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I talked to 10+ full-time traders making $200k+ per year
asked them all the same question: "what's the biggest lie in trading?"
31 of them gave the same answer
it's the opposite of what every guru teaches
here's what they said:
THE QUESTION:
"what's one thing every beginner believes that's completely wrong?"
THE ANSWER (from 31 of 34):
"that you need to predict where price is going"
I thought they were fucking with me
"isn't that literally what trading is?"
TRADER 1 ($340k/year):
"I have no idea where price is going. ever. I react to what happens. prediction is for weather men and psychics."
TRADER 2 ($780k/year):
"my entire system is built on NOT knowing. I enter. if it works, I stay. if it doesn't, I leave. there's no prediction involved."
TRADER 3 ($210k/year):
"prediction is ego. reaction is money. I stopped trying to be right about direction 6 years ago. that's when I became profitable."
I pushed back:
"but you're entering trades. you must think price will go somewhere."
TRADER 4 ($420k/year):
"I think price MIGHT go somewhere. big difference. my edge isn't prediction accuracy. my edge is what I do when I'm wrong."
"explain that"
"when retail traders are wrong, they hope. when I'm wrong, I'm out instantly. when retail traders are right, they take profit. when I'm right, I add size."
"same entries as everyone else. opposite management."
THE FRAMEWORK:
these traders operate on what they called REACTIVE TRADING:
PREDICTIVE TRADING (what you do):
- analyze → predict → enter → hope → exit
REACTIVE TRADING (what they do):
- enter → observe → react → adjust → extract
"we're not fortune tellers. we're response specialists."
TRADER 5 ($290k/year):
"I enter trades expecting to be wrong. sounds insane but it removes all the pressure. if I expect to lose, I cut fast. if I happen to win, it's a bonus I maximize."
TRADER 6 ($510k/year):
"prediction creates attachment. I predicted UP so I NEED it to go up. now I'm holding a loser hoping. reaction creates detachment. I don't care which way. I just respond."
THE STATS:
asked them to estimate how often their "predictions" are right:
- average answer: 48-52%
- basically a coin flip
"so you're profitable with coin flip accuracy?"
"bro some of the best traders I know are right 42% of the time. it literally doesn't matter."
THE REFRAME:
TRADER 7 ($630k/year):
"stop asking 'where is price going.' start asking 'what will I do if price does X.'"
"the first question has no answer. the second question is entirely in your control."
"I have plans for every scenario. price up? plan. price down? plan. price sideways? plan. I don't need to predict because I've already decided my response."
HOW TO SWITCH:
step 1: delete the word "predict" from your vocabulary
step 2: before every trade, write: "if wrong, I will ___"
step 3: before every trade, write: "if right, I will ___"
step 4: execute those plans regardless of what you "think"
"thinking is for analysts. doing is for traders."
THE TRUTH:
the gurus sell prediction
"learn to read the market"
"spot reversals before they happen"
"know where price is going"
because prediction sounds VALUABLE
reaction sounds BORING
but boring makes money
every profitable trader I interviewed:
- doesn't try to predict
- expects to be wrong often
- has bulletproof reactions ready
- doesn't give a fuck about accuracy
every struggling trader:
- obsesses over prediction
- needs to be right
- has no plan for being wrong
- tracks win rate like it matters
stop predicting
start reacting
Dm me "EDGE" if you want access to my private community where I break down reactive trading systems.
The Great Reset: The Numerology of 2026
The year 2026 arrives as a monumental energetic shift, marking the entry into a Universal "1" Year.
In numerology, every year carries a specific vibration calculated by adding its digits. The sum of 2026, 2 + 0 + 2 + 6 equals 10, which simplifies further to the single digit 1.
This creates a rare and powerful "111" frequency when the year aligns with specific months and days.
2026 signals the beginning of a new nine-year cycle. The previous nine-year cycle concludes at the end of 2025, and the fresh energy of 2026 invites a total restart.
The last occurrence of this cycle began in 2017, and the next awaits until 2035.
Certain dates throughout 2026 hold immense power because they reduce to the singular essence of "1" or the Master Number "11". In numerology, the number 1 represents the pioneer, the initiator, and the self. It stands for independence and original creation.
