Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb)

#Bitcoin | Kevin C-137 |

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

How is #Bitcoin peace?

[Saifedean Ammous @saifedean]

Every other form of money, physical, governmental, or digital, is a shitcoin because it relies ultimately on the authority of someone to move. Everyone wants to be that someone & the stakes are so high, they'll fight for it.

War is the only working alternative to bitcoin.

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@Spinerazor1 @saylor Glad you got liquidated. Bitcoin was not made for gamblers.

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@w_s_bitcoin @NEEDcreations This 👌🏼

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@cdntradegrljenn You do your own research. Saylor need Bitcoin, not the other way.

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@TheApeOfGoldST Same nonsense every bear market. It’s going to a million then 2 millions. It’s maths.

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@blurry_omen @bramk @grok James. Why argue? Just research, do easy to use ChatGPT.

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@GhostsInTheLdgr @zerohedge Easy. Custody your BTC and don’t buy paper BTC (ETF). Both are BS, hence manipulation is easy. This is the whole point of BTC, to stop such terrible behaviour from happening.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

This is SHOCKING.

Jane Street’s secret trading technique is to accumulate shares, then dump them in seconds to crash the price and profit from shorts.

They ran the same 10 AM manipulation algo in Indian markets and made $4.23 billion, which led to a temporary ban by the Securities and Exchange Board of India.

Their playbook is simple:

1) Have billions of dollars from investors
2) Buy spot Bitcoin at, say, $68k
3) Open massive shorts via options or derivatives
4) Sell large amounts of BTC in minutes with algos, combined with low liquidity or negative news to trigger panic selling
5) Price crashes to $62k
6) Close shorts for massive profits while losing just 5% on spot
7) Buy spot Bitcoin again at $62k, squeeze shorts, and create FOMO to push price higher
8) Open massive shorts again...

Rinse and repeat.

In India, Jane Street still has $560 million frozen in an escrow account with SEBI, and the manipulation case is ongoing.

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@jebraun @grok @Tplon2 @dgt10011 Why would anyone sue? It’s buying cheap BtTC for corporations while idiot paper hands retail sell off. Transfer of wealth. When they buy a lot more, the price will explode. So stack and don’t “trade”.

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@0xQuit There was never culture or idea. It’s all a scam. Only Bitcoin.

[Logan Weaver @LogWeaver]

Ray Dalio just released 500 years of data showing exactly how empires collapse.

His conclusion? America is in Stage 6 of 9.

The dangerous stage.

Here's what his math actually says about where we're headed:

Dalio studied every major empire collapse since 1500.

Dutch. British. American.

The pattern repeats with machine-like precision every 50-100 years.

Not because of politics or ideology.

Because of math.

The "Big Debt Cycle" has nine stages.

We're currently in Stage 6.

The dangerous one.

Here's how it works:

Stages 1-4: The Rise

Countries borrow to build infrastructure.

Debt is productive. GDP grows faster than debt service costs.

Everything feels sustainable.

This was the U.S. from 1945-2000.

Low debt-to-GDP. Strong productivity growth.

Borrowing made sense.

Stage 5: The Top

Debt service hits 15-20% of GDP.

Interest costs start crowding out productive spending.

But everyone's too comfortable to notice.

Markets boom. Wealth gaps explode.

The U.S. crossed this threshold around 2008.

Stage 6: The Crisis

This is where we are now.

Federal debt exceeds 120% of GDP.

Two choices: Let interest rates rise and crash the economy.

Or print money and create inflation.

Both destroy wealth.

Just differently.

In the 1930s, we chose deflation.

In 2008, we chose money printing.

In 2026, we're doing both at the same time.

Stages 7-9: The Reset

Either massive restructuring through negotiation.

Or war.

History shows wars resolve 90% of these cycles.

Not because humans are violent.

Because debts become mathematically impossible to service.

Dalio's data is clear:

When internal inequality peaks AND external rivals emerge, conflicts become inevitable.

