William Peacock

Chief Engineer Merchant Marine

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@MooreScottmoore The bounce from 427 feels like someone stepped in to catch it. Question is whether that floor holds or we test lower again.

[FX_Holden-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @MooreScottmoore]

🚨 $TSM has been swinging wildly the last couple days.

TSMC shot up from around $417 to almost $449, showing some serious short-term momentum. That tells us people still believe in semiconductors, AI chips, and advanced manufacturing.

Then it dropped back to $427, but bounced right back to $447 territory. 📈

What this really means:
Buyers keep jumping in on dips, and the bullish vibe isn't fully gone yet.

From a chart standpoint, the first big support to watch is:
$432–$439

That's a key short-term zone. If $TSM dips there and holds steady, it could be a spot to keep an eye on for a small position. 🎯

If $432–$439 holds, the pullback might just be normal after a big rally, and $TSM could try to hit that $449 high again.

But if that support breaks, the short-term picture could get shaky.

Next stronger support would be around:
$419–$422

If it falls past the first zone to that area, selling pressure is stronger and a deeper correction might be coming. ⚠️ Given $TSM's huge size, more downside could mean more losses.

This isn't just about $TSM either.

The whole US market is feeling the heat. $SPX, $NDX, and $QQQ are all pulling back, and tech and semiconductor stocks are cooling off together.

Also, $SMH is still a key ETF to watch.

If $SMH keeps weakening, money is still leaving chips, which could drag $TSM down short-term.

If $QQQ and $SMH settle down, $TSM has a better shot at bringing capital back in. 📊

Long-term, $TSM's core story hasn't changed.

They're still the global leader in advanced chip manufacturing, deeply tied to $NVDA, $AAPL, $AMD, $AVGO, and $QCOM.

AI chips, data centers, high-performance computing, smartphones, and process upgrades are all still long-term drivers. 🚀

My take is simple:
Don't chase after a wild move.

Watch that $432–$439 support.

If it holds, it's a zone to watch for small positions.

If it breaks, next big support is $419–$422.

Also keep an eye on $SPX, $NDX, $QQQ, and $SMH to see if they stabilize.

$TSM's long-term story is still strong, but short-term price action has to deal with market pressure, chip sector cooling, and profit-taking after a big run.

⚠️ Just my analysis, not financial advice. Do your own homework.

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@Ragequeen__ Profit takers been real aggressive at those highs. Not convinced this finds a floor until the volume settles down a bit.

[📈FX|EAゴールドUSDJPY|XAUUSD（GoldEA）ドル円投資📊 @XAUUSD_View]

金の利益は伸び続けてる 📈🔥

今のうちに一部利益を確定して、確保しとくのもアリかもね。

相場はいつ急変するかわからないし。
利益を守るのは、稼ぐのと同じくらい大事だよ 📊
残りのポジションは、損切りラインを上げて、そのまま伸ばすのも手 ⚠️

ルールを守って、欲張らずに、安定して稼ぐことを大事にしよう。

[FX|XAUUSD（GoldEA）trend-analyze- Traders @XAUUSD_GoldEA]

Gold profits continue to expand 📈🔥

At this stage, it may be a good idea to take partial profits and secure some gains.

Markets can change quickly at any time.
Protecting profits is just as important as making them 📊
For remaining positions, consider moving your stop-loss higher and letting the trade continue to run ⚠️

Stay disciplined, avoid greed, and focus on consistent profitability.

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@meloncurls21 Big swings like that make me wonder how much is real momentum vs just algos chasing each other. Long-term story might be solid but that chart looks messy short-term.

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@omgitsbunnie These intraday swings feel like they're just noise unless you're scalping. Hard to tell if it's consolidation or distribution.

[FX_Everly-Stock Trading Analyst【Nasdaq S&P500】 @omgitsbunnie]

🚨 $NVDA has been swinging a lot more in the last couple of days.

The stock shot up from around $211 to nearly $232, showing some serious short-term power. But after that big jump, it dropped fast and now sits near $214. 📉

From a chart perspective, the main support to watch is around $209–$211.
This spot is where the move began and also a key line for the bulls to defend. 🎯

If $NVDA can hold near $209–$211 and buyers come back, the bullish setup stays alive and we might see another bounce.

But if that support breaks, short-term sentiment could get worse, and the stock might look for lower ground. Given Nvidia's huge size, every sharp drop can also wipe out a ton of market value. ⚠️

This pullback isn't just about $NVDA.

The whole U.S. market is feeling the heat. Right now, $SPX, $NDX, and $QQQ are all under pressure, with tech stocks and semiconductors falling together.

