stockdoc

Doctor, investor, husband, father, golfer.
Beanstocks to the sky.
2026: HPE @ 47.85, BB @ 8.97, UBER @ 76.06
Been holding Apple, Tesla, Google for 10+ years

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

@Double0Capital Yours too! Great to learn and get new ideas from strong players...you're working up the right way too 🙌💪

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

I'm the beanstockdoc
Started investing with my grandpa, went to med school, work as a physician, never stopped investing
I was in college, told my grandpa we should buy Apple stock, we put a couple hundred bucks into it...still holding
Then did a couple thousand into Tesla at 2010 because the roadster was doper than a Porsche...still holding
Did a couple thousand in Shopify later on because I bought everything online...still holding
Started realizing my life revolves around Google so picked that up in 2018...still holding

My main rules of investing:
Theme and sector matters
Path to money making matters (to reading or weird all-in challenges)
Stocks go up and stocks go down -- only sell if you need the money
I'm always aiming for multibaggers over time always

$HPE is next, $UBER is long, $BB worth a shot

Low risk, high reward. Follow along for a rewarding ride. Proof below.

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

@TW_trades_ *not all-in challenge, just trading a random amount of money out of a portfolio

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

We are 10 followers away from 200!

A group of people who want to safely invest in winners, get big returns, and see if it happens fast or slow.

How many stock actions have I taken this month: 2

How many does everyone else on X take: seems like a hundred a day

One way is stressful, one way is not...which one do you prefer?

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

Down 4% while all these other screenshots showing big 🟥

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

As everyone goes through weird drawdowns and hyper-volatility, my month has been SUPER CHILL.

Want to know what it's like to be a relaxed investor? Pick good companies with huge runways and unknown upper limits. How high can $HPE go? You tell me.

Everyone is chasing AI bottleneck plays, paying almost 20x gross revenue. Small companies with huge future projections trading at crazy market caps. That's hope, not investing.

Meanwhile, sitting cushy on the side is $HPE, a clear winner as AI usage goes up. As models become more prevalent, as token costs go down, as cars become autonomous, as robots do work, AI USAGE GOES UP.

The network and infrastructure that powers all this will be a winner.

To put AI to work, you need distributed networks and hardware to complete the actual inference and execution tasks. MAKE AI WORK.

It's not memory, it's not neocloud, it's not hyperscaler...capex can change, commodities can fluctuate...but the underlying demand for AI is only going up. The system to power it has to be strong.

Hope everyone is doing ok with huge ups and huge downs, I'm chilling riding a small wave over the last month 🌊 but the best part, there is no upper limit on $HPE growth.

Have a great weekend!

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

Down 11%
Up 5%
Down 6%

Markets are a roller coaster 🎢

As you can see, I only make a few plays a year.

Don't chase at all-time-highs

Find value, growth, or value and growth in the right sectors

Meanwhile $HPE revenue graph looks like this, with this year projected to over $40B

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

Glad to see @CKCapitalxx stop an all-in challenge. Would love to see others stop this, and be clear that it is a NOT ALL-IN....it is literally just trading random stocks with a small portion of a portfolio, somehow given a fancy name like "ALL-IN"...

Main good thing about all this was transparency

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

@CKCapitalxx Well done, NOT ALL-IN is the right way. Ths excitement around this has been so confusing to me, it's literally just trading with a small portion of a portfolio. Nothing about it was ever all-in, for anyone. Congrats on the transparency!

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

@ATHorDie18 I'm not even sure there is a reason given...it's not overvalued, it is a diversified business, it has institutional support...this is just manipulation to get in lower

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

The 5 day chart shows that something is stopping this from going over 50!

Remember, algorithms and big institutions want good prices in good companies. Numbers control a lot of automatic actions.

Something about 50 has the system worried 🚨🚀

$HPE looking to go over the hills!

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

So BlackRock is up 7% on record assets under management.

And who is the biggest holder of $HPE?

Oh cool, it's BlackRock.

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

@Cashflowfarming Seriously, this one is easy

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

@dissectmarkets Good call, me too!

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

"In the last few weeks of June, we saw clients shift their quarterly capex spend toward servers, storage, and memory purchases to secure supply-constrained infrastructure ahead of expected price increases," Krishna wrote in a letter to IBM investors.

Long $HPE.

The signs are everywhere.

[Kai Capital @Double0Capital]

$HPE — 2028 targets. Hit in 2026.

That's not a typo.

HPE just posted its biggest EPS beat since 2018. +108% EPS growth. +40% revenue. $5.9B AI backlog. FCF guide raised from $2B → $3.5B+. The FY26 guide now exceeds the FY28 long-term targets management set in October 2025 — two years ahead of schedule.

And the stock is sitting at ~14x forward earnings.

Here's the full picture:

THE BUSINESS
Three pillars: Cloud & AI ($7.7B, +23% YoY), Networking post-Juniper ($2.7B, +148% reported / ~10% normalized), and GreenLake — a recurring revenue machine with 15,000 customers, 6.7M systems under management, and ~110% net retention that the market is completely ignoring.

