Bo Yoder

Helping RIAs Optimize Investment Strategies In The Volatile Age of AI | 25+ Years Proven Market Forecasting Experience | 2 X McGraw-Hill Author

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

https://t.co/EVYCpk8m5S

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

And markets always overshoot.

I’m thinking 7-8% would be capitulation.

[Grant Cardone @GrantCardone]

If 10 yr treasury hits 6% the entire planet has a 1930 depression.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

Because when you’re back testing, your brain is task positive mode dominant.

Once you take a trade and set your stop, the brain becomes default mode network dominant, and that’s when the second-guessing, obsessive thoughts, fear, and anxiety come out to play.

Chillaxidol is the answer

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

@Neathoul If you see it that way, you’re right.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

MSTR update:

Notice how the upper gap (orange lines) was gapped through to form a bullish kill box and how nicely price respected that confluence of levels as resistance to dig down into discount?

Now we tested the next gap as forecast…

And…

Looks like we have a reversal bar.

Swing trade long possibility here with that bullish kill box as a target.

Then, think about the market posture that price would generate?

Massive selloff.

Fast rally,

Deep first pullback.

Bulls slavering to get and strong.

Rally to rope a dope longs…

Then?

Max pain principle says we dump to the “momma” point for a mega harvest.

Then…

We have a great chance to a long term sustainable bottom.

Bookmark this.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

Maximum pain theory would suggest this is the pathway for price in Naz moving forward.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

@EnsoTrader Yes it does.

Lots of dead accounts from those trying to pick a top.

I’m keeping my time exposure to a minimum but biased long until I see a real break and or a kill box form

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

Who sees the bullish kill box on daily QQQ?

Tomorrow’s close should tell us a lot.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

Mike, I can give you a rescue mechanism that will help you a lot in five minutes.

Trading and especially trading in public creates a lot of stress and that tends to increase activity in the brains default mode network.

This overactive animal brain survival system puts you into a high threat prey type situation with hyper vigilance, anxiety and reactivity running amok.

When you’re suffering, this 5 or 15 min breathwork stack will anesthetize the DMN and give you relief, calm and clarity.

Go to chillaxidol dot com and try the five min guided video as well as an explanation of why it works.

Then if you want to go deeper bundle dot chillaxidol dot com for many different length sessions.

This will help a lot, and if you do it several times a day it will start to have persistent effects.

I developed this to try and crack the problem that leads traders, to consistently deviate from their trade plan and impulsively break the rules and cause blowups and tilt.

During my research and development phase. I also discovered that it has profound effects for trauma, PTSD, addiction, anxiety, and depression.

Try it today, you’ll feel silly huffing and puffing at first, but by the end of the five minutes of your first session you will feel the peace and calm wash over you and that oxytocin feeling of being “OK”.

Do it after entry and stop are set and it will level up your trading in ways you cannot imagine now.

There’s no need to suffer anymore.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

Syndicate Thinking thought experiment for the long weekend….

Here is a list of major IPO events coming up.

Question 1: if the estimated valuations are accurate…where is all that money going to come from for purchase of shares?

Question 2: if you’re a Syndicate firm, would you want the market at a premium or a discount before these IPOs launch and you need the capital?

Question 3: what would be the best strategy to sell your extremely large positions in winners for a massive rotation into new issues?

Question 4: are IPO shares part of any broad stock market indexes?

Question 5: where is the bulk of the volume typically done in a highly directional FOMO move?

Answer these questions and I’ve given you the key to massive trading opportunities coming up…

And…

How to time your entries.

Happy Memorial Day!

List Of Top Major Upcoming IPOs (by estimated scale)

• SpaceX (Aerospace & defense, Starlink, etc.)
Estimated IPO market cap: $1.75 trillion – $2 trillion (some targets cite $1.5–1.75T)

Timeline: S-1 filed; targeting June 2026 (possible pricing around June 11–12 on Nasdaq, ticker SPCX). This could be the largest IPO ever by a wide margin.

• OpenAI (AI / large language models)
Estimated IPO market cap: $852 billion – $1 trillion

Timeline: News mentions point to possibly September 2026 or later in the year (confidential filing prep underway; bankers include Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley). CEO Sam Altman has expressed reluctance about going public soon.

• Anthropic (AI, Claude models)
Estimated IPO market cap: $380 billion – $1 trillion (recent rounds around $380B)
Timeline: Possibly October 2026 or Q4 (rival to OpenAI; strong revenue growth reported).

• Databricks (Enterprise data/AI platform)
Estimated IPO market cap: ~$134 billion

Timeline: Expected in 2026 (prediction markets give it high odds; recently raised funds at this valuation).

