egal in 1994 (Horn Africa or Qandhi Africa). Actually, I wrote an article in 1994 on the “Ethiopian Review.”
Secondly, except one or two radical ministers from PL, often expressing their personal (radical) viewpoints, we have not seen any evidence to substantiate the claim of this commentator about PL. It is discomforting to hear a a member of PM Abiy’s advisory team on the MoU with Somaliland and the futile search for a port to say this on its official media. Taken this together with the multiple arms shipment Addis has undertaken in the last few months, Somalia is under a low intensity invasion.
He is right, though, to say that some regional governments in Somalia are close to Addis Ababa. That cannot be denied. Neither can deny how complex the Somaliland issue. As to his bet on Somaliland never coming back to the fold of Somalia, he overcommitted himself to abet that is so complex even Somalis with significant knowledge of the Somali condition are careful not to be definitive except to say Somalia cannot be decided. It is a nagging Somali issue to be solved by Somalis alone, given SSC -Khatumo has declared its own administration free from Somaliland and Awadel rebels are gearing up for an open confrontation with Hargeisa. What we learn from this gentleman is that Ethiopia is naked in its work to undo Somalia.
Worse of all, he talked about self-determination. If any country has to walk on eggshells regarding the issue of self-determination, it has to be those elites who love to see Ethiopia not overplay this other countries’ internal challenges. After all, Ethiopia houses ONLF, OLF-OLF, TPLF, FANO, and others all fighting for some sort of sel-determination. Why the man on the glass house chose to throw stones on neighboring mud houses?
Call that Addis Ababa’s contemporary crazy mentality and juvenile politics in the HoA region.
You probably know some people who air their grievances like every day is Festivus.
It turns out that this is a strategy that selfish people often use to signal virtue without having to model it.
🇪🇹 🇪🇬 🇸🇴
Abiy’s Strategy: Masking #Ethiopia’s Internal Turmoil with Phantom Enemies
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Due to his drive-through policies — one day a friend to this country or that group, and the next day their sworn enemy — Abiy Ahmed has put himself in an increasingly tight spot. Pick any of the groups he has befriended, used, and deceived: the #Oromo, who catapulted him to the position of power he is in; the #Amhara and #Eritrea, who helped him decimate Tigray; or #Somalia and #Djibouti, who welcomed him as a reformer.
Today, due to his mishaps and juvenile decision-making, Abiy is fighting a multi-front civil war in #Ethiopia. The FANO, an Amhara rebel group, controls most of their cities, or at the very least, has made them ungovernable for him.
Meanwhile, the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), rebel forces from his own community, also rise against him. And the bitter, now divided,
#Tigray will never forget the massacre of 2021/22, where a million people perished in an all-out war that led to their total defeat — which made them accept the victor’s peace, according to them, to “preserve what was left of them.”
With Ethiopia now practically a failed state, consumed by intractable internal upheavals, Abiy Ahmed needs an external enemy to distract his people and the world from the anarchy creeping toward his doorstep.
First, it was about ‘access to the sea’ and his attempt to seize #Somalia’s coast. But when that strategy failed, Abiy and his underlings, in the coming days, will shift their focus to #Egypt #Egypt #Egypt.
As with all living beings nearing their inevitable end, be it horse or human, making their erratic convulsions, Abiy, as a failed leader, will continue acting irrationally, turning to external issues and phantom enemies.
The reality is, just as intoxication won’t make problems go away, focusing on non-existent external issues or enemies won’t make FANO, OLA, the Tigray pains or Ethiopia’s economic woes disappear.
A leader like Mandela is what the multi-ethnic, war-torn Ethiopia of 2024 needs — not a self-centric, out-of-touch leader wannabe.