Trader_Baba

I am not a bot, just a simple guy with opinions.

☆KEEP CALM AND BUY THE DIP☆

[Trader_Baba @baba_trader]

@KobeissiLetter omg

[Antonio Costa @ACInvestorBlog]

$SPCX Just in : $300 Calls with DTE6 (next week) 🤯

[Shay Boloor @StockSavvyShay]

$SPCX is reportedly considering a direct-to-consumer Starlink mobile service in the U.S., which could put it in direct competition with $VZ, $T and $TMUS.

SpaceX is trying to move beyond carrier partnerships and turn Starlink into a full consumer connectivity platform.

[Alphatica @alphaticaio]

SPX GEX LEVELS: Jun 26 (Weekly OPEX)

🚨The oscillation thesis didn't just hold. It went fractal.

SPY crossed the regime flip 32 times in a single session. Sixteen flips from positive to negative. Sixteen flips back. All within a $1.68 range. The structure is so contested near spot that every $0.50 move changes the gamma regime. The oscillation we described between sessions is now happening within sessions.

SPX closed flat at 7,358. Unchanged from yesterday. The market went nowhere while the regime underneath it flipped 32 times. That's the signature of the oscillation regime: violent structural instability producing a range-bound outcome. The accelerators below fire on every dip. The thin positive above fires on every bounce. Neither side wins. The regime churns.

MU beat every estimate and rallied 16% after hours. The AI demand narrative that AVGO questioned and MU answered did not generate enough call buying to push SPX through the flip at 7,409. The 7,400 accelerator at -$87M absorbed the rally attempt. The semiconductor catalyst that should have triggered a June 4-style reversal was structurally neutralized by the put concentration between 7,350 and 7,400.

This tells you something important about the oscillation regime: it resists catalysts. In the suppression regime, catalysts were absorbed by the blanket and produced small moves. In the crisis regime, catalysts produced large directional moves. In the oscillation regime, catalysts are contested. The structure fights itself. The 32 flips are the evidence.

Net GEX eased slightly from -$531M to -$452M. The flip narrowed from 71 points above to 51 points above at 7,409. Marginal improvement but the regime is still cleanly negative. The accelerator chain at 7,300 (-$133M), 7,350 (-$109M), 7,400 (-$87M) holds every recovery attempt in check.

The flow split was the oscillation in action: puts dominated below spot (7,300 at -$66M new, 7,350 at -$58M, 7,325 at -$42M) while calls built above (7,450 at +$33M, 7,400 at +$23M, 7,425 at +$22M). Institutions are building positions in both directions simultaneously. That's not hedging. That's disagreement expressed through options flow.

Tomorrow is weekly OPEX. The drain hits a structure at -$452M. The prior OPEX cleared the crisis infrastructure and gave the market a three-session positive window. The pattern says this OPEX does the same: clears the near-dated puts, produces a brief positive window, institutions reload, and the oscillation continues.

If the pattern holds, the post-OPEX window is the actionable opportunity. The OPEX clears the puts. The magnets at 7,500 (+$48M) and 7,600 (+$37M) engage for 2-3 sessions. Then the reload starts. The window is short. It's the only consistent positive gamma window the oscillation regime produces.

Tomorrow's expected range: 7,275 – 7,425. The OPEX pins weakly in negative gamma. The 7,300 accelerator at -$133M is 58 points below. The flip at 7,409 is 51 points above. OPEX drains whatever remains.

Structural floor: 6,895 (-6.3%).

$SPY $QQQ solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr

[GURGAVIN @gurgavin]

SPACEX SHARES ARE NOW TRADING BELOW THE IPO OPENING PRICE OF $150 IN OVERNIGHT TRADING

EVERY SINGLE PERSON WHO BOUGHT SPACEX SHARES AFTER THE IPO IS NOW IN THE RED

$SPCX

[naiive @naiivememe]

10 yo : think coffee is adult drink
20 yo : think alcohol is adult drink
30 yo : realize water is the ultimate adult drink.

[Trader_Baba @baba_trader]

$SPCX I am calling calculated top at $260, currently we are forming left shoulder. Will come back to retest this tweet in couple of months

[RTN @RTNToronto]

#BREAKING: Toronto could receive up to 40 mm of rain overnight as thunderstorms move through the GTA! ⚠️⛈️

[Trader_Baba @baba_trader]

@JPATrades wtf

[Theta Warrior @ThetaWarrior]

$DRAM SWEEPER ALERT 🧹

[Trader_Baba @baba_trader]

@smartertrader large dump is incoming imho

[Alphatica @alphaticaio]

🚨🚨 Bullish & Bearish Pattern Detected | Friday June 12

Two patterns detected simultaneously. One bearish. One bullish. The scanner is conflicted heading into FOMC week. We publish at detection, not after confirmation. Here's what fired.

HEAD & SHOULDERS | 7/7 STRONG | STAGE 1
Neckline: $731.53 | Target: $702.66 | Stop: $760.40
Historical Data: 62% success, avg -5.7% decline (72 patterns)

This is the one to watch. Stage 1 means the head formed (the $760 ATH) and the right shoulder is forming NOW as the bounce from $725 approaches $740. The left shoulder formed around late May at $748. The head was the June 2 high at $760.

