@__tinygrad__ 1 MW of IT is the easy part.
you still need cooling, heat rejection, fire suppression, power losses.
in practice add 30-40% overhead, another ~300-400 kW.
The real product is the infrastructure around the GPUs
This is my fifth conversation with @GavinSBaker.
Gavin understands semiconductors and AI as well as anyone I know and has a gift for making sense of the industry's complexity and nuance.
We discuss:
- Nvidia vs Google (GPUs + TPUs)
- Scaling laws and reasoning models
- The economics of AI compute
- Why Blackwell's delay mattered
- The bear case on the AI capex buildout
- Data centers in space
- The mistake SaaS companies are making
Few people love investing more than Gavin. His closing answer about why he loves it turned into a full reflection on his investing origin story, which I had never heard before.
Enjoy!
Timestamps:
0:00 Intro
5:03 The Blackwell Transition
23:15 The Prisoner's Dilemma
27:12 The Bear Case: Edge AI
37:19 Meta, Open Source, and Model Depreciation
43:08 Geopolitics and Rare Earths
50:42 Data Centers in Space
56:06 Power Constraints as a Governor
1:11:31 The SaaS Mistake
1:16:17 Nuclear and Quantum
1:22:25 Gavin’s Investing Origins
okay, let me get this straight…
1/ you can use sora 2 to create hollywood level videos in seconds to build audiences of millions
2/ you can deploy donotpay style ai agents that call comcast, cancel subscriptions, and renegotiate bills automatically
3/ you can clone your voice with elevenlabs in under 10 seconds and layer it on heygen avatars to create talking head videos without ever filming
4/ you can run open-source models like llama-3 or kimi k2 on your laptop using ollama or lm studio, no gpu cluster required
5/ you can spin up code agents on cursor or claude code that debug, write tests, and push to github while you’re offline
6/ you can record a loom and drop it into chatgpt to automatically research context, extract insights, prioritize the top ideas, and turn it into a polished blog post
7/ you can drag-and-drop zapier workflows and instantly plug in lindy agents to automate outreach, reporting, research, even legal docs
8/ you can drop a 300-page pdf into perplexity or chatgpt with code interpreter and get a structured memo in under a minute
9/ you can find validated startup ideas someone should build right now with @ideabrowser and then chat with agents to help you build it (i built this for you)
10/ you can spin up interactive mobile funnels in 5 mins with perspective
11/ you can generate personalized landing pages per visitor with mutiny ai or replo, tied to real-time crm data
12/ you can run nano banana (google flash 2.5 in google ai studio) or sora 2 to create 100 ad variations and a/b test them in meta ads manager before you spend a dollar
13/ you can query your data warehouse with chatgpt connected to bigquery or snowflake like it’s imessage
14/ you can use fyxer ai to respond to your emails for you
15/ you can train a custom gpt on your intercom or zendesk docs and have it resolve 70 percent of tickets without human touch
16/ you can scrape competitors with apify or bright data and generate GTM strategies in claude in hours instead of months
17/ you can deepfake yourself into 20 languages using heygen’s dubbing and synthesize global content libraries overnight
18/ you can run AI audits on quickbooks from your ai native brex with tools like flowcog and instantly surface tax write-offs your accountant missed
19/ you can auto-generate a week of social posts with notion ai or typefully that match brand tone, visuals, and cadence
20/ you can upload a csv to shopify magic and spin up a full e-commerce storefront with product descriptions, images, and ads pre-baked
21/ you can deploy voice agents through vapi that call leads, qualify them, update your crm, and hand you a booked call calendar
22/ you can build any personal software you’d like. don’t like your crm? no worries, build your own
23/ you can spin up entire media pipelines in runway, sora 2 and pika labs, from raw text to cinematic short-form content
24/ and way more. this just scratches the surface to get your creative juices flowing this weekend.
This is the greatest unlock for solo builders since the App Store.
Enjoy it.
The New Luxury Pyramid: In the time of the 'Oat Milk Elite', status signifiers can be difficult to decode. What once might have been a universal signal of wealth like a Rolex or a Chanel Bag, now can under certain circumstances instead ironically communicate the lack thereof. These days, it seems like we prefer signs that are harder to fake. Taking a photo with a Birkin? Easy. Maintaining your yuppie deluxe lifestyle with two kids and a mortgage? A little harder. Think caseless iPhones, 10.30am fitness classes, not having roommates.
So i got couple of DM’s yesterday to make a video guide on how to engage with @Artemisfinance on @web3davincis.
💰Potential $ART reward
🪙 $0 interaction
Here is the guide below ⬇️
Link: https://t.co/vGUhAmaeVr
Do not bookmark for later, Do it now 😒