@nntaleb@grok who did the japanese sell their debt to? why were people willing to buy long end bonds with low interest rate when their currency was debasing?
@nntaleb@mikeandallie professor I remember this lecture. Same problem we have with variance, multiplying means giving more weight to large data points, so can be counterintuitive
https://t.co/4tbpLAvjuV
1/ An investigation into the alleged identity of the mysterious Hyperliquid/Hyperunit whale, who holds over 100,000 BTC. Recently, he sold over $4.23B in BTC to acquire ETH and is the same person behind the $735M BTC short order placed on the same platform.
@_AhmadHijazi@nntaleb it's not that simple, when elon made his pro h1b comments there was an insurrection here. he can still decide which side to amplify, but cannot stray too much from mainstream republican talking points
He has now sold 2,970 BTC ($334M) over the last 24 hours and has bought 50.470 ETH ($215M) in spot and longed 135.263 ETH ($575M) on Hyperliquid, bringing his total notional exposure to 185.733 ETH ($790M)