$BTC
The last two times btc tested the weekly 100 EMA after a bull run - we chopped for a few weeks then went lower
and into a bear market
We are currently testing that rn
Once the MA crosses the EMA it has confirmed a bear market (green line crosses over light blue line to the upside)
And we are coming close to that soon
Fear was also at extreme levels during those circled areas
This is how I see btc playing out over the next few months if we repeat:
-Relief bounce soon to 100k+ to think the bull is still on
-MA/EMA Cross confirms bear market
-Retest previous cycle ATHs ~65-70k
-Chop and bounce back to 90k off bottom
-Break ATHs in Q2 2026
I think we get a much shorter bear market because of how this year went
Also add in:
-ETFs and strong buys around 70k
-Rate Cuts
-QT ending
-Global M2 at ATHs
-Business Cycle at lows
Alot to be bullish about but this takes time
Could be wrong but this is how I plan on playing it
After the 9 green weekly candles in 2023, the S&P 500 went on to do +28% in 365 days
Going from 4700 to 6100
People don’t realize the economic boom that we are about to witness
Then it will crash just like in 2000
BREAKING: The S&P 500 closes at its highest level on record and posts a 9-week win streak for the first time since 2023.
This puts the S&P 500 up +20.1% since the March 30th low, adding +$11.4 TRILLION in market cap in 2 months.
Look what happens every time Copper/Gold breaks out of this inverse parabola structure
Now look at the RSI breakout and the business cycle turning back up into expansion
This should be a major indicator that we’re setting up for a very strong 1-2 year run
Check the dates on the Copper/Gold tops… they’ve lined up almost perfectly with major cycle tops
We’re so late that we’re early.
Two words: Mucho. Highero.
Look what happens every time Copper/Gold breaks out of this inverse parabola structure
Now look at the RSI breakout and the business cycle turning back up into expansion
This should be a major indicator that we’re setting up for a very strong 1-2 year run
Check the dates on the Copper/Gold tops… they’ve lined up almost perfectly with major cycle tops
We’re so late that we’re early.
Two words: Mucho. Highero.
Watching ETH/BTC very closely here because I’m seeing a lot of similarities to Nov/Dec 2020
Look at the RSI, the RSI MA, and the overall structure… it’s starting to line up almost perfectly
Feels like ETH and alts are getting very close to their time again
When you realise the liquidation event was the mid-cycle leverage flush and the drop to 60K was the mid-cycle spot capitulation flush and the deeper bleed on alts was their bear market bottom flush and it all happened whilst BTC was still up +300% from the cycle lows which aligned with the mid-cycle correction point because the whales made all the money from BTC the first half of the cycle and took their profits and nuked the market so alts die harder and the several-year alt holders finally cave in and sell to give the whales sufficient liquidity so they can buy the alts off them for dirt cheap with their BTC, Oil and stock market profits before they approve the clarity act and the mid-cycle correction turns into the usual cycle continuation where whale and institutional interest shifts to altcoins after forcing all hands out which breaks them out of a bear market so they can finally have their long overdue bull runs which will bring them up to parity with BTC for the final phase of the rally where everyone who capitulated will remain in denial and re-enter once they near the top and give the institutions the exit liquidity to dump everything and make even more money and then the really horrible narratives begin which takes us into an actual bear market dot com boom n bust style the worst we’ve ever seen and everyone who capitulated is left holding the bag at the top of the digital/AI/tech bubble as everything bleeds over a long duration of time and the real regulatory framework starts to come into play and the surviving coins fall down to just a handful as utility becomes a true measurement of valuations and then they change their mind about CBDC’s and implement them and then everything becomes tokenised and the new cycle eventually begins as the world begins to shift into a new era of digitalisation.
What if the real AI run is just starting and the bubble is still 4-5 years out
What if we repeat the massive bull run right before the dot com bubble and the S&P doubles to 15k by 2030
I don’t think people realize how much more profitable these tech companies and the biggest companies in the world will become thru utilizing AI
We are just scratching the surface
Short and miss out on generational wealth imo
What if the real AI run is just starting and the bubble is still 4-5 years out
What if we repeat the massive bull run right before the dot com bubble and the S&P doubles to 15k by 2030
I don’t think people realize how much more profitable these tech companies and the biggest companies in the world will become thru utilizing AI
We are just scratching the surface
Short and miss out on generational wealth imo