The best book I read in 2024 was Stefan Zweig's The World of Yesterday.
His pre-war 19th century is haunting — a world of prosperity and liberalism, whose imminent descent into nationalism and barbarism seemed impossible to imagine.
Modern Western civilization has extraordinary empathy compared to its power. This is also arguably its greatest weakness.
With the nuclear bomb, America could have subjugated every nation on Earth with ease. Hitler and Stalin would certainly have done so.
Instead, America helped rebuild Germany and Japan!
There is no historical precedent for a nation with so much power helping, rather than destroying, its defeated enemies.
Turning 40 was nothing.
But 50 hits different.
You start to reflect on life. What really matters? How does it all add up?
Let me tell you what feels good… and also what doesn’t.
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The "Ship of Theseus" article has been edited 1792 times since it was created in July of 2003. At present, 0% of the phrases in the original article (seen below) remain.
The meme is very true, and represents the Epistemic reformation we’re in midst of right now
Many still make the move of trusting “the pope of science” aka the Harvard/Yale/NYT/NGO consensus of experts
They go to bed, ignore the decentralized “show me the data” analysis of autists who want to look for themselves, and end us seeing painful reality of how incentives have eaten away at these institutions and unmoored them from reality but by bit and generation by generation.
A lot of you on here in fact ARE smarter and more reality based than the “experts” that won their position by going along to get along…
It isn’t THAT hard to find something the world’s “top doctors and scientists missed” when their funding or tenure depends on them not seeing it… but it isn’t rational for median person to trust you, and they reject your contratarían claims because to follow every argument and check each step of your reasoning for themselves would be a DDOS on their attention
30 years war was bloody, this reformation, especially in hot flashes like during Covid has been and will be brutal too.
It won’t be rational for mainstream to reallocate authority to uncredentialized amateurs - no matter how much more correct they are, until there is a very legible and scalable way to delegate trust, so that not everyone has to fact check everything the independent shadow academy — the invisible college — the commons — the bazaar— puts forward against the cathedral of “expert consensus” that is so often state sponsored scientism
Threat-response emotions like panic and outrage spike faster than cosy emotions like love and happiness, so they're more legible to sensors, and more exploitable to algorithms.
Nope. Science is not truth, science is a tool wielded by neurotic apes hoping to find truth. It is a system of theory & experiment distorted by dirty money, politics, petty grievances, and personal vendettas, and while it can create wonders, everything it reveals is provisional.
The upper class is perfectly okay with casting judgment on cigarette smoking and encouraging ppl to stop because it’s unhealthy
But they are unwilling to encourage marriage before having kids, even though single parenthood is also associated with detrimental health outcomes
"The Taliban is not the North Vietnamese army. There's gonna be no circumstance where you see people being lifted off the roof of a embassy of the United States from Afghanistan." —@JoeBiden, July 2021
Within 10-20 years, nearly every branch of science will be, for all intents and purposes, a branch of computer science.
Computational physics, comp chemistry, comp biology, comp medicine... Even comp archeology. Realistic simulations, big data analysis, and ML everywhere
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