AI server orders more than doubled YoY. $16.4B in cumulative AI bookings. Elliott Management just took an ~$209M position and engaged alongside Irenic Capital. Activist involvement is a standalone catalyst — it doesn't depend on the AI cycle.

THE VALUATION
~14x forward P/E. ~1.6x P/S. Below the peer median. Gross margin of 36.9% — higher than Dell, which trades at a similar P/S. Arista, the closest networking comp, trades at ~18x P/S. HPE's networking business alone would re-rate this whole company if the market ever makes that connection.

THE BEAR CASE (real, not dismissed)
~$21B debt load is the primary risk. Networking op margin dipped 23.7% → 21.6% sequentially — worth watching. The +40% revenue headline is Juniper-inflated; normalized growth is high-teens. Supply constraints through at least 2027. These are real. Size accordingly.

TARGETS
Base: $72–85 (EOY 2026)
Bull: $100–120 (2027)
Soft bear: $38–42 — one miss, multiple compression, EPS still intact
Hard bear: $30–35 — Lots has to go wrong, major market pullbacks

The thesis breaks on events, not price action. I'm not selling because the stock is down — price is rarely the representative of the business. I'm watching for:
→ AI capex narrative reversal across the industry
→ Juniper integration showing real margin deterioration (not one quarter of mix)
→ EPS guide cut — not just a miss, a structural downward revision
→ Debt load stops declining or refinancing conditions worsen materially
→ GreenLake churn / NRR drops below 100%

If none of those happen, a stock at $35 is a gift, not a reason to exit.

Entry was ~$54–55 in June. Now ~$48.54. Down ~11% and I'm not hiding it. The soft bear zone was briefly touched in early July and bought. Next real test is Q3 earnings Sept 1 — guide is $11.5–12.1B / $0.88–0.93 EPS. Beat that and the re-rating is confirmed.

Not financial advice. DYOR. I'm long $HPE.

$CSCO $DELL $NVDA $SMCI $MRVL

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

When the CEOs of Palantir, Salesforce, and Microsoft all talk about data, model, and data stack protection/control, that means the shift is happening.

Long $HPE
https://t.co/3Xaha52jO9

[Satya Nadella @satyanadella]

https://t.co/xv6csf1SbV

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

🚨New 5-10 Year Hold Alert

I first invested in $UBER in 2022 when it fell to $20 a share. I rode that wave up to $100 and sold near the top in 2025. Sort of 5x'ed it in 3 years.

A lot of stocks followed that path of being low in 2021-2022 with a 3 year rally into 2025. It wasn't a "special" investment. You could have picked so many different stocks that went on to be winners.

Since selling it last summer, the stock is back down to $74. It came out on the stock market in 2019 around $40 a share.

Since then:
-Annual gross revenue has gone from $13B to $52B
-Unprofitable to profitable
-It is still trading at less than 2x IPO price.
-It is still trading at less than 3x gross revenue.
-Gross bookings are over $50B a QUARTER..so that means every 3 months people are transacting over $50B worth of trips and delivery. That's crazy.
-Uber One membership has proven to be pretty good.

But like I said, some things are just obvious. You don't need technicals.

-Every airport I go to, there is a sign that says "Uber pickup". This is when I travel both in the US and internationally.
-Every sporting event or concert clears out via massive, reserved rideshare lots -- mainly Uber.
-When I open the app, the ads have become video ads.
-Highway traffic is flooded with "Uber" decals.
-When I order food online, I use Uber or Doordash. No other choice comes to mind.

I'm done buying and selling this stock. It stays undervalued because of stories, headlines, random finance ideas, competition, self-driving, autonomy blah blah blah.

But when we use our eyes, $UBER is everywhere.

It goes into my 5-10 year hold bucket. Just like Apple, Tesla, Shopify, Netflix, and Google.

The play?
Hold through all the noise. When a company gets weighed down by abstract ideas, you buy and walk away. See you later $UBER stock.

Proof below of of purchase, proof below of history of my other long term holdings.

*Merrill Lynch is weird about screenshots, so it's a photo of a phone lol

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

I have $169k in $HPE.

It is NOT ALL-IN.

Don't let anyone confuse you with these online X-challenges.

Every single person has a portfolio. No-one in investing is holding only one single stock.

Some positions are big, some positions are small, some positions are traded, some positions are holds. Some positions are in long-term retirement accounts, some positions are in cash.

Some are on Robinhood, some are in Fidelity, or some other brokers.

No one doing these "all-in" challenges is really all-in.

It's made up for hype and excitement. Be careful, stay humble, and win safely with your hard earned money.

Proof below of my NOT ALL-IN.

The only thing good from this is people how openly post their Ws and Ls.

[stockdoc @beanstockdoc]

@kevinxu @CKCapitalxx These are not all-in challenges...it's trading 1 stock out of a portfolio of stable holds

You have the indexes in your major $11M account

Ck probably has a portfolio too, and $5k is a small part of it

All-in is not true for anybody