Bley Mingus

Sad ape in a bunker

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@sashameetsrus Sasha - why are YOU not at the front!?

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@DaddyPobbin @abrahamson_ed @CaolanReports Local politicians can "lobby" for the plant to stay open, they have some influence on the cabinet

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

How would you assess the public opinion/support for the plant in Limerick itself?
Another problem is that journalists can interview 50 people and only publish the juicy ones.
Another irritation I have is when the full interview is not published.
That said, I think the Irish state and local politicians are influenced by Russian money

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@DaddyPobbin @abrahamson_ed @CaolanReports On principle I strongly agree that journalists should not use wacky fringe characters to misrepresent the political consensus or public opinion

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@SITARMS @CaolanReports @WalleyVision A competent former army Lt Col should know the world and journalism is a bit more complicated than your binary questions.
You sound like a teenager who did the first semester of a Chomsky course.

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@JamesSpackman @MarkAgitprop I am making the argument that Ireland should spend money on defense

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@DaddyPobbin @abrahamson_ed @CaolanReports So your suggestion is to ignore right wing Israeli politicians and Irish politicians who are complicit in the Russian War effort?
I agree that journalism should provide a nuanced picture, but this interview was done in a responsible way, the view of local councillors are relevant

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

Fair point, I support Ukraine while not being a fan of Europe taking millions of Ukrainian refugees.
It in the long term it is damaging the future of Ukraine.
Europe should have helped Ukrainians to settle in western Ukraine with some level of protection.
The same with Syria who lost an awful lot of qualified people - leaving a country that cannot recover.

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@CaolanReports @Justinhead1982 You are a polite assassin - the worst kind for a politician !😃

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@ShaunPinnerUA I think the attack on St Petersburg on Wednesday will be psychologically significant
I am amazed that Ukraine managed to pull this off while Russian defences must have been on high alert

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@donnac1188 @pensandpoison A white male writer is to them what a Jewish writer was to Nazis in the 30s.
The content is irrelevant

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

After omicron was identified I watched an interview with an expert in Johannesburg who highlighted the mild symptoms.
I then told my German colleagues that the new German policy should be offer free holidays to South Africans, and when they arrive at Frankfurt - every German should hug them.

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@turnercharlie62 @MoriMrc Many Americans on the spectrum as well.

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

Nope.
There is a huge difference in saying a Russian victory is likely vs Russia will definitely win in the first months.
The more sophisticated analysts did not make absolute predictions and were not retards, they underestimated Russian poor tactics.
What is your prediction now?

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@turambar26 @LewisJonathanE At the expense of the Republican perspective.

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@teortaxesTex @AMK_Mapping_ @The_Davos_Man They were not all retards - you are far too arrogant.

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

The poster correctly pointed to the fact that external analysis should not be dismissed out of hand.
But your counter argument is valid as well.
Ultimately it depends on the ability of the analysist to be objective and having a good understanding of multiple disciplines.
Another point is that living amongst a certain group of people can compromise or cloud your judgement.
Living among protestants in Belfast (on a daily basis) during the 70s would not necessarily lead to a deep understanding of the "troubles".
If you make an effort to engage both sides, then direct experience per your point is invaluable.
However most "direct experience" accounts in conflicts are when the observer is embedded on one side - not objective at all.

[Bley Mingus @bleymingus]

@teortaxesTex @AMK_Mapping_ @The_Davos_Man Many western analysts still predicted an inevitable Russian victory months into the war.