The U.S. has both right now.

Wealth inequality hasn't been this high since 1929.

China's GDP grew 6-8% annually while we borrowed to maintain consumption.

Dalio's advice for Stage 6 is simple:

Sell debt. Buy gold.

Not because gold produces anything.

Because governments print money to escape debt traps.

Gold has risen 3x since 2020.

Exactly as the model predicted.

But here's what actually matters for regular investors:

You can't stop the Big Cycle.

But you can position for it.

Dalio's framework identifies five big forces that drive every transition:

1. Productivity growth
2. Debt cycles
3. Money supply
4. Wealth gaps
5. Geopolitical power shifts

When all five align in the same direction, the cycle turns.

Right now, all five are pointing toward Stage 7.

Productivity growth is slowing.

Debt service costs are rising faster than GDP.

Money supply expanded 40% since 2020.

Wealth concentration is at century highs.

China is building parallel financial infrastructure.

The math doesn't lie.

So what does positioning actually look like?

Dalio's research across 500 years shows three consistent patterns:

Pattern 1: Fiat currencies lose value during Stage 6-7 transitions

Every time. No exceptions.

Governments print to escape debt traps.

The dollar, pound, and euro all follow the same path.

This is why gold and hard assets outperform during these periods.

Pattern 2: Geographic diversification matters more than asset class diversification

When one empire declines, another rises.

Dutch to British. British to American.

The cycle doesn't end. It relocates.

Portfolios concentrated in declining empires get crushed.

Pattern 3: Volatility spikes 3-5x during Stage 6

The 1930s saw 50%+ market swings.

The 1970s stagflation created wild inflation volatility.

2008-2009 saw daily 5% moves.

Stage 6 isn't calm. It's chaos punctuated by brief stability.

Here's the data that should terrify you:

U.S. debt-to-GDP: 120% (highest since WWII)

Annual interest costs: approaching $1 trillion

China's GDP growth: 6-8% while U.S. averages 2-3%

Time between 1929 inequality peak and crash: 8 months

Time since current inequality peak: We're in it now

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@barnaul_finance @RobbieV1988104 @stellarstoic @hiwhaledegen PoS… where does the “profit” come from? In PoS, you (the gullible “investor”), is the Exit Strategy. Just buy and hold Bitcoin and be patient.

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@barnaul_finance @hiwhaledegen Because they have a brain? Study money then study Bitcoin.

[Kevin (Bitcoin Bulb) @BitcoinBulb]

@sashahodler @X__Anderson Ye, wait until they apply this 5% to your house unrealised gain… some people…

[Simply Bitcoin @SimplyBitcoin]

The best time to buy Bitcoin

[Davinci Jeremie @Davincij15]

Bitcoin cut in half from $126k and everyone's looking for the exit.

In 2014 it dropped 85%. I held.
In 2018 it dropped 84%. I held.
In 2022 it dropped 77%. I held.

50% down? That's a Tuesday.

[Charlie Bilello @charliebilello]

Bitcoin Returns since 2010...

$BTC

[Tyler Hill @Tylerhill]

The reason I am willing to buy bitcoin right now is because in May of 2022 I bought bitcoin at $32,000.

It then dumped to $19,000 and 80% of my comments called me a moron.

Then it went up 5x.

My time horizon is long enough to wait out bearish periods.

[Samson Mow @Excellion]

At these levels, it’s all forced sellers. Anyone that is rational and can wait, would wait. Strategy and every other treasury co will happily buy your coins at $80k, $90k, $0.1M, $0.5M etc.

You only sell here if you cannot wait for the infinite bid.

[Lorena Almada @lorenaalmada]

BUY THE DIP.
BUY THE DIP.
BUY THE DIP.
BUY THE DIP.
BUY THE DIP.
BUY THE DIP.
BUY THE DIP.
BUY THE DIP.
BUY THE DIP.
BUY THE DIP.

[Samson Mow @Excellion]

Saylor and Spot. ❤️