New HiS Research: The “Big 3” Have Had a Remarkable Run, But Opportunities Are Now Likely to Be Found Elsewhere
While the TSX "Big 3" sectors (Financials, Energy, and Materials) have driven much of the market's recent strength, their outperformance appears stretched by historical standards. We believe opportunities going forward are likely to be found outside these sectors, particularly among stocks offering an attractive combination of value, earnings growth, and dividend growth.
Highlights:
The relative outperformance of Financials, Energy, and Materials versus the rest of the TSX is near historical extremes.
Historically, similar periods of extreme leadership have been followed by stronger relative performance from non-MEF stocks over the subsequent 6-12 months.
Several non-MEF sectors continue to exhibit attractive fundamentals despite receiving far less investor attention than the TSX's traditional leaders.
See https://t.co/H3ZMDPOOvJ to access the full report for more information
New HiS Research: Addressing the Prospect of Peak EPS Growth
Concerns surrounding peak EPS growth are likely overstated and should not be viewed as a sell signal for equities. While quarterly earnings growth may moderate from exceptionally strong levels, profit growth is expected to remain historically healthy, and past periods of peak earnings growth have generally coincided with continued market gains.
Highlights:
1Q earnings season was historically strong with growth, beats, and positive surprises reaching some of their best levels in decades.
Peak quarterly EPS growth has historically not marked the end of bull markets, with the S&P 500 continuing to generate positive returns in prior peak growth years.
Trailing one-year earnings growth is not expected to peak until late 2026, and market returns have historically remained constructive both leading into and following prior earnings peaks.
See https://t.co/8hOyRm8nqI to access the full report for more information.
Brian Belski Joins The Schwab Network to discuss the Humilis US Focused Opportunities ETF $HIS.
There is no guarantee that investment objectives will be achieved or that return expectations will be met. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Learn more about the fund, view holdings and read about the risks of investing at https://t.co/mYhq0Ojysy
Brian Belski Joins Yahoo Finance to discuss the Humilis US Focused Opportunities ETF $HIS.
There is no guarantee that investment objectives will be achieved or that return expectations will be met. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Learn more about the fund, view holdings and read about the risks of investing at https://t.co/mYhq0Ojysy.
New HiS Research: The Myth of Narrow Market Breadth
Investor concerns surrounding narrow market breadth appear overstated. While a handful of mega-cap stocks continue to have an outsized impact on index performance, multiple breadth measures suggest participation remains healthy, reinforcing our view that this is an earnings-driven market that rewards disciplined stock selection.
Highlights:
Nearly half of the S&P 500 has generated double digit returns this year, suggesting market strength extends well beyond the largest technology and AI-related stocks.
The S&P 500 equal weight index has outperformed year-to-date, while most equal-weighted sectors have kept pace with or exceeded their market-cap weighted counterparts.
Several market breadth indicators remain near or above historical averages, suggesting market participation is healthier than many investors believe.
See https://t.co/rnDrRlFf39 to access the full report for more information.
New HiS Research: Tactically Positioning Within the SMID-Cap Space
Recent underperformance within the SMID-cap space has created a tactical opportunity for active investors. We believe applying a GARP approach within SMID can be particularly effective given the group's attractive valuations, improving earnings outlook, and long-term history of outperformance.
Highlights:
GARP SMID stocks have historically outperformed the S&P 1,000 and have recently begun to regain relative strength.
Valuations remain deeply discounted while earnings growth expectations are significantly stronger than those of the broader index.
Analyst earnings revisions have improved for this group, reinforcing an already favorable fundamental backdrop.
See https://t.co/m1fS6S9dHh to access the full report for more information.