These shenanigans have occurred only around major market inflection points. S&P 500 low volatility gained over 1% while high momentum fell over than 2%.
Four of the last eight occurrences happened within the last 30 days. Something huge is building up.
Despite current weakness in the S&P 500 $SPX , our cross-asset breadth model has turned as bullish as it can get.
On June 30, all 7 of 7 indicators closed above their 50-day moving averages for the first time since October 2025. That's not the behavior of a weak market.
ISM Manufacturing Prices have just seen its largest drop since July 2022.
Would you like to see every other time in the past 20 years that this number dropped to the same point in a down trend?
I thought so.
Oh.
That's not good.
JUNE JOBS
Not great
Res con payrolls fell for the 3rd straight month and have now declined by 2.4% from peak.
Private white collar jobs still lackluster as well (finance + insurance in a 1.25% drawdown/Computer system & design 4.4% drawdown).
LFPR back to pandemic levels.
You just can't make this up
The day before Trump announced a tariff pause that sent the S&P 500 up 9.5%
His accounts purchased 327 stocks worth up to $12.8 million
By law, those trades had to be disclosed within 45 days
Instead, they were disclosed over a year late, for a $200 penalty
According to the "Zeberg-Salomon Protocol" - today is the day you rotate out of SP500 and into Long-duration US Government Bonds.
Not saying this is the TOP (it is not!) in SP500 - but rates are about to come down - and hence Bonds to rally.
Following the Protocol since 1975 would have out-performed the SP500 by 6X.
Stay tuned!
BREAKING: Look at this.
The day before Trump paused tariffs, triggering a historic 10% market rally, his accounts purchased 327 stocks worth up to $12.8 million.
The trades were disclosed more than a year late, resulting in a $200 penalty.
Unusual.
This is real footage from 120 years ago.
None of the people in it knew that the city around them had four days left...
What you are watching is a cable car gliding down Market Street in San Francisco, filmed on the 14th of April, 1906.
The camera was mounted on the front of the car, so you see the city exactly as it was: the crowds, the horse-drawn carriages, the early automobiles weaving through traffic, the men in hats, the great buildings rising on either side. An ordinary spring afternoon in a thriving American city.
Four days later, on the morning of the 18th of April, a magnitude 7.9 earthquake struck. The shaking lasted under a minute, but it ignited fires that burned through the city for days...
By the time it was over, more than 3,000 people were dead and roughly 80 percent of San Francisco had been destroyed. Almost every building you see in this footage was gone.
And the film itself nearly went with it.
The negative was placed on a train bound for New York on the 17th of April, the day before the earthquake. Had it left a single day later, it would have burned in the fire along with the studio that made it.
This entire moving record of a lost city survives because of one day...
23 years ago, we set out to prove that electric cars could be great – not just great electric cars, but the best cars overall.
We’ve gone from one electric sports car to
– Over 9 million vehicles on the road
– Model Y becoming the world’s best-selling car of any kind only 3 years after first deliveries
– 5 Gigafactories & other manufacturing sites across 3 continents
– The largest & most reliable fast charging network w/ over 80,000 Superchargers globally
– Energy generation & storage systems helping power homes & grids (over 1 million Powerwalls installed, 70+ GWh of industrial energy storage operating globally across 2,200+ projects)
Today, we’re bringing AI into the real world with autonomy @Tesla_AI and robotics @Tesla_Optimus.
Tesla is only getting started – a world of amazing abundance awaits
Put/call ratios spiked to extreme high levels on Friday of last week, a pattern which often accompanies short-term lows. I usually plot raw put/call ratios with a 5-day moving average just to filter out some noise!
Unpopular opinion $ETH bottomed June 2022 June 2026 June 2030 ✍️ Let my track records speak for itself 🙏 Upside target is between 8,000 to 13,000 by Summer 2029 top 👀 I predicted $BTC peak on October 2025 🎯 Would it be different this time 🤔 Ask Grok 👇
https://t.co/P9YzFFMo1I
There have been 29 years since the S&P 500 began in 1957 where the highest point of the 1st half of the year occurred in June.
This year is the 30th.
Want to guess how many times, of the 29, it went on to set at least one more new high during the 2nd half?
All of them.