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I’m 20 years old, still a university student.
Before this dispute, I was one of the top 10 YES holders in the Polymarket MicroStrategy market. I lost around 35,000 USDC because I trusted the written rule.
The rule said YES if MicroStrategy sold Bitcoin by May 31.
It did not say the sale had to be publicly disclosed by May 31.
That is the whole issue.
If you want to help:
Repost this.
Tag a journalist.
Tag a lawyer.
Send this to a crypto researcher.
Submit your case if you were affected.
https://t.co/pmXUtr9jFD
Silence is what platforms count on.
Don’t give them that.
Watching Binance and all CEXs listing #stocks being play by the 50+ years of hardware competition by Tradfi, #CT being eaten alive with no bones left 🤣 @cryptomanran
Here's my honest opinion on the MSTR market resolution.
It will close NO.
This is because UMA is forced to respect the rules as written by Polymarket. Polymarket changed the rules, and now the outcome is literally in the rules.
Even if UMA voters think that this outcome is ridiculous... they are forced to ratify it. They must abide by the rules that Polymarket wrote.
So really... in 5 hours, we simply receive confirmation that UMA is forced to follow centralized Polymarket decisionmaking. Polymarket can change the rules, at any time, for any reason, and UMA are forced to respect it. No voting needed.
So is UMA really that independent? Does UMA hold any power whatsoever? Not really. It's puppet decentralization so that Polymarket can shift dispute blame onto a separate entity.
This market most likely closes NO in 5 hours. But that doesn't change anything.
The scam already occurred. Clearly, the way that this gets solved will not be through Polymarket's internal processes. So let's take it to the next level.
In my opinion, Polymarket made a massive mistake here by changing the rules so brazenly. They fucked up... BAD.
If you're going to rely on a system that offloads dispute blame to another entity, you shouldn't take it upon yourself to cut that entity out of the resolution process. Now, the blame falls entirely on Polymarket's shoulders. This really isn't a difficult argument to make.
Any rational individual who looks at this market can conclude that Polymarket themselves now have the responsibility of this market's resolution. Big mistake, and that's what makes this case very different from prior UMA voting disputes. You can't hide behind UMA now.
Polymarket markets are resolved according to a set of pre-defined and stated rules. Polymarket themselves modified these market rules. The clarification materially changed the conditions for a Yes outcome after trading had already occurred.
Polymarket's own documentation says clarifications "cannot change the fundamental intent of the question."
Clearly, this one did.
Polymarket, your time is running out.
.@shayne_coplan@Polymarket
$74M of volume handed to ten wallets who treat your oracle like their personal fleshlight
your "mstr-sold-btc-by-may-31" market is resolving NO.
the 8-K filed june 1 confirms mstr sold 32 btc between may 26-31. on-chain shows ~411 btc moved to coinbase prime on may 29, first outflow in 3.5 years per @arkham. june 30 and december 31 sub-markets both at 100% YES because the sale fucking happened in the window
your rules name three resolution sources: MSTR filings, on-chain data, consensus reporting. all three confirm sale in window. resolving NO requires every voter to check which way the whales pissed and aim the same direction
then you dropped a banner saying "confirmation achieved outside of the market's time frame does not qualify" and quietly rewrote the question from "did mstr sell btc by may 31" to "did a press release land by may 31." you ran the first one for 35 days, ate $74M of volume on it, and resolved the second one. clarification dragged wherever the bag needed it to go
mstr files weekly on mondays. every trader bidding YES knew the 8K was coming. smart money front ran the disclosure exactly as the rules were written. then a discord circle jerk of UMA bagholders reframed event timing as announcement timing mid dispute, and every voter who could read the room said yes sir to avoid getting slashed
easy fix: when primary resolution source confirms event in window, market resolves on the event. if you want announcement timing markets, write the fucking words "publicly confirmed by [deadline]" into the rules. you override sports payouts when umpires fuck up. all it takes is a junior engineer and a weekend to ship the same logic. you have a bunch of UMA whales on speed dial and shipping the fix means admitting that out loud
ngmi
https://t.co/tGZP4VNl7S
There is no discussion of whether it was annouce or not, it was onchain for MicroStrategy that actually sold 6 days ago, and only being annouced later. It is whether facts or annoucement for @PolymarketTrade@PolymarketDevs@Polymarket
🚨 A 500x return or a $52M Rug Pull? The Polymarket MicroStrategy Dispute.
Look at the screenshot. On May 31, the market was 99.9% certain MicroStrategy didn't sell any Bitcoin. The "Yes" shares were trading at 0.2¢.
Then, on June 1, an SEC filing dropped: they actually sold 32 BTC last week.
Now, a $52,665,828 market is stuck "In Review".
"Yes" buyers bought the ultimate bottom and are demanding resolution based on the actual sale date.
"No" buyers argue the public didn't know until after the deadline.
Prediction markets aren't just about being right. They're about knowing exactly how the Oracle interprets the rules.
Every major asset issuer is onchain. BlackRock, Apollo, Janus Henderson. $24B in tokenized RWAs on Ethereum and counting.
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Remember when we dropped the full Polymarket order book archive? 30M+ rows per hourly dump, raw parquet files, everyone loved it
The problem: you had to download 500MB-1GB parquet files, write your own parser, reconstruct the book yourself from tick deltas
That's over. You can now query historical order books directly from the API. 4 lines of Python. 🧵
Binance Alpha Deepens Integration with RootData to Boost Project Transparency
@binance has now embedded RootData's team information across all 400+ Binance Alpha tokens, including roles, social links, X follower counts, and influence scores. This gives users clearer insight into project backgrounds and their industry influence, helping them make more informed investment decisions.
Through this collaboration, Binance and RootData are working together to significantly raise transparency standards across the crypto industry, turning team background from a major "black box" into verifiable data and better protecting users.
🔸Full article:
https://t.co/C8xrWaV8pq