To understand why the dates below carry the 1:1:1, 1:11:1, or 11:11:1 codes, we look at the reduction:
The Year: 2026 reduces to 1.
The Months: January is the 1st month. October is the 10th month (1+0=1). November is the 11th month (Master Number).
The Days:
The 1st, 10th (1+0=1), 19th (1+9=10=1), and 28th (2+8=10=1) all carry the "1" vibration.
The 11th and 29th (2+9=11) carry the "11" vibration.
The 1:1:1 Dates: The Spark of Creation Dates: January 1, 10, 19, 28 & October 1, 10, 19, 28
These dates form a pure 1:1:1 portal. You have the Month (1), the Day (1), and the Year (1) perfectly aligned. This triple energy acts as a cosmic green light. It signifies rapid manifestation and the power of the individual.
On these days, the Universe supports bold action and leadership. Barriers dissolve, and the path forward clears. It is the ideal time to launch projects, define a new identity, or make a solo move.
The 1:11:1 Dates: Intuitive Awakening Dates: January 11 & October 11
Here, the "1" of the month and year supports the Master Number 11 of the day. This code blends the drive of the "1" with the spiritual insight of the "11".
It creates a bridge between ambition and intuition. Expect sudden downloads of information or clarity regarding your future path.
The 11:1:1 and 11:11:1 Dates: The Master Portal Dates: November 1, 10, 19, 28 (11:1:1) & November 11 (11:11:1)
November intensifies the energy as the 11th month. When November 11 arrives in a 1 Year, we experience the legendary 11:11:1 sequence.
This is the pinnacle of the year. It represents spiritual illumination and mastery. The energy here asks for complete authenticity. Anything fake or outgrown crumbles instantly. It allows for a quantum leap in consciousness.
All of these alignments carry the energy of "Sudden Endings and Aligned Beginnings".
The "1" energy is ruthless in its demand for progress. It cuts away the past to make room for the future.
While 2025 was about clearing karma, 2026 is about building the new foundation. These specific dates act as checkpoints where the veil thins. They offer a unique opportunity to rewrite your story completely.
The frequency of 2026 operates on the powerful rule that fortune favors the initiator. As the world enters a Universal 1 Year, the energy shifts from the collective closure of the past cycle into a phase of individual creation.
The "1" vibration acts like a cosmic green light urging you to build, so trust that the necessary resources will arrive the moment you commit to the journey. This energy always backs those who move first.
Because the Universe responds to motion, the path appears beneath you only when you take a firm step. While hesitation creates blockages, intentional movement generates flow.
This year focuses on self-reliance because the past nine years have provided you with all the tools needed to succeed.
✨🙌🏾💫
~ Alex Myles
The ‘Year of the Fire Horse’ is a time to act decisively and live authentically!
Fire Horse years are remembered as seasons of bold transformation. They challenge systems, awaken hidden strength, and demand authenticity.
The Year of the Fire Horse begins on 17 February 2026, and ends 5 February 2027.
@paxtrader777 has experienced more in his illustrious career, than hundreds of wannabe gurus combined. The thing I like most about Pax is his ability to explain precisely how he views the markets! This interview is #GOLD 🙏
#Silver#AFCON2025
2️⃣ Days Until Christmas 🎄
@paxtrader777 was known as: 'King of the Nasdaq Pit'. He amassed generational wealth at 33 years old, making multi-millions in trading profits. However, after a surprise rate hike in the US, he lost $1.5 million overnight. When MF Global failed in 2011, PAX lost millions of dollars. These events forced him to rediscover how to support his family.
In this special interview, PAX shares how he successfully shifted his trading approach from the floor to the screens.
https://t.co/lhMOwxTxLH
3️⃣ Days Until Christmas 🎄
@Crowded_Mkt_Rpt manages $600 million, and has 20 consecutive profitable trading years. Jason Shapiro owns and manages a CTA, and writes the weekly 'Crowded Market Report'.
Jason was featured in the most legendary investing series ever published: 'Market Wizards', written by @jackschwager.
In this exclusive interview, Jason walks us through his consistently profitable strategy; how he uses the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report; and his best trades ever!
