The base-rate fallacy is about to become a daily nuisance when it comes to processing outbreak data in highly vaccinated societies. Here's a cautionary tale.
Busy day so far in the Santa Clara Unit. We have already responded to a vegetation fire in Pittsburg and Alamo in Contra Costa County and are assisting with a fire in Solano County.
Smoke may begin to move towards the Benicia Bridge area from a fire in southern Solano Co, due to the building Northerly winds.
https://t.co/WbeCa8wsoC
#Cawx#CAfire
This tweet turned out to be a test for whether someone reads the article before RTing it. So far several pundits and at least one famous political scientist have failed.
(as the article says, the parties have to work out an agreement whenever the Senate is split 50-50+VP)
BREAKING: Contra Costa County is now under a Regional Stay Home Order to slow the surge of coronavirus and prevent our hospitals from being overwhelmed. More information on how to comply below.
BREAKING: Joe Biden has been elected the 46th president of the United States, according to the AP — narrowly beating President Trump after a turbulent race.
More here: https://t.co/Ulpk1kSqOc
@Goonerberg That being said, I agree 💯. This was a fun read - https://t.co/5MkhO2GVQD. I think based on such astute analysis that we’d want Siciliano 😆
@PapaJawns@The_ReCrut I lost faith in FL when I witnessed so many of them consistently roll through red lights at a tortoise’s pace for no reason whatsoever