Quinshon Judkins has been held under 3.5 YPC in 15 of 22 career games (68% of the time)
Nick Chubb was held under 3.5 YPC in 15 of his first 77 (!!!) career games (19% of the time)
@EhhPackers@Ferd_Turgeson I actually have one of the best track records in the game, and there are former NFL coaches/Directors of Analytics who say I'm better at this than sitting GMs
@Elroy_PrestonII@Ferd_Turgeson If you follow my account and you listen to the pod, you know I’ve taken this L at least a dozen times already
And now I’m 38 of 40 in my lifetime when saying “this guy’s analytics profile is ass and has no business going in Round 1.” The other outlier being Josh Allen
Drake Maye against top-10 defenses (EPA per play allowed) this year:
13.5 FPG
6 TDs, 10 INTs
Against everyone else:
28.0 FPG
12 TDs, 1 INT
He draws an easy matchup against Detroit (6th-worst in EPA/DB allowed) this week.
@FantasyPtsData
Drake Maye is the most matchup-sensitive QB in football.
Most of the time, he's great. But against top-10 defenses, he turns into a worse version of 2026 Jacoby Brissett.
The Packers rank 5th-best in EPA/DB allowed.
@FantasyPtsData
Worst QB Seasons by Clean Pocket EPA/DB in @FantasyPtsData History [2021-2026]
1. 2026 Justin Herbert (-0.248)
2. 2023 Zach Wilson (-0.246)
3. 2023 Bryce Young (-0.232)
4. 2026 Daniel Jones (-0.197)
5. 2021 Zach Wilson (-0.193)
How bad has Justin Herbert been? It's Zach Wilson levels of ass, bro
Reacting to the Puka Nacua news:
+ Davante Adams is probably back in Week 13, per @jmthrivept. He's an uber league-winner for however long he's on the field alongside Matthew Stafford. [See: QT]
+ I have serious long-term concerns with the Rams/Nacua. [See: today's YouTube]
Top WRs by Fantasy Points per Route Run [Last 2 Years]
+ @FantasyPtsData
1. Puka Nacua w/out Adams (0.93)
2. Davante Adams w/out Puka (0.92)
--- giant chasmic gap ---
3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (0.78)
--- another giant chasmic gap ---
4. Amon-Ra St. Brown (0.60)
You think I was kidding? Here are Patrick Mahomes' most-targeted receivers in his entire career:
Travis Kelce (1,081 targets)
Tyreek Hill (493)
Mecole Hardman (236)
Rashee Rice (236)
Xavier Worthy (211)
Demarcus Robinson (183)
Sammy Watkins (182)
Noah Gray (176)
JuJu Smith-Schuster (161)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (123)
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (122)
Jerick McKinnon (121)
Justin Watson (115)
Darrel Williams (102)
Isiah Pacheco (98)
Kareem Hunt (88)
Byron Pringle (84)
Marquise Brown (77)
Skyy Moore (72)
DeAndre Hopkins (58)
Damien Williams (57)
Kadarius Toney (55)
Tyquan Thornton (52)
Chris Conley (52)
After the top-2, is there a single player on this list who isn't turbo-dogshit?