Enjoy!!
https://t.co/HgzONStLuU
3️⃣ Days Until Christmas 🎄
@Crowded_Mkt_Rpt manages $600 million, and has 20 consecutive profitable trading years. Jason Shapiro owns and manages a CTA, and writes the weekly 'Crowded Market Report'.
Jason was featured in the most legendary investing series ever published: 'Market Wizards', written by @jackschwager.
In this exclusive interview, Jason walks us through his consistently profitable strategy; how he uses the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report; and his best trades ever!
Enjoy!!
https://t.co/HgzONStLuU
@terri2kool@MrFOTOGENIK 4️⃣ Days Until Christmas 🎄
Nikki Marshall has extensive experience working in private equity, investment banking, and venture capital. Nikki shares her favourite assets, why finance is male dominated, and MORE!
https://t.co/vqRO94JWNn
5️⃣ Days Until Christmas 🎄
@MrFOTOGENIK is a successful entrepreneur, producer, artist, photographer, comedian and social media personality. Watch as @MrFOTOGENIK talks about his keys to success, the challenges throughout his career, and his investing escapades!
https://t.co/z2wmIXFako
CPI moves markets. Are you ready for it?
Join Mandela @SignatureFx LIVE on YouTube as he breaks down CPI data, what it really means for traders, and how to position around high-impact news without emotional mistakes.
Plus, one live viewer wins a FREE giveaway account. 🎁
Live by 1:30PM UK Time
👉 https://t.co/mZ44Rt92wy
Be on time. Learn the data. Trade smarter.
Hedge funds have never owned so much global government debt:
Hedge fund holdings of sovereign debt are up to a record $7 trillion.
The majority of holdings are currently US Treasuries, totaling $4.2 trillion, or ~60% of the total.
Hedge funds' exposure to US public debt has TRIPLED since 2018.
As federal debt surges, regulatory constraints have limited banks from expanding their holdings as fast as hedge funds.
As a consequence, this has raised the risk of rapid-fire sales of government bonds during market crises, when hedge funds need to raise cash quickly, as seen 2008 and 2020.
The financial system has never been more leveraged.
Asset managers are extremely bullish on US equities:
Net long positioning by asset managers in S&P 500 futures is up to 49%, near the highest on record.
Since 2022, net exposure has surged +400%.
Current positioning is now nearly double the long-term average of 26% and sits more than 2 standard deviations above historical norms.
Furthermore, net long positioning in Nasdaq 100 futures is near the highest in a decade.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has recorded 37 all-time highs this year, the 3rd-highest since 2020, after 57 last year and 70 in 2021.
Risk appetite for stocks is historically strong.
BREAKING: In a sudden turn of events, Kevin Warsh is now officially the favorite to become the next Fed Chair, at a 48% chance, per Polymarket.
This comes just hours after reports emerged that Hassett's Fed Chair candidacy saw pushback from "high-level people close to Trump."
@terri2kool 9️⃣ Days Til Christmas 🎄
Dulani Williams is a successful full-time options trader. In this episode, Dulani talks about: Discipline; Technicals v Fundamentals; and More!
https://t.co/uz93RZJSdo
Nasdaq is moving to 23hr a day, 5 day a week trading & will file with the SEC on Monday to get it approved
The plan is for a day session from 4am to 8pm ET & a night session from 9pm to 4am, with the trading week running Sunday 9pm to Friday 8pm and a launch targeted for 2H'26
Source: Reuters
FEDERAL RESERVE INJECTS $5.2 BILLION INTO U.S. BANKING SYSTEM VIA OVERNIGHT REPOS
•THIS IS THE 6TH LARGEST LIQUIDITY INJECTION SINCE COVID
•IT SURPASSES LIQUIDITY LEVELS SEEN AT THE PEAK OF THE DOT-COM BUBBLE
•SIGNALS TIGHT SHORT-TERM FUNDING STRESS IN MONEY MARKETS
Oracle’s credit profile continues to worsen. The company’s CDS spread (cost of insuring against default) has climbed to 151bps, its highest level since 2009 – a warning sign not just for Oracle but for the broader AI sector. Markets are now pricing in a probability of default of >12%.