The neckline at $731.53 is 1.0% below current price. If the bounce stalls below $750 and price rolls back through $731.53, the H&S completes with a target of $702.66. That's $700, the institutional put wall with 370K contracts.

The stop at $760.40 means the pattern invalidates on new highs. The right shoulder needs to stay below the head. If price reclaims $760, the H&S is dead.

Key detail: volume at the head (31.6M) was weaker than the left shoulder (45.3M). That's textbook H&S. Conviction faded at the high. Four of last five bars are red. The momentum component is confirmed.

ASCENDING TRIANGLE | CONFIRMED
Flat resistance around $758-$760
Rising support from the higher lows since $725

This is the bullish counter-signal. Ascending triangles resolve upward 65-70% of the time. The flat resistance is the ATH zone ($758-$760) tested multiple times. The rising support is the higher lows forming on the recovery ($725 → $735 → $739).

If price reclaims $750 and tests $758-$760 again, the ascending triangle breakout targets new highs. If it fails at resistance, the triangle fails and the H&S right shoulder completes.

THE CONFLICT:

The H&S says: the bounce is the right shoulder of a topping pattern. Failure below $731 targets $702.

The ascending triangle says: the higher lows are building energy for a breakout above $760 toward new highs.

Both cannot be right. The resolution depends on what happens at $750. If the bounce pushes through $750 and tests $758-$760, the ascending triangle wins and the H&S is invalidated. If the bounce stalls below $750 and rolls over, the H&S right shoulder completes and the ascending triangle fails.

$750 is the pattern arbiter. Above it: bullish resolution. Below it: bearish resolution.

THE STRUCTURAL CONTEXT:

GEX: -$299M. Improving but negative. The $750 magnet at +$190M is pulling. But the GEX flip at $734 (0.7% below) means one session of selling flips the regime back to amplification. The structure is supportive enough for a push to $750 but not strong enough to guarantee it holds.

FOMC Tuesday-Wednesday. Warsh's first meeting. The pattern resolution likely comes AFTER the FOMC decision, not before. The market may consolidate between $735-$745 through Monday, then the FOMC outcome resolves the pattern.

We publish both patterns at detection. The data determines which resolves. We'll track the H&S right shoulder daily through FOMC week. If it completes, we publish the breakdown. If it invalidates, we publish that too.

$750 is the line. Above: ascending triangle wins. Below: H&S wins. FOMC decides.

$SPY $QQQ $VIX

[Trader_Baba @baba_trader]

$SPCX Hold your fucking breath bitches! lol

[Trader_Baba @baba_trader]

@Zac_Markovich YUP exctly

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

Many are asking why is SpaceX, $SPCX, NOT trading yet?

Here's exactly how the IPO process works and when the shares will be available to trade (Bookmark this):

The IPO was quoted at 9:50 AM ET and was expected to begin trading at 10:00 AM ET, but that does NOT guarantee shares will trade at that time.

Before trading begins, Nasdaq must complete a price-discovery auction where buy and sell orders are collected and matched.

At around 9:50 AM ET, "first indications" came out which are essentially a "gauge" of where the stock will open.

The first indications on $SPCX came in at $175/share, or a ~30% premium to the $135/share IPO price.

During this process:

1. Orders are entered, but no trades occur yet

2. Nasdaq continuously updates the indicative opening price

3. The opening price is adjusted until supply and demand are balanced

4. Only then does the opening auction occur and the first trade print

For major IPOs, delays are common such as Google in 2004 and Meta in 2012 which saw their first trades over 2 hours after the US market opened.

We expect the SpaceX IPO to open for trading within the next 60 minutes.

Buckle up for a historic day.

[RonnieV @TheRonnieVShow]

DO NOT CHASE $SPCX

Humans are emotional.

There will be multiple opportunities down the road to buy this futuristic company.

[Research On Markets @CryptoNews_eth]

$SPCX hit the ❤️ to turn it into a 🚀

[Trader_Baba @baba_trader]

@StealthQE4

[Ripster @ripster47]

🚨 Once you start to understand market patterns you tend to have a feeling about Risk Reward

My morning note for investors

"Expecting Taco"

Why we add bunch of swings https://t.co/3jEjW3yS30

All Charts were posted Free at @TenetCharts

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

This is absolutely insane:

The SpaceX IPO has now drawn more than $70 BILLION worth of retail orders alone.

SpaceX is raising $75 billion, making retail interest ALONE enough to nearly fill the entire sale.

To put this in perspective, the previous record IPO was Saudi Aramco in 2020 at $29.4 billion.

This means that retail interest in SpaceX is now 2.4 TIMES larger than the total amount raised in the previous largest IPO in history.

As a result, SpaceX has announced that 20% of their IPO will be allocated to retail investors, following through on @elonmusk's vision to democratize the record IPO.

Nothing even remotely near what SpaceX is about to do has ever happened.

Friday will be a historic day.