Also keep an eye on $SMH. If it keeps weakening, that means money is still pulling out of semiconductors, which could hit $NVDA even more in the near term.

If $QQQ and $SMH can steady themselves, $NVDA has a better shot at drawing capital back in. 📊

This drop might come from a few things:

• Weakness in $SPX
• Pressure on $NDX / $QQQ
• Cooling in $SMH
• Profit-taking after a strong run
• Valuation adjustment in AI leaders
• Lower risk appetite everywhere

But long-term, Nvidia's core story hasn't changed. AI computing needs, data center growth, GPU demand, enterprise AI use, and semiconductor upgrades are still backing $NVDA's future. 🚀

My take is simple:
Don't chase it blindly right now.
Keep a close watch on that $209–$211 support.
Also check if $SPX, $NDX, $QQQ, and $SMH can find their footing.
If support holds, a bounce is possible.
If it breaks, short-term risk goes up.
The long-term view is still bullish, but short-term moves need to respect the broader market pullback and sector pressure.

⚠️ This is just market analysis, not financial advice. Always do your own research.

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@DavidKWilliams Charts can show anything you want them to. That bounce looked clean but holding above 546 is what actually matters.

[FX Team_Nasdaq|S&P500|US stock pick Trades @DavidKWilliams]

$AMD is starting to look like a momentum recovery trade again. 🚨📊
On the 15-minute chart, AMD bounced strongly from the 524 area and pushed all the way toward 546.
That tells me buyers are still active.
But now price is trading around 542, very close to the recent high, so I would not chase aggressively here.
The level I am watching first is 538.
If $AMD pulls back and holds 538, the short-term bullish structure still looks strong.
The key support is 532–533.
As long as $AMD stays above this zone, bulls are still in control.
If $AMD can reclaim strength above 546–547, momentum could continue.
But this is not just about AMD.
When $AMD moves, the entire AI chip and data center chain gets attention:
$NVDA — AI GPU leader
$TSM — advanced chip manufacturing
$MU — AI memory and HBM
$AVGO — custom AI chips + networking
$MRVL — AI networking + custom silicon
$ARM — chip architecture
$DELL — AI servers
$SMCI — AI server infrastructure
$ASML $AMAT $LRCX $KLAC — semiconductor equipment
$SMH $SOXX — semiconductor ETFs
My view is simple:
AI demand will not belong to one company only.
$NVDA is still the king, but hyperscalers need more supply, more competition, and more efficient data center options.
That is where $AMD matters.
EPYC CPUs.
Instinct AI GPUs.
Data center acceleration.
AI infrastructure demand.
The chart is strong.
Buyers are active.
The AI chip story is still alive.
But after a fast move, entry price still matters.
I would rather wait for support confirmation than chase near the high. 📊🔥
Not financial advice.

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@ChizNobi Momentum plays like this can reverse just as fast as they run. Curious if 508 holds as resistance or becomes support.

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@XAUUSD_Navi 確かにあのゾーンは何度も跳ね返されてたからな。俺は見送ったけど、拾えた人はお見事としか言いようがない。

[💖FX|XAUUSD|USDJPY（GoldEA）ドル円|トレーダー @XAUUSD_Navi]

XAUUSD🌍
先日も話したけど、4423あたりはめっちゃ強いサポートゾーンだったんだよね📊

その辺りで入ったみんな、利確おめでとう🎉📈

相場は予想通りに動いてくれて、しっかりリバウンドのチャンスをくれたよ

だからこそ、チャートに書いてあるサポートとレジスタンスを大事にしてねって、

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@BlockheadsMedia Choppy price action lately. 766 feels like a make-or-break zone, but I'd want to see a clean close above 780 before calling it a real recovery.

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@MooreScottmoore Bounce looks nice on paper but we've seen this movie before with semis lately. Wait for the daily close above resistance before calling it real.

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@XAUUSD_GoldEA 何度も同じラインを試してると、つい飛びつきたくなる気持ちはわかるけど、ここは様子見が正解かもね。

[FX|XAUUSD（GoldEA）trend-analyze- Traders @XAUUSD_GoldEA]

XAUUSD Gold Chart Update 📊

Gold has once again returned to the support area around 4459.
This is now the second test of this key support zone 👀
However, do not blindly enter long positions just because price has reached support ⚠️

It is important to remain patient and wait for the market structure to become clearer before taking action.

At the moment, bears still maintain the advantage, and the preferred strategy remains selling near resistance and buying near support within the range 📉📈

Stay patient and wait for a clear confirmation before entering the market 🔥

[William Peacock @Bill1AE]

@LisaSongSutton Hmm, a breakout in semis after that weird sideways week? Could be noise, but the volume looks solid enough to keep an eye on.