Helping build businesses | doing spare time on current issues. Those without their real names here lack in confidence | Community builder | Thoughts are my own
@MikePMoffatt 2 pieces. Corp tax rates changed from 35 to 21 in US in 2018 whereas ours stayed 15 since 2012 last time Harper did.
Personal : Cali if you make $360k you are in mid bracket with 42% marginal. In ON $258k+ 53% deemed too wealthy. Some people move because they can’t get ahead
@MikePMoffatt Tax rates make us non competitive, limits capital formulation, high paying jobs go elsewhere. They aren’t leaving for tax rates but for better livelihoods & opps. But circling back tax rates are a large part of why Canada isn’t competitive & why opps are limited in first place
Google co-founder Sergey Brin rarely speaks publicly. He just sat down for an unscripted Q&A on Frontier AI and admitted something most lab leaders won’t:
Even the people building these models do not fully understand what they have created.
In this 29-minute conversation at AGI House, Brin walks through the surprises that actually matter right now:
↳ Specialized models are converging into one general system faster than anyone predicted.
- Train on coding and math reasoning mysteriously improves.
- Feed it images and geometric word problems get better.
- The capabilities bleed into each other in ways nobody fully engineered.
↳ One of the biggest leaps came from the dumbest-sounding trick imaginable:
- Just telling the model to “think step by step.”
- Brin says there was no obvious reason it should work. It did.
↳ He pushes back on hype around superintelligence (it still can’t solve the impossible), notes that AI mastering a domain has never stopped humans from getting better at it (chess after Deep Blue, Go after AlphaGo), and says something close to transformers is probably enough to reach AGI.
↳ Inside Google, they are already using the AI to build the AI.
- That self-improvement loop is where Brin spends most of his time.
- World models and physical interaction are the missing piece for the version of AGI that can do anything a person can.
Candid, technical, and free of the usual marketing. One of the clearest looks at how the people actually shipping frontier models are thinking in real time.
Instead of another Netflix series tonight, watch this talk.
Absolutely incredible.
In an unprecedented move, South Korea's stock market just collapsed -44% in 40 days, erasing -$2 trillion in market cap.
Now, South Korea's finance ministry has announced plans to "stabilize" the market.
What is happening? Let us explain.
(a thread)
european football has spent the past fifteen years solving futbol like chess.
a generation of coaches optimized for pass completion, pressing triggers, territorial control, rest defense, and positional occupation.
the problem of this is that they optimize for what is measurable. depth, the willingness to attack space early, attempt the difficult pass, dribble past a defender, or deliberately create chaos, is a high variance play. it fails more often than it succeeds. if you evaluate players by completion rate, ball retention, or positional discipline, those actions look like mistakes. so they get coached out. eventually, everyone converges toward the same local optimum.
the game becomes increasingly legible. every team occupies similar spaces, presses in similar ways, builds from the back with similar patterns, and minimizes the same risks. systems become better at defeating other systems, but worse at dealing with players who refuse to behave like systems.
south american football never fully abandoned the duel as the fundamental unit of the game. the 1v1 remained sacred. so did the tactical foul, the unpredictable dribble, and the player willing to lose possession five times if the sixth breaks the match open. the objective was never simply to preserve structure, it was to create someone capable of destroying the opponent’s structure.
football is not won by completing the most passes. it is won by scoring more goals than the other team. those are related, but they are not the same objective.
this is the danger of optimizing proxies. when everyone optimizes the same measurements, they stop optimizing for victory itself. they optimize for looking efficient.
italy may have been the first major european football culture to lose part of its identity this way. its historical advantage was never athletic superiority or perfect positional play. it was tactical asymmetry, unpredictability, and an instinct for making matches uncomfortable. as italian football converged toward the same coaching model as the rest of europe, it gradually surrendered the qualities that had made it different.
the broader lesson extends well beyond football. every optimization process eventually risks becoming self-defeating. metrics become targets. proxies replace objectives. variance is mistaken for error. the outliers capable of breaking the system disappear because the system itself learns to eliminate them.
NEW: The City of Toronto says only a fraction of the 2026 FIFA World Cup tickets it bought as an investment remain unsold, with the soccer gamble looking set to pay off a week before the games begin. #ToPoli
https://t.co/aPqVogOFmu