birmax

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[birmax @birmax0]

$FOBO doubled off the bottom overnight

Then gave a third of it back

The night in 4 lines:
> Nov 11, 21:00–23:00 UTC: bottom at $0.00137
> 03:00 UTC: $0.00272, almost 2x
> Now: $0.0018, still +32% from the low
> Busiest hour of the bounce: only $18K traded

Holders: 1,716, down from 1,793 three days ago

The price bounced, the holder count didn't

A 2x on $18K of volume isn't demand. It's a thin book. I'd want to see real volume before calling a bottom
Curious what fobodotfun has planned

$FOBO from here:
Dead cat
Base forming

[birmax @birmax0]

$PONS printed $0.1391 today
Lowest since late August

Market cap back under $100M

From the September top to today ↓
> Sep 5: $0.978 daily high, the ATH
> Oct 31 close: $0.232
> Today: $0.1391 low, $0.144 now
> Holders: 104,443, about 640 fewer than on Nov 7

Anyone who bought in September or October is underwater

But the launchpad just passed 1M tokens launched, and @MEADGod says the team is moving into Stock Token liquidity. I'm not calling a bottom, but this doesn't look like a dead project to me

Late-August prices are:
> A gift
> A warning

[birmax @birmax0]

$HOOKR is up 54% in November, and its team shipped two integrations in two days

While most big Robinhood Chain memes bleed, this one keeps building:

1. Nov 11: Chop launched chHOOKR, a wrapped $HOOKR that earns when markets chop
2. Nov 12: Oak Agent Kit partnered with Hookr. Agents can now launch pools, set limit orders and LP through Hookr
3. Price: $0.0151 on Oct 31, $0.0234 now
4. Over the same stretch, $PONS is -35% and $CASHCAT -44%
5. Holders: 10,061, up 21 in a day

It's still 36% below its October high, but it's the one big name trending the other way

Does shipping matter for memes, or only the chart?

[birmax @birmax0]

X cashtags can now trade any Solana token through fomo, and Robinhood Chain tokens like $PONS aren't part of it

This isn't a rumor. Here's what happened:

1. Nov 10: fomo posted "Tap the cashtag, trade it on fomo. Available for all Solana tokens"
2. Nov 11: X's own business account, @XBusiness, replied "No more fomo. Just fomo" with a handshake
3. You tap a Solana token's cashtag on X, and the trade happens in fomo
4. Only Solana tokens are included for now
5. Meanwhile, Johann Kerbrat says more integrations with the Robinhood App are next for Robinhood Chain

X is turning cashtags into a trade button. Robinhood Chain is still waiting for one

Would you trade $PONS or $CASHCAT straight from a cashtag?

[birmax @birmax0]

$HOOKR is the only big Robinhood Chain token that's less than 50% below its all-time high

Everyone else is down 80% or more:

1. $HOOKR: -44.8% from its Oct 16 high
2. $CASHCAT: -80.6% from Sep 3
3. $PONS: -84.2% from Sep 5
4. $FOBO: -84.7% from Nov 8
5. $INDEX: -92.0% from Sep 3
6. $AI: -92.4% from Sep 17

Four of the six peaked in September and haven't come close since

Which one gets back to its high first?

[birmax @birmax0]

$HOOKR is up 13% in 24 hours, while almost every other big Robinhood Chain meme is red

It started with one hour yesterday:

1. Nov 9, 15:00 UTC: $0.0191 to $0.0231, +21%, on $82K of volume. Normal hours were doing $11K to $23K
2. It hasn't closed an hour below $0.0194 since
3. Same 24 hours: $CASHCAT -13%, $AI -5%, $PONS about flat, $FOBO -58%
4. Now $0.0214, up 31% from the Nov 8 low of $0.0163
5. Still 31% below the $0.031 top on Nov 6, right after Vlad Tenev's "Love it" reply

Out of the big Robinhood Chain names, it's the only one up double digits

Relative strength, or just a slower bleed than the rest?

[birmax @birmax0]

$FOBO is still up more than 500% in November, and down 85% from its top

It all depends on when you bought:

1. Oct 31 close: $0.00038. If you bought then, you're up about 535%
2. Nov 8 top: $0.0157. If you bought there, you're down 85%
3. Nov 8 close: $0.0087. Down 72% from there
4. Now: $0.0024, -39% in the last 24 hours
5. Holders: 1,767, down from 1,793 two days ago

Same token, two completely different Novembers

When did you get in?

[birmax @birmax0]

$FOBO dropped 59% in a single hour last night, and its holder count has started going down

Two days ago it was the hottest chart on Robinhood Chain. Then came Nov 9, 20:00 UTC:

1. That hourly candle opened at $0.0069 and closed at $0.0028
2. It traded $205K in that hour. The hours before did $3K to $23K
3. The wick touched $0.0011 before buyers stepped in
4. Now: $0.0033, -58% in 24h and about 77% below the $0.014 top
5. Holders: 1,516 on Nov 8, 1,793 on Nov 9, 1,776 today

Holders kept growing while the price fell. Now they're shrinking too

Is this the floor doing its job, or the end of the run?

[birmax @birmax0]

$PONS has been the calmest big chart on Robinhood Chain for a day now

While others swung hard, it barely moved:

1. Every hourly close since Nov 9, 09:00 UTC has been between $0.150 and $0.160
2. 24h change: +0.2%. $CASHCAT did -13%, $FOBO -58%
3. Holders: 105,085 on Nov 7, 104,459 on Nov 9, 104,549 today. The outflow stopped, at least for now
4. Last 24h on the main USDG pool: 5,730 buys, 6,047 sells
5. Market cap: $103.4M

After a 28% slide from Nov 7 to Nov 9, it's been holding a $0.01 range

Breakout or breakdown from here?

