centrist, satirist, absurdist. Streams of consciousness. multithreaded, walk through walls, those who do not learn from history; are condemned to re-live it.
To the millions that need to hear this, I am a pleb, salty, but pleb. I tweet what I am passionate about. I hold $ada $ergo primarily. Assume I hold anything I am positive for & that I am biased. No investment advice here; carry on.
@chainmonkie@bryan_johnson@ilyasut Question is also, when have values attempted to be imposed by an inferior intelligence been upheld by a superior rival species?
@_The_Prophet__ Human intent, willingness and execution are even today the primary drivers of civilization. And even today, they are present and in a disparate normal distribution curve, what will happen is, the tails of the curve will become longer depending on how and who is wielding AI.
@sekrah@levenson_david That’s my hypothesis too, not in quite that detail; trying to make some new housing decisions, getting unsettled with the economic outlook for middle class folks.
The problem with re-industrializing is the capital cycle is longer than the political cycle.
So you can either elongate the political cycle (fascism; unlikely) or restructure the system to force a shortening of the capital cycle.
And because we live in a relatively globalized world it is very difficult to force just American companies to change their calculus.
So what do you do? You forcefully rip the West away from China and the trillions in capex that has accrued there.
Suddenly & violently.
And then you reset tax incentives, stimulus & cheap energy so that the only rational coping mechanism will be to accelerate US investment.
At 40, Franz Kafka (1883-1924), who never married and had no children, was walking through a park one day in Berlin when he met a girl who was crying because she had lost her favourite doll. She and Kafka searched for the doll unsuccessfully.
Kafka told her to meet him there the next day and they would come back to look for her.
The next day, when they had not yet found the doll, Kafka gave the girl a letter "written" by the doll saying "please don't cry. I took a trip to see the world. I will write to you about my adventures."
Thus began a story which continued until the end of Kafka's life.
During their meetings, Kafka read the letters of the doll carefully written with adventures and conversations that the girl found adorable.
Finally, Kafka brought back the doll (he bought one) that had returned to Berlin.
"It doesn't look like my doll at all," said the girl.
Kafka handed her another letter in which the doll wrote: "my travels have changed me." The little girl hugged the new doll and brought the doll with her to her happy home.
A year later Kafka died.
Many years later, the now-adult girl found a letter inside the doll. In the tiny letter signed by Kafka it was written:
"Everything you love will probably be lost, but in the end, love will return in another way."
Gold Isn’t a Trade | It’s Infrastructure Being Rewired in Real Time
What’s happening in gold markets today is not a typical bull cycle. It’s a monetary recalibration that’s largely invisible to those trained to see gold as merely a hedge or speculative asset. Most people focus on the price action watching gold tick to $2,400, $2,500 and beyond without understanding why it’s moving. But the real story isn’t about demand from retail investors or ETF flows. It’s about gold being re-monetized structurally at the sovereign level, as the global financial system prepares for a post-dollar settlement environment.
Central banks are net buyers of gold at the fastest pace since the Bretton Woods collapse. BIS data shows that gold is being repatriated, vaulted, and marked as Tier 1 collateral. This means gold is now being recognized not just as a reserve asset but as functioning monetary infrastructure. Why? Because trust in digital fiat is fraying, and sovereign actors know that in a multi-polar, de-dollarizing world, you need an anchor that transcends political regimes, sanctions networks, and algorithmic FX manipulation. That anchor is gold.
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The Systemic Shift: From Yield to Collateral Integrity
Gold’s rise is not about inflation expectations or Fed policy anymore. It’s about institutional trust in future collateral. This is why gold is being accumulated regardless of interest rates or CPI prints. The global south led by BRICS nations is repositioning their reserves toward physical gold and away from U.S. Treasuries. This is not ideological it’s pragmatic. Gold is trust with no counterparty. In a world of capital controls, FX volatility, and escalating sanctions risk, gold provides exit velocity from the legacy financial system without requiring permission.
Agenda 2030 narratives, the BIS’ quiet reclassification of gold, and the fragmentation of SWIFT access all point toward a transition to collateralized multipolarity. Gold’s role in that shift is not about price but about plumbing. It allows real assets to be monetized without passing through dollar intermediaries. It can be rehypothecated, pledged, and re-collateralized globally. It is system money, not just crisis insurance.
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Counter-Thesis Check: Where Might This Logic Collapse?
There are real risks. Gold could be digitally encased tokenized in a way that maintains centralized control. Governments could impose windfall taxes, restrict private gold ownership, or enforce capital gates. The paper gold markets (COMEX/LBMA) could continue distorting price discovery. And in a deflationary crisis, gold could even underperform temporarily as margin calls force liquidation.
But those are short-term distortions. The longer arc still points to one truth: gold is being restored not to hedge the system but to replace critical parts of it. If you’re watching the price, you’re still playing the old game. If you’re watching sovereign vault flows, collateral eligibility, and settlement-layer redesign, you’re reading the new rules.
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Final Insight
This isn’t about gold going up it’s about fiat going away. The price is just the lagging reflection of a deeper shift: from trust in credit to trust in collateral. Gold is becoming the neutral base layer of value again, not because it’s speculative, but because nothing else is credible enough to back what’s coming next.
If you understand that, then you understand why gold isn’t just infrastructure it’s future-proof monetary code.
Left chart shows 200 tonnes of UK gold exported to US, Switzerland & HK in January.
Right chart shows Switzerland exported 193 tonnes of gold to the US in January.
For context, global mine production is ~250 tonnes/mth.
To paraphrase LL Cool J, "Don't call it a bank run..."
Your 40s are interesting time, a lot of your earlier assumptions start to get questioned, if you’re an urban nomad a lot of your old friendships might start to be brittle
@JoanSol20@RonaiChaker If one wishes, anything can be rationalized. A religion that does not question itself, a people who do not answer to basic human empathy, are a cult. Most religions have reformed, Muslims target reformers first. IMO this is way past discussion and needs to be actively condemned.
@JoanSol20@RonaiChaker This is the very premise on which all religions are structured, no epiphany here. You are not stating the underlying intolerance which encourages the worst present in all humans.
@Paracelsus1092 It’s intellectually dishonest to use the benign label ‘south Asian’ unless you characterize the systemic cultural aggression for what it is, overt conquest ambition, this isn’t a sexual crime, it’s not even a gang crime, this is a civilizational conflict, and you’re unaware of it