dorn on 3rd base

Summers in Rangoon

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@_dennis_system Brighton fan here, therefore somewhat less qualified, also stunned by that half.

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

Watched a lot of golf in my life and always follow it even when I don’t tune in, never saw a story about a world #1 bitching out his caddy until last weekend though. Classy. But oh they’re friends, it’s cool.

[ZAYVEN KNOX @ZayvenKnox]

An Anthropic engineer paid for my espresso at Sightglass when he saw my screen

I was running my Polymarket bot from the counter. He was next in line. Looked over my shoulder. Stopped scrolling.

"That's not a normal trading app. What's it actually running on"

I told him. Claude Code. Four repos. $25 a month.

He sat down without asking.

"I'm on the agent team. We stress test Claude for exactly this. You're letting it find its own edges"

Not just edges. Wallets.

86 million trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit.

"You're feeding Claude raw wallet data and letting it identify who consistently wins. Then cloning them"

He said it slowly. Like he was writing the threat model in his head.

One prompt. Find every wallet with 100 plus trades and win rate above 70%. Rank by profit. Export top 50.

Claude scanned 14,000 wallets in 4 minutes. Returned 47.

The top 20 made more than the bottom 13,000 combined.

"That's not a stat. That's a hit list"

Exactly.

"And you didn't write the scoring function"

Claude did. I just wired it into an if-statement.

Then I showed him the second repo.

Official Rust CLI. No API key for reads. 500 markets, Claude scores them in minutes.

Gap. Depth. Resolution window.

487 markets become 35 before a dollar moves.

93% killed before I even see them.

A green fill landed on the screen. +$84.

He watched it hit.

"How does it decide to actually enter"

Three agents. Shared wallet. No shared memory. Arbitrage, convergence, whale copy. 2 agree, full size. 1 alone, half. Disagree, no trade.

Consensus filter alone killed 40% of losing trades.

"And the exits?"

The 47 whales never hold to settlement. 91% exit early. 73% of max profit captured. Redeploy immediately.

My bot cuts at 85% of expected move or on a 3x volume spike.

"You built a whale copy bot that exits before the whales"

Yeah.

He put his espresso down.

"How often does it trade"

10 a day on average. Most of them skipped before I look up from my coffee.

My setup:
Claude API - $20/mo
VPS in Germany - $5/mo
poly_data - free
polymarket-cli - free
Polymarket/agents - free

$200 seed. 27 days ago. $14,300 now.

Copytrade here: https://t.co/zDXGamMWw0…

271 trades. 74% win rate. Sharpe 2.47.

I haven't touched it in 27 days.

He stared at the screen for a long time.

"This is literally what our red team simulates. Except you actually shipped it"

He emailed me the next morning.

"Any chance you'd take a call with our policy lead"

I told him the article is the call. Read it twice.

Too late to gatekeep.

You only need Claude + laptop + 1 hour/day.

Giving This Free for 24 hours. To get it:

1. Comment the word 'Claude'
2. Like and Retweet this post
3. Follow me
@ZayvenKnox

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@ZayvenKnox Claude

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

Just frying prosciutto in butter for a snack. I was hungy.

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@MikeBeauvais @sarahlizwarren 🫠

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@robert27512 @CaVivekkhatri Which I don’t support to be clear. This whole thing is a shitshow.

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@robert27512 @CaVivekkhatri Yes. No chance US doesn’t respond with destructive mil force if yuan idea gains any bit of traction

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@cspan @SpeakerJohnson Americans are dead and I see things going boom on tv. You’re an asshat.

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@reedgalen @GregCampNC Dads everywhere are fucking salivating

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@Matt_Pinner Physics

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@S_U_Network Talking on phone constantly lady, she’s been mine for couple years now. Love her.

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@BladeoftheS Italy

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@brockpierson I laughed

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@lady_valor_07 Anytime this happens without you they’ll be terrified and you’ll regret it for the rest of your life.

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@mistclance @LangmanVince Box full o’ trouble

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@LangmanVince Other bro is embarrassed to be the same species.☺️

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@fpleitgenCNN @CNN Looks like an unbranded station in NJ. What’s a liter of petrol cost? Do you pump it yourself?

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@twocents_daily I’ll get back to you with some thoughts tomorrow. Cheers

[dorn on 3rd base @bdr1976]

@twocents_daily That would be amazing thanks for sharing. Just getting up to speed on claude for trading.