• Stripe (Fintech / payments)
Estimated IPO market cap: ~$159 billion (recent secondary/tender offer)

Timeline: No firm 2026 date yet; co-founders have indicated no rush (97%+ odds against H1 2026 per some markets).

• Anduril Industries (Defense tech / autonomous systems)
Estimated IPO market cap: ~$60–61 billion

Timeline: Second half of 2026 (pending additional private funding round).

• Kraken (Payward Inc.) (Crypto exchange)
Estimated IPO market cap: $13–20 billion (recent confidential filing at lower end)

Timeline: 2026 (confidentially filed in April 2026; paused earlier due to market conditions).

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

That “something” is your brains default mode network.

It manipulates you through three channels…

1: emotions (fear, shame, anxiety, etc.)
2: procrastination
3: physical pain

You can turn it off with a 5 min chillaxidol session and finally be free.

Try it, it will change your life.

[Goku @ProjectGokuu]

Dr. Conti says you will quietly sabotage yourself forever until you find the thing pulling the strings.

If you have ever told yourself you want to go to the gym, eat better, or change a habit, and then just didn't, Conti says there is a reason.

He is a psychiatrist with decades of clinical experience, and he says you are most likely the one standing in your own way. But that does not make you your own enemy.

Something inside you is being triggered, and you act on it automatically, without ever deciding to. He compares it to the Manchurian Candidate, programmed to react without choosing.

The moment you find what is really pulling the strings, the tension breaks. You stop fighting yourself and finally get on your own side.

— Dr. Paul Conti on the Huberman Lab (@hubermanlab) podcast.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

Cliffhanger outcome…

No signal bull or bear.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

Who sees the bullish kill box on daily QQQ?

Tomorrow’s close should tell us a lot.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

If only somebody had told you what was coming last August so you had time to strategize and prepare…

What a shame.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

Bond markets are flashing red.

Today, the US 30Y Note Yield officially hit its highest level since July 2007, at 5.19%.

This will soon become Americans’ biggest problem, yet the vast majority do not even know it is happening.

What is happening? Let us explain.

(a thread)

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

@AGratefulApe No respect or rejection after gapping cleanly to the former gap void.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

MSTR didn’t “mind the gap”, so expecting we will explore down to the next orange rung on the “liquidity ladder”.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

It’s fun when things work out as forecasted, isn’t it?

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

USD/JPY squeezing back up for an add point.

Yellow box is a gap I have on my daily.

If it turns cleanly there that should set up the add and trail.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

USD/JPY squeezing back up for an add point.

Yellow box is a gap I have on my daily.

If it turns cleanly there that should set up the add and trail.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

Bond short doing its thing…

(Read my white paper at the pinned past from last Aug).

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

@AGratefulApe “Hot markets” don’t retrace as deeply because there is more competition for inventory in any pullback.

If it goes deep it’s a hint that the trend isn’t as strong as you might wish it to be.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

When the stock indexes trade like a small cap biotech who pivoted to some unexplained “AI” initiative it is bizarre to see.

I have been trading since 1997 and I’ve never seen this type of action before.

If this were a stock, I’d be out and expecting to see a bad press release gap it down 30%.

Disaster risk for longs is high, gamble is high, predictability is low unless you’re in small timeframes.

Lots of distribution and insider selling.

The rats are leaving the ship.

In poker, they say “if you can’t spot the sucker…it’s you”.

I can feel the tingles of shenanigans and fomo runs are used by The Syndicate to sell at a premium.

I’m guessing based on experience so not shorting as picking a top in euphoria is a fools errand, but if some big news hits and these markets vaporize it wouldn’t shock me a bit.

Remember…there was only a partial harvest at the lows before this moon launch.

Danger lurks.

I’ll continue to stay quiet and scalp through the midterms unless the market begs me on bended knee to take a trade.

The great trader Jesse Livermore once said…

“There’s a time to be long, there’s a time to be short, and there’s a time to go fishing.”.

Go fish.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

@AGratefulApe Dream scenario for a multi month trend type entry.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

MSTR stopped me out and is flirting with a trend change.

Watching how it deals with the gap just below, but not excited to add exposure into a market that seems to be melting up and ripe for a death gap.

Too much inherent violence pending in recent stock index action.

[Bo Yoder @bo_yoder]

@AGratefulApe Yes that’s a double liquidity void. Very likely to retest so this is my dream scenario for a long.

Lower gap test would be ok as a trade but more likely to fail to run to a new swing high.