jeff

I can quit Twitter any time I want... (stop laughing, I totally can).
Retweets mean "I read the headline". As to my header pic, it's you, you're wrong, not me.

[jeff @brokenPrime]

"Countries don’t recover from being taken over by unstable authoritarian nationalists...left or right" -@adamgopnik: https://t.co/oi5JmrbyPt

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@mehdirhasan @mattyglesias You got your numbers wrong. How'd that happen?

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@gelliottmorris But it had that effect anyway.

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@Mike_from_PA @Amy_Siskind Zionists are more electable. Especially more so than you haters.

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@WeSee2024 @Amy_Siskind ^^This^^

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@ProgRebel @WeSee2024 @Amy_Siskind Then why did he need fake polls to eek out a victory?

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@Ekerot57 @noam_dworman So you don't like corruption and are in the side of the most corrupt admin ever. Got it

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@noam_dworman The trick is to realize that she may be a terrible person, but political investigations spell the end of freedom.

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@TeeVeeInspector This raises several questions
1) Why does he always yell at interviewers?
2) How many Nakba survivors does he think there are?
3) How is that Holocaust *Denial*??

[Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya @Tsihanouskaya]

On October 29–30, 1937, the NKVD murdered over 100 Belarusian poets, writers & intellectuals in Minsk.

Every year, people around the world gather to remember the victims of the Night of the Executed Poets.

Here are events you can join ⬇️
https://t.co/7PH6jPTE3S

[War Detective @seekersomething]

🚨THE RATE OF MISCARRIAGES IN GAZA WERE ACTUALLY LOWER IN 2025 AND 2026 IN COMPARISON TO PRE-WAR LEVELS

Pre-war the rate of miscarriages in Gaza were 140 per 1,000 births in 2022, or 14% of the total pregnancies. During the war we have heard over and over again that the miscarriages has been skyrocketing in Gaza, with claims of 460 miscarriages per 1,000 births, and that is one of the biggest arguments of the Genocide accusations against Israel and South Africa's Genocide ICJ case.
https://t.co/CotDbZf68z

However, as everything else when it comes to what is said about the humanitarian situation in Gaza, that claim is not actually true. 14% miscarriages tells us that 7.1 times as many children were born in comparison to pregnancies that ended without a child that was born (100/14=7.1). If we apply the same rate of miscarriages from the pre-war 2022 number onto the miscarriages numbers from 2025 and 2026, we should then see much higher rate of miscarriages then in comparison to how many were pregnant at the time.

But we don't.

How to count:
The important detail about miscarriages is that they are generally happening in the first 1-3 months of the pregnancy, with an median of week 7-8. Therefore to compare the births during 2025-2026 with miscarriages during the correct period we need to adjust both the period of the miscarries forward 7 months to match the period and multiply the numbers with 7.1 to see if the rates match.

What we see:
When doing that, as the image below shows, the adjusted miscarriages number is lower than the birth numbers where 7 months after the miscarriages happened, when adjusting for the same rate of miscarriages as pre-war 2022 average of 14% miscarriages per birth.

The months with the lowest birth rate were April and May 2026, with around 2,000 births both months. But nowhere did the rate ever got close to the reported 460 miscarriages per 1,000 births. In April for an example, if the miscarriages were adjusted 7 months forward, the rate was still only 63 out of every 1,000 deaths.

So these reports of is not just false. This show the opposite.

[Natan @Natnetreader]

@maazaction Lev Kvitko and his Leymele will forever be in our hearts…

[Lloyd Legalist @LloydLegalist]

America's worst nightmare: Fourida.

[Noam Dworman @noam_dworman]

Actually, I'm ok with the immigration frauds of 20 years ago when no one cared much about them. I'm not looking to break up families and destroy lives to correct them. Are you?

But if we're going to rip these people out of the fabric of our nation, let's not start with political enemies. Let's use an objective principle that creates a logical prioritization we can defend morally.

[Bulwark Clips @BulwarkClips]

Talarico: "We just found out that [Elon Musk] is almost single-handedly bankrolling this effort to install Ken Paxton in the U.S. Senate and defeat this movement...Elon Musk wants our land. He wants our water. He wants his very own personal United States senator. He is trying to buy Texas."

[Michael LaRosa @MichaelLaRosaDC]

In 43 of the 45 congressional districts in play, per Cook Political Report, the Democratic candidate is endorsed by the New Democrat Coalition or the Blue Dog Coalition.

These blocs already represent 58% of the House Democratic Caucus. A blue wave would swell their ranks and strengthen their influence — putting pro-growth, pro-capitalist, mainstream Democrats at the center of the next majority.

The left might get the attention, but moderates make majorities, make the deals, and drive the agenda.

[Yaroslav Trofimov @yarotrof]

I mean, if Starshield can be throttled in Ukraine, can it also be throttled in the Persian Gulf or around Taiwan if Musk disagrees with this or that military operation? The mystery of the last week certainly raises the question.

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@tominwindsor @DanielSeidemann @BtSIsrael Of only you'd read a book.

[jeff @brokenPrime]

@JewishWonk Just because you regret something afterwards doesn't mean you didn't do it. See, for example, slavery.

[Alex גדעון בן װעלװל @JewishWonk]

My mother's comment on this phenomena (in Russian): they beat us, drive us out, and then feel sad all the Jews are gone. So they put up museums about us.

[Aizenberg @Aizenberg55]

🧵Another Gaza narrative collapses. Israel was accused of routinely killing innocent "aid seekers" and workers. Israel said Hamas & PIJ gunmen operated among them. Now their own martyr notices confirm a large number of supposed "aid seekers" were combatants. Ongoing thread: 1/