Ben Gaskins

Associate Professor of Political Science at Lewis & Clark College. Fan of baseball, soccer, religion & politics, public opinion, polls, and bad puns.

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

@PhyrexiaPrfctn Oh cool! I didn't know they were going to do a radio segment. Thanks for letting me know!

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

Hahaha amazing. Sure, why not?

[Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17]

New @DMRegister/@jaselzer poll of Iowa

🟦 Kamala Harris: 47% (+3)
🟥 Donald Trump: 44%

808 LVs, MOE 3.4%

[Slazac 🇪🇺🇺🇦🇹🇼🌐 @TrueSlazac]

When Lichtman dies everyone will give their own interpretation of The Keys, there will be different denominations and plenty of schisms

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

Don't want to quibble over rounding errors, but if Harris does better in NC than GA I'll be shocked.

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

New CNN/SSRS state polls

GA
Trump 48%
Harris 47%

NC
Harris 48%
Trump 47%

[Michael Wear @MichaelRWear]

Critical thing this time of year is to distinguish between Registered Trick-or-Treaters and Likely Trick-or-Treaters.

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

All in all, I am pretty happy with the polls being consistently close. After two cycles of clear expectations that did not meet with reality, not having to do that again feels a bit liberating.

[Adam Carlson @admcrlsn]

Final CNN/SSRS poll: 47-47

Final NYT/Siena poll: 48-48

F&M changing its final PA LV screener from 2020 to have a split outcome (Harris winning RVs/Trump winning LVs)

I'm not yet ready to say pollsters are herding toward a tie to try to cover their asses, but they're on notice

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

@AlexxW_99 And they vote!

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

I loved Spheres of Tara when I saw them play Coachella.

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

Aw yeah, now we have poll aggregator aggregators! Gotta remember to take the average of poll average averages.

(I really do love this stuff even though it makes my head hurt.)

[Lakshya Jain @lxeagle17]

After having made our poll aggregator, I am now a bit more confused at why my replies are full of criticism for @NateSilver538’s aggregator numbers.

No matter how you slice it, you’ll get something very similar. Our average is generally more Republican right now than his is.

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

Me, eating breakfast alone before my panel: why are there so many nerdy white guys eating breakfast by themselves in this hotel restaurant?

Oh, right.

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

@SuparnaChaudhry Who said being a professor isn’t glamorous. Are you going too?

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

Sitting in the Denver airport waiting to complete my red eye to Philly so I can go straight to the convention center and present my APSA paper at 8am. And there are baby rats running around the boarding area. My travel agent sucks (it's me).

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

They should really fire that guy.

[Tallahassee Democrat @TDOnline]

A Johns Hopkins study found a surgeon performs the wrong procedure on a patient 20 times a week and operates on the wrong body site 20 times a week. https://t.co/tcdjLpS2oX

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

Hmm...quite the favorability/vote choice split here. Trying to imagine the voter who has a favorable opinion of Harris, a negative one on Trump, yet is still voting Trump.

[Political Polls @Politics_Polls]

Opinion of…

Donald Trump:
Favorable 33%
Unfavorable 58%
.
Kamala Harris:
Favorable 46%
Unfavorable 43%

.@Ipsos/@ABC, 2,496 Adults, 8/23-27

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

Good lord, Neil Young is Canadian! Why no song from Minnesota? Shame, DNC.

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

My home state officially won the roll call.

[Colin @ufcolin]

the european mind cannot comprehend lil jon doing georgia's roll call

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

The local angle!

[Willamette Week @wweek]

Gov. Tim Walz, Vice President Kamala Harris' running mate on the 2024 presidential ticket, wears Portland-designed glasses: https://t.co/KIahBS1t3E

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

@PhyrexiaPrfctn Trust the science right.

[Ben Gaskins @bengaskins]

USA! Gold! Nicely done. #Paris2024