Big Peninsula

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@optionflys what are your thoughts on names like $PENG, $AVEX and $EOS.AX?

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@kpak82 what are your thoughts on $AVEX ?

[Mo @optionflys]

$AAPL

Price is sitting right in the decision zone between expansion and continuation of the triangulation.

If this is real strength, we should see a push through 280–288 and start building momentum toward the upper range.

If it stalls here, then this likely completes a complex WXY and we stay in chop before the next move.

Key level to hold is 250–260. Invalidation 245.51.

Above → expansion
Fail → back into range.

$SPX $SPY $QQQ

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@kpak82 what about 2DTE 😅😅

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@JPATrades it was down over 70% at one point but yea now up over 30%. Was a stressful hold when GOOGL was $275

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@optionflys Mo, where would the next support be? It has dropped down 5%+ since your post, looking to add tsla calls soon

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@kpak82 do you think it is due for an oversold rally now? @kpak82

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@kpak82 I don’t think so, not yet. It should go test the $644 support for that inverse H&S and I agree right back up after that.

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@kpak82 are you targeting $50 for your shorts?

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@MaskedTraderNFA @MyFundedFutures how fast did it take you to get the payout starting from buying the eval?

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@ArukalaReddy @CheddarFlow fr never following degen flow again

[Astro Zan @alshfaw]

Powell / Fed's Emergency Rate Cut on 03/03/26 Full Moon / Eclipse Tuesday? ⚠️⚠️⚠️

This is reminiscent of Powell's Emergency Cut on 03/03/2000.

Why Am I Forecasting This?
1. Credit swaps are indicating deteriorating financial conditions in private credit. $SRLN ETF heading to levels last seen during the pre-Liberation-Day crash March 2025. See picture.
2. Credit Fraction of GDP % approaching levels last seen just before the 2008 GFC. See picture.
3. Bearish Sentiment and Armageddon level puts are already loaded, and Powell can give the Wall Street Casino an opportunity to squeeze hundreds of billions out of them with one short press release cutting the rate. He can even do it today to avoid the symmetry of the 3/3 anniversary, and trap them all.
4. Iran War + Private Credit Risk = Plunge Protection Team PPT must come back. If they come back you will see first hand what "Blow-off Top Engineering" will mean: $720 $SPY

>>> If the Feds do not inject liquidity into the market from early this week, then the risk of a credit event is extremely high. I will then submit to the bears forecast and say it was all by design, but I am skeptical.

Looking at the $SPY $SVIX charts, the market has not put the 2nd shoulder (top) yet, making the Wave5 top from January the first top only. An ABC for a 2nd top is a must. Liquidity must improve, and $BTC is nodding as it also gets its Buy9 heading into March 19th.

How to prepare for this? At what $SPY level the cut may happen based on geometry? All of this, Iran discussion, and more was shared with paid members here:

https://t.co/BUxXnP85Ej

This article is so good, I will only unlock it for free reading with 50 retweets by 9pm EST today.

Share & Subscribe, <link in bio>:
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@D3GSolutions Money back on the $40 monthly subscription, correct? @alshfaw

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@alshfaw do we get money back on your substack if you predict the day wrong? $40 for one month and $440 for a year??

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@alshfaw so where are you expecting SPY to head to? I thought you said 3/3 was a VAXTRO day?

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@alshfaw @realDonaldTrump so your thesis is only based on VVIX ?

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@itsCblast TRADE ECHO

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@itsCblast FUNDED

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@SassyBrat1233 @CheddarFlow @grok fact check this statement

[Big Peninsula @big_peninsula]

@optionflys Mo so did you buy some 3/20 $DOC calls for the same strike?