[birmax @birmax0]

@Nottheordi18856 bro, chill

[birmax @birmax0]

$HOOKR is up 13% in 24 hours, while almost every other big Robinhood Chain meme is red

It started with one hour yesterday:

1. Nov 9, 15:00 UTC: $0.0191 to $0.0231, +21%, on $82K of volume. Normal hours were doing $11K to $23K
2. It hasn't closed an hour below $0.0194 since
3. Same 24 hours: $CASHCAT -13%, $AI -5%, $PONS about flat, $FOBO -58%
4. Now $0.0214, up 31% from the Nov 8 low of $0.0163
5. Still 31% below the $0.031 top on Nov 6, right after Vlad Tenev's "Love it" reply

Out of the big Robinhood Chain names, it's the only one up double digits

Relative strength, or just a slower bleed than the rest?

[birmax @birmax0]

@AgabeyovRa10201 fobo believer

[birmax @birmax0]

$FOBO dropped 59% in a single hour last night, and its holder count has started going down

Two days ago it was the hottest chart on Robinhood Chain. Then came Nov 9, 20:00 UTC:

1. That hourly candle opened at $0.0069 and closed at $0.0028
2. It traded $205K in that hour. The hours before did $3K to $23K
3. The wick touched $0.0011 before buyers stepped in
4. Now: $0.0033, -58% in 24h and about 77% below the $0.014 top
5. Holders: 1,516 on Nov 8, 1,793 on Nov 9, 1,776 today

Holders kept growing while the price fell. Now they're shrinking too

Is this the floor doing its job, or the end of the run?

[birmax @birmax0]

$PONS launchpad fees are down more than 98% from their September peak

September on Pons was a different world

Here is what the fee line looks like now:

1. Best day: Sept 5, $11.42M in fees
2. September average: $4.57M a day
3. October average: $541K a day
4. Yesterday: $160K
5. The part that goes to $PONS buyback and burn: $554K a day in September, $15.9K yesterday

$15.9K of daily buybacks next to $10.2M of daily $PONS trading

What would bring launches back to Pons: new features, or just a new meta?

[birmax @birmax0]

$SPY and $NVDA tokens traded $55.6M on Robinhood Chain in the last 24 hours

That's almost 3x $PONS, $CASHCAT, $MOW and $FOBO combined

Everyone here watches the memecoins. The volume today went somewhere else:

1. $SPY: $29.3M
2. $NVDA: $26.3M
3. $SPCX, the SpaceX token: $14.0M
4. $PONS, the biggest memecoin: $10.2M
5. $CASHCAT $5.2M, $MOW $2.6M, $FOBO $1.6M

The $SPY token did $29.3M in a day with about $22M worth of it on the chain

Is Robinhood Chain quietly becoming a stock chain with memes on the side?

[birmax @birmax0]

$FOBO is down 35% in 24 hours, and its holder count is up 18% over the same day

Yesterday it was the chart everyone on Robinhood Chain was posting

Then the sellers showed up:

1. Top: about $0.014 on Nov 8, around 15:00 UTC
2. Today it dipped below $0.007
3. Now: $0.00837, -35% in 24h
4. Holders: 1,516 yesterday, 1,793 now. 277 new wallets.
5. Main pool, last 24h: 1,487 buys, 1,363 sells, net flow -$33.8K

The price went one way, the holder count went the other

Which number do you trust more here, price or holders?

[birmax @birmax0]

"Who is still holding this?" asked a $PONS post with 3.8K views today

The answer: almost everyone

1. Nov 6: 105,036 holders, with PONS around $0.19
2. Nov 7: 105,085
3. Today: 104,777, with PONS at $0.16
4. That's 308 fewer holders in a day, while the price fell 17%
5. The holder count is down just 0.3%

The price is moving

The holders mostly aren't

Diamond hands, or wallets that forgot they hold it?

[birmax @birmax0]

@bighuirocko all market falling now

[birmax @birmax0]

"It's happening. Robinhood whales are rotating from $PONS into $FOBO." 11.6K views

The same account posted "It's over for $PONS" on Nov 3

Since Nov 3:

1. FOBO: $0.001746 to $0.01342, +669%
2. PONS: $0.2000 to $0.1602, -20%
3. Since last night's post alone: FOBO +117%, PONS -6%

What's under FOBO now:

1. 1,516 holders, up from 721 on Nov 4. PONS has 104,777
2. The top 10 wallets hold 80% of the supply
3. $8.5M of liquidity against a ~$13M FDV
4. $676K of volume in 24 hours

So far the call is right on price. The holder base is still small

Who are the 1,516: early, or late?

[birmax @birmax0]

"$50 turned into $27,819 on $CASHCAT" is trending again. Here's what the Robinhood listing buyers got

1. Aug 6, listing day: CASHCAT spiked to $0.2055, then closed the day at $0.1027
2. $100 bought at that spike is worth about $41 today
3. The top was $0.3149 on Sep 3. $100 there is $27 now
4. Now $0.0839: 73% below the top, -9% in November
5. Still 114.5K holders, more than PONS's 104.8K

A Robinhood listing brought buyers

It didn't hold the price

What does that mean for the tokens still waiting for theirs?

[birmax @birmax0]

@AgabeyovRa10201 are you fobo believer?

[birmax @birmax0]

$HOOKR, 40 hours after Vlad Tenev answered a question about it with "Love it":

1. Right before the reply: $0.01778
2. Peak, 6 hours later: $0.03103, +74%
3. Now: $0.02472, still +39%
4. It has stayed between $0.023 and $0.027 since yesterday morning
5. Holders: 9,835 then, 10,011 now
6. Main pool volume: $316K in the last 24h, down from $1.7M a day earlier

The price stayed

The volume left

Is $HOOKR building a base here, or waiting for the next reply?