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Disclaimer:
I am a casual financial disaster rubber necker with no inside information or expertise. I write this solely to stimulate discussion that may help depositors of SIVB. Do not depend on the following as investment advice or any advice, information, or news whatsoever.
Prediction: If no buyer for SIVB is found and the bank is liquidated, uninsured depositors will get:
1)25%++ of their money back in the next week (you can make payroll)
2)60% of their money back in the next six months
3)80% total recovery in liquidation