Ed Roche

football nerd 🏈 | “men lie, women lie, numbers don’t” 🧑🏼‍💻 | go birds 🦅

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

@ScottBarrettDFB @EatFckinTimothy @FantasyPtsData

[Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter]

New Raiders HC Klint Kubiak told reporters today that tight end Brock Bowers is “a football robot from heaven.”

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

Add in the fact Devonta Smith was 11th in Separation Score on Outs in 2025 (among WRs who ran 25+ Out routes)

Also add in Makai Lemon who had an 88.9% success rate on sampled Outs in 2025 (c/o @RecepPerception)

Think PHI will be fine with the new scheme.

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

Been a lot of talk about how Hurts doesn't throw to the middle of the field, and that the new GB offense will require that out of him.. not so sure about that

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

By sheer volume of routes, let alone 1st read target rates, you can tell the GB offense is designed to spread the ball horizontally, more specifically outside

PHI offense last year was (obv) designed to target hitches at an absurd rate, but also targeted in-breaking routes a lot

[Zach Drapkin @ZachDrapkin]

The @Eagles are hiring a Quantitative Analyst!

Apply here: https://t.co/HsL8GFlbW9

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

National TV announcers refusing to call out bad foul calls is beyond frustrating

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

Genuinely curious of historical team edge pass rush win rates because…

HOU’s duo may be one of the best duo’s we’ve seen given the basic scheme. Virtually no <schematic> help to gain pressure/win rate.

Just pure talent

[Football Insights 📊 @fball_insights]

How well each team’s EDGE and DT position groups rushed the passer and defended the run last season (incl ranks)

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

Woke up thinking about Chendall Weaver. What a dawg

[David Lee @dlee4three]

AJ Dybantsa, Potential Face of a Franchise — presented by @dlee4three ✍️ x @tipoffball 🎨

A thorough dive into how AJ's PNR idiosyncrasies, playmaking footprint and shot profile influence his creation equity in the NBA...👇🧵

[Context Capper @ContextCapper]

Dam Rondale Moore took his own life

25, a kid

After two horrific injuries

There's one piece of wisdom the world needs now more than ever, you are more than a job, a dream, bad luck, accolades

You are a provable miracle

No matter how hard it gets, your life is valuable

[Joon Lee @joonlee]

One of the best parts of watching this live: a rare moment where everyone knew they were watching something special as it was happening

[Jakob Sanderson @JakobSanderson]

Some news🧵

This hobby started as a podcast to keep talking to @ElNostraThomas after moving away. It has become a Substack, a community, and now: a career

Thanks to this community, today is my last day as a practicing lawyer and my first going full time in fantasy football

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

Could’ve been MIN if they paid the man

[Sam Presti ⚡️ @SamPrestiGM]

I still can’t believe this is real life @JohnMcCain

[Steph Noh @StephNoh]

ICYMI, I built a contracts tool that projects what every player in the NBA is worth vs what they are paid. Here's what it says about AD (bad value) and Coby White (good value).

Tool is free, zero ads, for the community. Play around with it here! https://t.co/lQ9XM0MUEo

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

FWIW

K9 is almost an exclusive outside zone runner

SF allows the highest explosive run rate, and success rate on outside zone runs

[Ed Roche @BigRed_Ed]

FWIW

K9 is almost an exclusive outside zone runner

SF allows the highest explosive run rate, and success rate on outside zone runs