Barna Szoke

My objective is to make a living for my family by creating (and using) digital products that accelerate the advance of the human race. In a nutshell.

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@thumbsnftsui Momentum feels different when it’s real! ✊

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@thumbsnftsui @CoinMarketCap And you can get free mints for shillz!

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

Finally it's here. 🙏
Get free mints now!

[Thumbs @thumbsnftsui]

Thumbs NFT is now minting on $SUI mainnet. 🤓

Want to mint a few at no cost?
Leave your SUI wallet address in the comments, like and repost.

How many can you collect? 🤷‍♂️

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@JonnieKing Then it was smart I sold most, but I’m ready to jump right in again!

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

Bitcoin Cycle Debate: Which Theory Wins in Dec 2025?

BTC at ~$87K after $126K ATH. Top in or just a dip?

1. Traditional 4-Year Halving: Peak done m, bear market starting. Fits history perfectly.

2. Jeff Park's 2-Year Insti Cycle: ETFs killed halvings. Shorter, sharper swings ahead.

3. Raoul Pal's 5-Year Supercycle: Liquidity wave coming. Real parabolic peak in 2026.

My take: Supercycle most likely. Shallower correction, no euphoria yet, institutional buying strong, macro liquidity reboot incoming.

The old 4-year script is fading. Higher highs probable in 2026.

What do you think? Bear confirmed or supercycle loading?

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@JonnieKing What do you think about this:

https://t.co/rofGru5W6q

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

Bitcoin’s classic 4-year cycle is dead.
The halving matters less, and ETF-era flows matter more.

A new “2-year cycle” is emerging, driven by:
• Fund manager incentives
• Year-end P&L pressure
• ETF investor cost basis
• Profit-taking behavior around 12/31

Most ETF inflows from 2024–25 are now underwater or barely above their hurdle rates. If BTC stays flat, ROI compresses → managers sell.
If BTC drops, ETFs hit key pain points → more sell pressure.

In the institutional era, behavioral flows > halving cycles.
Bitcoin’s future moves will be dictated less by supply, more by fund flows, cost basis, and managers protecting their track record.

Bottom line:
The 4-year cycle is gone.
Welcome to the ETF-driven dynamic 2-year cycle.

Interesting read from Jeff Park (@dgt10011).
Full post on his substack:

https://t.co/HOTylhSw6w

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@RightPulseNewss “Sleepy Joe and the story of the trillion 300 billion million dollars”

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

Bitcoin’s classic 4-year cycle is dead.
The halving matters less, and ETF-era flows matter more.

A new “2-year cycle” is emerging, driven by:
• Fund manager incentives
• Year-end P&L pressure
• ETF investor cost basis
• Profit-taking behavior around 12/31

Most ETF inflows from 2024–25 are now underwater or barely above their hurdle rates. If BTC stays flat, ROI compresses → managers sell.
If BTC drops, ETFs hit key pain points → more sell pressure.

In the institutional era, behavioral flows > halving cycles.
Bitcoin’s future moves will be dictated less by supply, more by fund flows, cost basis, and managers protecting their track record.

Bottom line:
The 4-year cycle is gone.
Welcome to the ETF-driven dynamic 2-year cycle.

Interesting read from Jeff Park (@dgt10011).
Full post on his substack:

https://t.co/HOTylhSw6w

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@JonnieKing My alt bag is just little satchel now… it needs a break.

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@ColinTCrypto @yourfriendSOMMI Nice! 👍
Let’s wait and see how this plays out. Crazy times!

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@JonnieKing No matter what they call for, things will happen the way they’re meant to happen, regardless of what anyone says. 🤓

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

Looks rare! 🤯

[Thumbs @thumbsnftsui]

I was just finalizing the "Home" page for the project. So naturally I was clicking things, checking functionality, basically testing the app. When I ended up on the minter page I saw something crazy I've never seen before in my own app. The assembler's random generator blessed me with an ultra rare combo. 🤩

Anyways, what I wanted to say is that I'm still working despite the state of the crypto market. So Thumbs NFT is almost ready.

Take a look at https://t.co/O3SWgwU6Iq and let me know your feedback.

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@JonnieKing Bookmarked! 👍🤓🤝

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@maximumpain333 The giant fan in the background was switched off.

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@JonnieKing Are we good now? :)

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@JonnieKing Always the most recent is the scariest.

[Barna Szoke @barnuss]

@heyshipz Kano Jigoro