mr.ma-ngao

#bitcoin #btc

[CryptoChan @0xCryptoChan]

#BTC 探到红线了

[Frank @FrankAFetter]

Bitcoin monthly RSI is the second lowest it has ever been. $BTC

[Titan of Crypto @Washigorira]

#Bitcoin Historical Accumulation Zone

Historically, extreme pessimism has created the best accumulation opportunities for #BTC

[Frank @FrankAFetter]

Since the $126k bitcoin top, this is now the third time the STH supply ratio has hit the 95% loss threshold.

Just nasty stuff - similar to the 2022 pain cycles on this metric.

Hope, then back to more pain.

The $BTC bottoming process continues.

[Titan of Crypto @Washigorira]

#Bitcoin

Historically, when BTC exceeds the lower Bollinger Band on the 3-week timeframe, major lows have usually followed.

This time, however, the signal appeared unusually early in the cycle.

[CryptoChan @0xCryptoChan]

比特币【三叉筑底】又一衍生指标，用于捕捉熊底筑底区间右侧突破拐点的最后上车机会
────────────────────────
【#BTC 四年周期总刻系列（36-3）】

📌 2015年7月：在比特币熊底筑底区间右侧突破拐点，币价突破黑线
📌 2019年4月：在比特币熊底筑底区间右侧突破拐点，币价突破黑线
📌 2023年1月：在比特币熊底筑底区间右侧突破拐点，币价突破黑线

⏳ 当前币价尚未突破黑线

┌── 🐼 𝗗𝗲𝗲𝗽 𝗗𝗶𝘃𝗲 | 指标详情 ──┐

🟠 橙线为链上持币6-12个月的投资者平均购币成本
🔵 蓝线为链上持币1-2年的投资者平均购币成本
⚫️ 黑线为链上持币3-6个月的投资者平均购币成本

[Titan of Crypto @Washigorira]

#Bitcoin Pattern worth watching 👀

Historically, #BTC’s bottom formed after 2 consecutive lighter red bars on the monthly logarithmic MACD histogram.

May hasn’t closed yet.

If history rhymes, the worst of the downside may already be behind us.

[Mags @thescalpingpro]

#Bitcoin - The 4 Year Cycle is over? 🤔

Cycle 1 (2011 - 2014)

2011 - Buy
2012 - Hold
2013 - Sell
2014 - Bear Market

Cycle 2 (2015 - 2018)
2015 - Buy
2016 - Hold
2017 - Sell
2018 - Bear Market

Cycle 3 (2019 - 2022)

2019 - Buy
2020 - Hold
2021 - Sell
2022 - Bear Market

Cycle 4 (2023 - 2026)
2023 - Buy
2024 - Hold
2025 - Sell
2026 - Bear Market (we are here)

Cycle 5 (2027 - 2030)
2027 - Buy
2028 - Hold
2029 - Sell
2030 - Bear Market

So far the 4 year cycle is still on track and everything is playing out perfectly.

If the structure holds, 2027 becomes the next major accumulation window.

[Frank @FrankAFetter]

90 days down, 60 to go. Steady lads. $BTC

[mNAV.com @BitcoinPowerLaw]

BTC: $76,630 · Q18 · Accumulation · above 110d MA

What happened the 400+ times we were here before — same quantile, same side of the MA?
· Q29 in 90d ($93k · +116% CAGR)
· Q65 in a year ($183k · +139% CAGR)

[Titan of Crypto @Washigorira]

#Bitcoin

If #BTC loses $76,000, a retest of the lower boundary of the ascending channel becomes likely.

[Frank @FrankAFetter]

No one cares about bitcoin right now, per the sell-side risk ratio.

Sentiment and engagement on here align with the data.

Historically these are very opportunistic areas to accumulate for returns on any reasonable time horizon.

h/t @_Checkmatey_

[TechDev @TechDev_52]

Last cycle top was in 2021.

And the fun part of this one *finally* looks about ready to get started.

[ChartsBTC @ChartsBtc]

#Bitcoin Halving Cycles
#HalvingCycles $BTC #BitcoinChartBot

[Mister Crypto @misterrcrypto]

$BTC has failed to reclaim the STH Realized price.

We will likely get a continuation towards the downside from here.

[Mags @thescalpingpro]

#Bitcoin - dead cat bounce before more downside?

BTC is trading at a critical zone, the $77,000 is a strong support/ resistance zone since March 2025.

Two possible scenarios :

1) BTC bounces from this level and pushes higher toward the mid-range before another drop.

(Possible, but not my preferred scenario. Bear markets usually don’t make things easy and rarely give trapped traders a clean exit.)

2) BTC loses this support and continues lower, forming a new bottom before the next real bull cycle starts.

(Most likely to play out.)

[Mister Crypto @misterrcrypto]

$BTC is rejecting from the 200MA.

We will likely see a bigger drawdown than most people expect.

[ChartsBTC @ChartsBtc]

Bitcoin latest price on 2026-05-18: $76,649 #PriceHistory #HighLowHalving $BTC #BitcoinChartBot

[Titan of Crypto @Washigorira]

#Bitcoin Bearish case scenario 👀

So far, #BTC just retested market structure.

From structure standpoint, only a reclaim would flip the trend from bearish to bullish on a macro scale.

This is not my base case, but it's a scenario that shouldn't be dismissed.

[Mags @thescalpingpro]

#Bitcoin - The final leg down coming?

In every cycle, the 200 & 300 MA have acted as key support zones for BTC.

• 2018 - BTC bottomed at the 200 MA
• 2022 - BTC broke below the 200 MA and bottomed below the 300 MA

Now in 2026:

• 200 MA sits around $61,400
• 300 MA sits around $54,500

The HTF structure has also turned bearish.

If BTC takes another leg down, there is a strong possibility of price testing the 200–300 MA zone again.

Historically, this area has acted as a major support and could potentially form the next bottom.